The 2021 Pitching Staff
I can't help but think we could see a major improvement over 2020 and even 2019, in some cases.
Chris Sale: He's the big question mark. Some think it's foolish to think he can ever come close to what he used to be, but he was so great that coming fairly close would be a huge boost, even if for just 2-3 months.
Garrett Richards: Another question mark based mostly on health history. The guy can pitch, when healthy, and his upside is so much greater than guys we threw out there last year.
Nathan Eovaldi: He stayed pretty healthy in the short 2020 season, and the big if has always been, does he have a full season in him?
Eduardo Rodriguez: He was just reaching prime when COVID struck. Now, he's another health questioned starter.
Martin Perez and Nick Pivetta: They could both be capable 5th starter types, with Pivetta having some upside to be even better. Both could get 32 starts based on the sketchiness of our top 4 starters.
Garrett Whitlock, Bryan Mata, Connor Seabold: If these guys get a lot of starts, we may be doomed for a bad year, but there is also a lot to be excited about, here- maybe not for 2020, but who knows?
Adam Ottavino: He has the potential to be a big plus for us. He's a proven RP'er.
Matt Barnes: He's got a bad rap for not becoming the closer we needed, but he's still a good set up man.
Ryan Brasier: Here's where our pen takes a big step down from most other good teams, but there is hope he can return to 2018 form.
Darwinzon Hernandez: He has the most upside potential in our pen. The guy has a near record breaking K/9 rate, but his BB/9 rate has been almost equally amazing in the wrong direction. Maybe, this is the year he reduces his BB rate significantly.
Josh Taylor: He showed some pretty good stuff not too long ago.
Hirokazu Sawamura: I won't even try to project what he might do, but adding him gives us one more shot at having a meaningful pen arm.
Matt Andriese: Who knows?
Out of options Austin Brice: No love here.
Valdez, Brewer, Bazardo, Weber, Walden, Springs: Not any better than most team's scrubs.
Tanner Houck: It's hard not to get optimistic over his 3 starts in 2020, but we really should not expect greatness based on such a tiny sample size. That being said, it's not unlikely he could do very well.
A look at the IP and ERAs of last year's SP'ers and you have to sake your head and think, it's almost impossible not to see a vast improvement in this important area, even if guys like Sale & ERod hardly pitch at all.
IP and ERA as SP'er ONLY
62 Perez 4.50
48 Eovaldi 3.72
25 Godley 9.49
23 Mazza 5.01
19 Weber 7.11
17 Houck 0.53
14 Brewer 6.91
10 Pivetta 1.80
9.0 Hart 13.00
6.2 Kickham 10.80
4.0 Triggs 2.25
2.2 M Hall 10.13
2.0 Osich 9.00
1.0 Brice, Brasier & Leyer 0.00
Perez, Eovaldi, Houck and Pivetta only pitched 137 out of the 246 IP all of our starters gave us in 2020.
That's 55%.
Sale, ERod, Richards could eat up a big chunk of those other 45%. If not, I still like more from Houck, Pivetta and anything from Whitlock, Mata and Seabold better than what we saw, last year.
The pen should also be better. They gave us more IP than out starters, last year (278 IP). Here were the IP leaders in 2020:
30 Valdez 3.26
24 Weber 2.25
24 Brasier 4.13
23 Barnes 4.30
20 Springs 7.08
19 Brice 6.27
14 Covey 7.07
14 Osich 5.27
13 Stock 4.73
13 Walden 9.45
11 Brewer 3.97
10 Hembree 5.59
8.1 DHern 2.16
7.1 Kickham 4.91
7.1 Taylor 9.82
6.2 Workman 4.05
6.2 Mazza 4.05
6.0 Hall 22.50
20 IP from 8 others (25 ERs)
Ottavino should eat up a lot of these scrub's IP. Barnes and DHern should have a higher % of IP.
Taylor could help, if he pitches like 2019 not 2020.
Brasier could help.
Sawamura should not be any worse than most of the departed from this list.
Valdez will likely do worse, if he even pitches much.