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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Tell that to Fred Lynn's broken back.
  2. We might as well get Odorizzi, too, then.
  3. Great idea. Change everything.
  4. That's what I have felt all along. EHern or Cordero in CF.
  5. Just about right. Maybe a buyout of $500K to make it $7M/1 or $12M/2.
  6. If Frazier plays well, he will play and play. Plus, someone will get hurt.
  7. Word is talking to the Tigers, but I don't count Porcello in the same category as Odorizzi- more like with Cole Hamels.
  8. Odorizzi is the last one standing.
  9. On Roberto Hernendez © http://news.soxprospects.com/2021/02/scouting-report-updates-ronaldo.html
  10. Who will be your next "most hated" Yankee?
  11. If you had to choose from just these two line-up options, which would you choose? A. 1. Hernandez CF 2. Verdugo RF 3. Devers 3B 4. Bogey SS 5. JD DH 6. Renfroe-Cordero LF platoon 7. Dalbec 1B 8. Vazquez C 9. Arroyo 2B B. 1. Hernandez 2B 2. Verdugo RF 3. Devers 3B 4. Bogey SS 5. JD DH 6. Renfroe LF 7. Dalbec 1B 8. Vazquez C 9. Cordero CF Who else could lead off? Cordero? Bogey? Verdugo?
  12. Now, the Yanks are even with last year's club.
  13. I thought he'd get at least $15M/3 or $12M/2, but who is left to pay him even that much? Houston?
  14. Looks like the Gardner-Yankee talks have resumed. Minor league deals: Todd Frazier to Pitt Tyson Ross to SD I wonder if we make a few minor league deals, soon.
  15. Everytime I see this thread come up, I think, "Oh, NO! Not again!"
  16. Ottavino is a pen arm, and a good one. Maybe you meant Richards. We also have Pivetta & Houck as starters, until Sale returns.
  17. Odorizzi looks like the only one worth going over the tax line to get, IMO. Haven't heard any rumors of him being close to signing. JBJ may have already passed on his best offer.
  18. I did the fangraph's math: fWAR per PA 2019-2020 JBJ 2.4 per 650 PAs (2.9/784) EH 1.2 per 650 (1.1/608) 2017-2018 JBJ 3.0 per 650 (5.0/1076) EH 3.7 per 650 (4.6/804) 2015-2016 JBJ 5.3 (7.2/891) EH 2.1 (1.5/462) Another time period breakdown: 2018-2020 JBJ 2.8 (5.7/1319) EH 2.6 (4.3/1070) 2015-2017 JBJ 4.7 (10.4/1432) EH 2.3 (2.9/804) Fangraphs shows JBJ has been better per 650, but the last 3 years combined are very close. bWAR has EHern better, recently.
  19. What has their WAR per PA been over the last 3 years? I provided BR's WAR per 650 and EHern has been better. Do you have fangraph's numbers, or is it just WAR/gm?
  20. That's the big what if, and only 1200 career innings. I guess I just see a bigger slide in JBJ's defense than others have seen. Also, the question I answered was that I'd prefer EHern at $14M/1 over JBJ's suggested $12M/2 number and it has morphed into who has been and is a better FT CF'er going forward. Who knows what JBJ will sign for? I can see how wanting JBJ as our FT CF'er over EHern makes sense, but I still think EHern will be better, and since he can play 2B, our other non pitching big need area, I'd take EHern.
  21. I have never used these projection sites in any form or manner. I'm not saying they are useless, but I can't see how they project better numbers from JBJ, based on the last 2-3 years. Maybe, they put too much emphasis on last year's very short season. JBJ put up some nice numbers in 55 games and 217 PAs, last year. We've seen those numbers or better in several 55 game sample sizes within almost every season he's had with the Sox, but we've also seen longer game sample sizes of horrific offensive numbers and occasional defensive ups and downs- at least by the metrics. .814 in his last 217 PAs .727 in his previous 1643 PAs At age 31, which number do you think he will be in 2021? +5.5 UZR/150 (-2 DRS) in 471 innings in 2020 or -1.8 UZR/150 (+5 DRS) in 1247 innings in 2019? Kike has a decent .737 OPS since 2018. It was .722 the previous 3 years. While he's had some highs (.836 in 2015 and .806 in 2018) and lows (.607 in 2016 and .680 in 2020) I still view him as being more consistent. I do worry about the fact that he has never had more than 462 PAs or 145 games, and he's never played CF FT for a whole season. It's not a clear choice, all things being even, on who I would want to play FT CF for the Sox from 2021-2022, but Kike offers more flexibility and upside due to his age (or less of a chance of a significant down slide).
  22. Then, Betts hurt EHern's numbers in LA, last year, right?
  23. How can anyone "see it?" We don't watch Dodger baseball wire-to-wire. I'm going off the notion that JBJ has declined, and I think there is ample evidence to show he has, despite a 55 game blip upwards, last year. I'm also going off a 1200 inning sample size of EHern in CF, which surely can be doubted and criticized. My position is based on the last 3 years' trend and the fact that JBJ turns 31, soon and EHern is 29. I'm never going to say EHern is clearly a much better defender in CF than JBJ, at this moment in time, but his defensive metrics show him better, his OPS+ is better over the last 3 years, and his bWAR per 650 PAs is better over the last 3 years. I think the burden of proof lies with the JBJ supporters. We've all watched JBJ play great D for many years. We've watched flashes of a great bat that have basically kept his overall offensive numbers near average or even above for extended times, but he's not getting better, whereas EHern seems to be.
  24. The metrics I see, hate Bogey. He's one of the worst DRS SS's since Jeter. His UZR/150 shows him below average to bottom third or fourth. My beef with Vaz is only on how he handles the staff. I'm not sure you call that Defense or intangibles.
  25. ...and even when Sale was still pitching!
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