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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Maybe, but we ended up trading him for a pretty good return. His career OPS before 2020: .701. His OPS in 54 gms in 2020: .798 (by far- a career best). Change Choice C to $9M/2 and D to $5M/1, if you want. Either way, I'd take D or C, and I've been JBJ's biggest apologist fan over the years!
  2. moonslav59
    Best choice? A. JBJ at $25M/3. B. JBJ at $19M/2 C. Pillar at $11M/2 D. Pillar at $6M/1
  3. moonslav59
    When we signed HRam, I was okay, but I thought he was going to play 3B. The Panda signing was messed up in too many ways to discuss again.
  4. moonslav59
    Assuming we don't sign those big 4 (or Ozuna): who are the best remaining players at our most needed positions? SP: Tanaka or Odorizzi (or both?)/ Tier 2: Quintana, Paxton, Walker, Richards/ Tier 3: Lester, Porcello, Kluber Closer: Hendricks, Bradley or Hand? (Could we sign 2?)/ T2??? CF: JBJ/ T2: Pillar/ T3: Marisnik 2B:Semien, Wong, La Stella/ T2: Profar, E Hernandez, B Miller/ T3??? RP: Rosenthal, Colome, Yates/ T2 Melancon/ T3 ???
  5. moonslav59
    I don't think the old adage "drive up the price on the Yanks" holds much water, anymore.
  6. moonslav59
    On the Scherzer signing: I really liked him, but I understood the thinking, at the time, that the following year's SP'er market was deeper and some felt Price was a better bet than Scherzer. The idea was build the Offense one year and the Pitching the next. Big mistake, especially since they wiffed on both "O" signings and Scherzer ended up being twice the pitcher Price turned out to be.
  7. moonslav59
    Yes, and Groome and Ward aren't doing much to raise their stock. Not playing in 2020 didn't help much, either.
  8. moonslav59
    I don't see any chance we sign Bauer, Springer, Realmuto or DJ.
  9. moonslav59
    Enrique plays a decnt CF, too, so he makes the most sense, not just financially speaking. I agree: we will trade for a CF'er or look for a 1 year "bridge" to Duran, assuming Bloom has more faith in him than I do.
  10. moonslav59
    Agreed. My point was that trading Beni without getting an OF'er in return means we have to make another trade or spend on FA or two.
  11. moonslav59
    On of our biggest "what ifs" of the last few years: what if we had signed Abreu not Castillo. Another was Scherzer not HRam & Pablo. Yes, all were not the same year, but wow, 2 big what ifs...
  12. moonslav59
    True, unless they trade Beni & Duran for a CF'er. The reason I mentioned a CF'er is that by trading beni, we'll have an OF of JD Martinez in LF, Verdugo in CF and Renfroe in RF. (Unless we sign JBJ or another CF/RF type, but even then, we'll need a 4th OF'er addition, too.)
  13. moonslav59
    Great take.
  14. moonslav59
    Interesting ranking. I might put Rosario and Potts up higher and Duran lower, but maybe the most interesting thing to me, beside Bazardo, is that Bello is placed above Ward & Groome.
  15. moonslav59
    I have no evidence to back this up, but I feel like most teams trying to win it all, make 2 or 3 for 1 deals, while teams trying to rebuild make 1 for 1 or 3 deals. Trading Beni & let's say Pivetta for a better SP'er or a good CF'er might not be the right strategy, right now.
  16. moonslav59
    His value does not increase in a package. He could still go on to have a great career- for someone else. His addition to a package may still never outweigh the return. Plus, we lose someone else by trying to improve the return by adding a "low stock" Beni. That being said, I have always felt that many GMs do not judge (place value on) players over their last season or even 2 seasons' numbers. Some GM may value him highly and will be willing to give up something very nice in return. If that is the case, I'm listening. I am not for handing Beni away. His contract is pretty low, and he's still young enough to bust out in his prime.
  17. moonslav59
    Maybe. Maybe they have Kiermaier or Incarte in mind or someone else. I'd hold onto Beni and try to get someone like Kiermaier. I think Beni's upside outweighs what we'll get for him, and if he ends up sucking, it's not like we'll have missed out on anything great we might have gotten in return.
  18. moonslav59
    Three friends and I used to bet on NFL every Sunday. We studied, discussed and bet, usually between $25-100 per bet, up to 25 or 30 bets every week. We usually came out about even, which means we won slightly more than we lost, but the vig evened us out. One Sunday, the 4 of us combined lost something like 27 out of 28 bets! 3 of us quit, that Sunday. One of us (not me) was down about $300 and bet it all on Steve Carlton and the Phillies to win. They were big favorites, that night, and they lost.This kid ended up having to work off the debt at our bookie's restaurant. I have not bet since then, except in brackets and pools. Lesson learned.
  19. moonslav59
    Beni still has a chance to put up some great offensive numbers. I've never been a big Beni fan, but selling low seems a bit rash.
  20. moonslav59
    The question is how much more likely? The second question is what is considered "random" or a "crap shoot?" I'm thinking anything above 55-45 should not be called a crap shoot/random, but if someone says 56-44, I might not argue. Sure, if two near-equally strong teams, one 100-62 and the other 98-64, play each other, I'd say the odds are probably pretty close to even, assuming no major injuries. If a 100-62 team is playing an 86-76 team, and neither showed a significant stronger end to the season, I'd put the odds on the better team at more than 56-44. (In other words-not a crap shoot.)
  21. moonslav59
    If you combine this methodology with adjustments for who was hot to end the season, I think the numbers will show the better teams wins by more then .550. The Nats and the Rockies of 2007 won a lot of playoff games.
  22. moonslav59
    Rusney Castillo signs to play in Japan. I had hoped he'd play in MLB, this season, so we could see what we had.
  23. moonslav59
    I don't agree with this. A .600 team will beat a .550 team more like .575 not .550.
  24. moonslav59
    I have a lot of faith in Bloom, but Beni's stock is as low as ever. Who knows, maybe some GM still values him highly enough.
  25. moonslav59
    Maybe not. I'd add more, if needed, like maybe Groome, Chavis or Chatham.
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