I agree. I do think he won't spend just for the sake of spending, and he may end up not thinking the best pitchers available, this winter, are worth their price tag. I could see him signing 2 moderately good pitchers, instead, which is usually not my favorite strategy, but a lot depends on how Sale looks and what happens with ERod.
If Sale looks like the old Sale and we can extend ERod, we might be fine looking for another guy like Richards, as well as exercising Garrett's option for 2022, too.
With Barnes and Ottavino both FAs, we may need to spend large there, this winter.
We may put off spending at 1B, 2B and OF, again this winter. We should know more about Dalbec & Casas, Arroyo & Downs, and Kike & Duran.