moonslav59

You know my views on CERA and OPS Against by catcher. He also has just 1 year of control left.

Like what he does vs. KCR 1.881 TOR 1.014 CWS .944 LAA .922 OAK .900 MIN .889 NYM .883 (BAL just .811)

When does Houck lose prospect status? How about Duran?

We could also guess that with Duran ahead of Cordero on the OF depth chart and Schwarber moving ahead of Cordero on the 1B depth chart, going forward, Duran would be more likely to play more often.

No to Richards. Probably No to Perez. No to Andriese (DFA) Schwarber will decline player option. Yes to Vaz (and maybe trade him)

Well, you did say Bloom does not care much about catcher offense, and you said Wong may be our back-up, so I assumed you meant they were high on catcher defense- which they had been with TB.

The thing is, it's not that. We are 11th out of 15 AL teams in Hard Hit Ball Percentage at 31.0%- (really 4th best) -actually better than TRB and CHW. It's interesting to point out that the top 7 AL playoff contenders have the best 7 hard hit% numbers: 29.7 OAK & HOU 30.3 NYY 30.4 TOR 31.0 BOS 31.2 CWS & TBR 31.4 LAA 31.5 SEA (Even SEA and LAA are placed near the top in the standings, too!) LD% shows us looking pretty bad, but the difference bwteen being 2nd last and middle of the road is just 0.6%. Best 18.2 NYY 19.4 TOR 19.8 DET 20.4 CLE 20.5 SEA & HOU 20.7 TBR 20.8 CWS 20.9 MIN 21.1 KCR & OAK 21.2 TEX 21.5 BOS & LAA 21.9 BAL The Sox are also 3rd best in Soft Hit % at 17.6% (behind only NYY & CWS) We are 5th in HR/FB at 12.6%, 4th in GB% (43.5%)and 3rd in GB/FB at 1.25. We are also 4th in K% (24.8%), so less balls are put in play than most teams, thank God! Our K/BB rate is 6th (2.79)

More than Cordero.

True, but the bottom 5-15 slots on the 40 man roster during Marcus's time here was a bit weaker. Downs has no chance of being bounced off the 40 man, unless by trade, at least until 2023 or beyond.

So, suddenly, he looks like a plus defender at catcher?

The percentage of actual players who have wildly different playoff ERAs than regular season ones is nearly identical to the computer generated samples. If only a tiny percentage of actual pitchers have massive disparities, like Kershaw, then so does the randomly generated one. That's the point. They mirror each other almost exactly the same. The computer comes up with maybe 3 guys who have ERAs way higher than their norm, and in reality, there are 3 guys who fit the model. That's, at least, what I understand the studies have shown.

Yes, Cordero needs to play everyday, and he ain't getting that here.

So, DH game 1 and RF game 2?

He'll certainly be on the 40, next season. Our roster crunch is not all that severe.

This past winter, many of my BTV trade suggestions centered on us trading Vaz. Some were 3 team deals where Vaz went to a contender and we got Stallings from PItt.

The weird thing is, most scouting reports said Wong would or might not stick at the catching position going forward.

Seems very trustworthy.

He, himself had a season of 4.26 and 3.39. He's had many bad starts. You don't think randomly choosing any 30 starts (the amount he's had in the P.O.s might generate one with an ERA near 4.19 and maybe one near 1.19?

We don't seem to be getting to as many balls as we should or as other teams seem to do vs us. Our pitching suffers from the worst BAbip in the league, and it's not even close. DRS has about in the middle. Our D sucks. It's not even close.

Ronald Hernandez might, but his stock seems to be slipping since the trade.

I'm quickly losing faith in that stat. I apologize for defending it so much in the past.

From mlb.com: INF Christian Arroyo (left hamstring strain) Expected return: Aug. 20 Arroyo has had a good rehab week and ran the bases again on Aug. 15. The plan is for him to start a Minor League rehab assignment on Aug. 17. If all goes well, Arroyo could be activated for the Aug. 20 game against the Rangers. Arroyo’s right-handed bat would give manager Alex Cora more flexibility against lefty starters. He is also a good pinch-hitting option against lefties. (Last updated: Aug. 15) LHP Darwinzon Hernandez (right oblique strain) Expected return: September It has been slow going for Hernandez in his return from a right oblique strain, and it now looks as if he won’t return until September. The move of Martín Pérez to the bullpen has helped fill the void left by Hernandez. But getting Hernandez back for the stretch run could make a difference for the Red Sox. “It's slow a little bit,” Red Sox manager Alex Cora said on Aug 15. “He played catch to 80 feet, he'll do the same thing today. I don't expect him to start a rehab assignment soon. He's not behind. He's where he should be with his process, so little by little he's getting better, but nothing off the mound for a while.” (Last updated: Aug. 15) RHP Matt Andriese (right hamstring tendinitis) Expected return: Aug. 17-18 Andriese will make the third appearance of his Minor League rehab assignment on Saturday for Triple-A Worcester. The Red Sox will reassess where he’s at on Monday and there’s a chance he could be activated for the series at New York on Tuesday. (Last updated: Aug. 14) 1B/OF Danny Santana (left groin strain) Expected return: Aug. 20-24 Santana is on a similar timetable to Christian Arroyo and could go on a rehab assignment by Aug. 17. (Last updated: Aug. 13) 60-day IL RHP Ryan Brasier (concussion) Expected return: Late August Brasier’s second appearance of his rehab assignment didn’t go nearly as well as the first. Pitching for Triple-A Worcester on Aug. 13, the righty allowed five hits and five runs. However, Red Sox manager Alex Cora didn’t sound concerned. “I think the stuff was the same," Cora said. "I think he threw 18 pitches and they swung at 15 of them, so that’s part of the process. That’s part of rehab assignments. The stuff, the numbers that we got, they’re good. We’re still on the same path.” Cora added that Brasier will pitch again for Worcester on Aug. 15. (Last updated: Aug. 14)

Do they rank the Red Sox and other teams?

It doesn't make any sense to go that computer generated models based on random numbers based on regular season numbers comes out to look nearly identical to what real life sample sizes variances show means nothing?

What ranking service do you respect the most? Let's see what they say, this winter.