moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I'm not all that big on this aspect of team building, but I do think it makes a difference, most of the time. Price was not a plus in this area. I was glad we were able to dump half his salary- almost as happy as when we dumped most CC's salary in the first Dodger dump trade.
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Odorizzi might end up getting $10M AVV or less. One could view the $15M saved from Price as getting us Odorizzi and Sawamura, or Richards & Samamura, or Ottavino & EHern. I'd say it was worth it.
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JBJ did very well for us. It's not like I jinxed him. I'd love to have him back- just not at the money I felt he'd make.
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He did well for us- better than I think his talent level indicated. I'm thankful for his service, especially in 2018. I didn't expect him to pitch for the Sox, this year, unless we use 20+ pitchers, and even then, maybe 10 IP max. I wish him well, but not seeing his name on the 40 man roster does not upset me.
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I'm a huge fan of defense, especially at SS, but Bogey is such a great hitter, I'm fine with him staying there. Devers is probably my favorite player, now that JBJ is gone. I'm always open to trading anyone, if the return is right, but Devers is about last on my trade list. I still think he has shown signs he can be a plus on defense, but if he is sketchy, this year, and Dalbec does well, I could see just flipping them, but I'm basing that on the belief that Dalbec is a plus defender at 3B. I don't know that, for sure. This season has a lot if intrigue.
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Domingo German https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/after-domingo-germans-unclear-apology-his-teammates-make-clear-demands/ar-BB1dZrOy?ocid=mailsignout&li=BBnbfcL
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Some team might give us something. I'm not expecting anything or anything promising.
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Agreed- who just happened to put up good numbers for a 90 inning stretch. I had him on my DFA list all winter. I won't miss him.
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It's hard to know, for sure, how much we got better, and better than worst can still be pretty bad, but I like what we have, this year. I don't think we are a top contender, but I think we are good enough to make the last WC slot and have enough potential to put it all together and surprise people. 2013-like surprise? Doubtful, but who knows? GO Sox!
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He might get picked up by someone, although his good stretches seemed like smoke & mirrors, to me. He had a 3.79 ERA from 2018-2019 (93 IP) 3.43 FIP 126 ERA+ 1.187 WHIP 0.6 HR/9
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I can't find career or specific time period OPS against for pitchers anywhere. Seems like a telling stat.
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Yes, by April some of these players should be fine, while others may not be.
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+ Marwin What else?
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I must have missed that report. Thanks. So, maybe Houck, Brewer, Taylor or Valdez for Sawamura. Who for Cordero? Wilson is the only true OF'er on the 40 man roster scheduled to start in the minors. We could activate Duran or Munoz (Gettys/Puello) or just call up Arauz and use Chavis, Marwin or EHern in the OF.
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8th & 9th inning games by Kimbrel... IP/ER 2016: 1.1/1 (BS in 9th) 1.1/0 1.1/0 2017: 1.2/0 1.1/0 1.1/1 (S) 1.1/0 1.1/1 (BS) 2018: 1.1/0 (W) 1.1/0 1.1/2 (BS) 8th only: 2016: 0.2/0 1.0/1 (no 9th IP) 2017: 0.2/0 (H) 2018: 0.2/2 (BS) no ninth inning pitched 1.0/0
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Word is he has been working out in Japan, but yes, he is iffy. Any specifics on Cordero's COVID list placement and his likely return date?
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The other years' sample sizes were small, as well.
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K% to BB% is a good "new tool." Here are the best RP'ers, since 2001 (with 150+ IP): 35 Josh Hader 31 Kimbrel 31 E Diaz 31 Jansen 30 Chapman 29 Uehara 28 Betances 28 Greene 26 Yates, A Miller & Giles 25 Doolittle & Wagner 24 WSmith, Osuna, L Hendricks & May 23 Knebel, Pagan & Smoltz 22 Robertson, Hand, FVazquez, Lugo, Romo, Papelbon, Neris & Nen K/BB Leaders 7.9 Koji 6.7 CMartin 6.3 osuna 5.8 Doolittle 5.7 CGreene 5.6 Smoltz & jansen 5.5 Rivera 5.3 Scribner 5.2 Y Garcia & Hendricks
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WHIP is a stat I used to use a lot, especially for RP'ers, but it falling out of favor by almost everyone. OPS against weights walks (OBP) and what sort of hits were allowed (SLG). I've never been a big fan of FIP or xFIP, since many pitchers with low K rates have proven they can be very effective over a long time. Even K/9 and B/9 are being replaced by K% and BB%, which makes a ton of sense. A pitcher who faces 6 batters per inning and K's 2 guys while allowing 3 men on base has an 18 K/9 rate and a 33% K%. Another pitcher who faces just 4 batters per inning and K's 2 guys while allowing 1 base runner also has a K/9 rate of 18, but his K% is 50%. While they both K the same amount per inning, the second pitcher is a much better K machine (and pitcher).
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None in the top 30 hurts, but two in the top 53 is better than the expected 2 in the top 60 as the league average projects. Who has the best chance at breaking the top 100 by mid season? Mata?
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I sort of expected us to be between 16-19. Maybe after the PTBNL's we might move up a slot or two. The draft might move us up another 2-5 slots, so maybe we'll be at #15 by mid season.
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My Top 30 Sox Prospects Ranking: 1. Casas 2. Downs 3. Mata 4. Dalbec 5. Houck 6. Jimenez 7. Song 8. Duran 9. Seabold 10. Ward 11. Rosario 12. Potts 13. Hernandez 14. A Ramirez 15. Bello 16. German 17. Whitlock 18. Wong 19. Groome 20. Yorke 21. Lugo 22. Jordan 23. Bonaci 24. C Murphy 25. Arauz 26. Bazardo 27. Wallace 28. Zeferjahn 29. E Lopez 30. Winckowski
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My projected opening day 26 man roster: (Sale on 60 day IL) 13 Pitchers: ERod, Eovaldi. Richards, Perez, Pivetta Ottavino, Barnes, D Hern, Brasier, Sawamura, Andriese, Brice, Whitlock Vaz, Plawecki Dalbec, Chavis Hernandez, Arroyo Bogey Devers Renfroe Cordero, Marwin G Verdugo JD M Likely, significant call-ups: P: Houck, Taylor, Brewer, Bazardo, Seabold, Mata, Valdez, Schreiber, Weber, Gossett Hermann Ockimey, Downs, Arauz, Munoz Duran, Gettys, Puello, Wilson
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ESPN's Kiley McDaniel released his Top 100 Prospects list this week with two Red Sox making the list - Jeter Downs at 41 and Triston Casas at 52. (Eric Longenhagen also put out his Top 100 for Fangraphs, and while he had the same two in his ranking, he ranked them back-to-back at 52 and 53.) He ranked the Red Sox farm system 21st in baseball.
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Kimbrel ERA/OPS against 2016: 3.00/.757 8th inning 3.38/.511 9th 2017: 0.00/.282 8th inning 1.59/.466 9th inning 2018: 5.40/1.067 8th 2.62/.511 9th
