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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Some pen arms have done really well, lately. OPS against Last 7 days .488 Sawamura .489 DHern .550 Barnes .624 Ottavino .661 Taylor .682 Whitlock Starters: .491 Perez .701 ERod .740 Pivetta .760 Eovaldi .833 Richards Last 14 days .457 DHern .503 Ottavino .582 Sawamura .504 Whitlock .641 Barnes Last 28 days .472 Ottavino .507 DHern .546 Taylor .626 Sawamura .648 Barnes .758 Whitlock
  2. moonslav59
    I was for Marisnick from day one, but not because I thought he was the best choice or that he'd have a good year. I wanted him for his low contract, good D, and hoping we could use the money saved on someone like Odorizzi or a closer. I thought Semien was too expensive for this year's situation.
  3. moonslav59
    Does it go back to the time KC won without any real SP'ing? People thought, hmm... maybe we can win with just defense, speed and a pen.
  4. moonslav59
    I said Chavis for Dalbec. My next point was about who for Santana.
  5. moonslav59
    Yes, 2 years with the 3rd year option. The only player, other than Kike, signed for 2 years guaranteed. He started out looking good, then bad, and now kinda good again. Maybe he just needed to settle in.
  6. moonslav59
    If disagreeing is not boring, then the whole 700-moonslav dynamic is askew, since 700 called moonslav "boring."
  7. moonslav59
    1. Arroyo 2B YESSSsssssss! 2. Devers 3B (Verdugo sits) 3. Bogey SS 4. JD DH (Wrist okay?) 5, Renfroe RF 6. Marwin LF (Wow! He's up to.604!) 7.Plawecki C (2 straight starts) 8. Kike CF (falling to.658) 9. Dalbec 1B (last chance?)
  8. moonslav59
    Exactly, although some viewed Kike as a utility player and not a FT 2Bman, but his recent numbers were better than several 2Bmen on the market. Other serious options included: 15 x 6 LeMahieu (.656 in 251 PAs) 7 x 4 H-S Kim (.585 in 156) 7 x 3 Profar (.614 in 211) 9 x 2 K Wong (.784 in 178) 6.3 x 3 La Stella (.650 in 75) 7 x 2 Kike (.654 in 184) 5 x 1 Cesar Hernandez (.684 in 245) Only Kolten Wong is doing much better, and it's doubtful he'd have made a big difference. Plus, the $2M more might have kept us from signing Sawamura. And, Wong does not play OF.
  9. moonslav59
    Two lefties on the mound, tonight. To me, this might be Dalbec's last chance to stay on the big club. I'm not one to believe any one game makes or breaks a player, but it seems like Dalbec has already gone beyond the breaking point. His biggest asset is batting vs lefties, so this could be it. Maybe Chavis gets the call, but we could hand 1B to Santana and Marwin and give Santana a few more chance to prove he belongs. I'm sure many here already feel he's beyond the breaking point, too. Santana might be winding down on his time with the Sox organization. With Duran not available for call-up, the choice to replace Santana would be interesting- assuming Chavis replaces Dalbec. We could call up Marcus Wilson, who is already on the 40 man and is batting .946 in AAA. The only other 40 man guys are Arauz, Cordero and Brennan (P). I'm not sure when Bazardo & Houck get off the IL, but they will need a few games under their belt before consideration. Non 40 man additions could come from: Munoz Mieses Lopez Ort
  10. moonslav59
    Well said, and the Sox are 6th in SP'er IP, this year- just 2 IP from 5th (HOU) and 6 IP from 3rd (SFG). Only LAD & OAK are significantly ahead of us. We carried a 9 man pen for most of the season, so our pen should be as rested as any in MLB, given those facts. We do have a "lock down" closer, and it seems like Ottavino is improving slowly as our top set-up man. Whitlock, Valdez and Sawamura seem to be stepping into higher leverage situations with greater success, recently, and Taylor has done a 180. Fingers crossed, here.
  11. moonslav59
    Pretty close, yes. 16% better than the league is a bit more of a lead over 10% better than the league than a 0.02 ERA differential, though.
  12. moonslav59
    Exactly. Only 3 things we wish could be better is just about a dream come true. Several top and non top 100 prospects are looking very good or even great. 1.133 T Reed .991 Duran .952 Casas .946 Marcus Wilson (Could he be given a shot?) .762 Jimenez .751 Rosario OPS Against .482 Scherff .517 Winckowski .546 K Ort .584 Bello .602 Aldo Ramirez .655 Espinal .694 Politi
  13. moonslav59
    Most FAs are "overpaid." It's the nature of the system. Sure, we could have signed Brock Holt or others, but the most of us felt we needed to do something serious at 2B, and almost all the top FA choices have not done any better than Kike, and some cost more. Plus, he's hasn't even crossed the 20% of his control year point, yet. He's been sort of up and down his whole career, maybe he's due for an up swing, soon.
  14. moonslav59
    I don't disagree, but I think you missed one key point: defense, and getting a SS, moving Torres to 2B and LeMahieu to 1B would have fixed 3 problems with one simple move.
  15. moonslav59
    Not all seasons with the Sox, but check out these stretches: ERA/WHIP Koji '11-'13 1.69/0.639 '10-'16 2.26/0.795 Pedro '99-'02 (all with BOS) 2.07/0.871 (It's almost unheard of for a SP'er to have a WHIP under 0.900. Pedro averaged under that in a 4 season stretch!) '97-'05 2.45/0.969 (Led MLB in /k/BB 4 times ,WHIP 6 of these 9 seasons and ERA in 5 of 9.) Clemens "The Creep" '86-'92 (All with BOS) 2.66/1.089 His last 4 in BOS (perhaps pre-steroid) 3.77/1.289 first 10 years after BOS (steroid boost) 3.17/1.185
  16. moonslav59
    Makes you wonder why a guy with his great seasons before 2013 hadn't become a closer by then. Reminds me of my freshman year at ND, when Joe Montana was the third string QB on opening day. An injury and a poor half by the 1 & 2 thrust Joe into the limelight, and he never looked back. (We beat Earl Campbell's #1 Texas team in the Cotton Bowl, that year '77-'78).
  17. moonslav59
    Yup, my bad. Forgot to look at his years.
  18. moonslav59
    Some think 2013 was some kind of freaky season, and it was startling in some ways, but Koji had several season in a row with some fantastic number with the bell curve peaking in 2012. Yes, the second half of 2013. (The playoffs were awesome, too.) 1st half/2nd half OPS Against: .514/.231 WHIP 0.756/0.313 K/BB ratio: 7.50/41.00 1 BB, 0 HR and just 1 ER in the last 32 innings of 2013. He had an 11 IP stretch of no hit ball and finished the regular season with 18.2 IP of 1 hit ball, 0 BB and just 1 ER (0.48 ERA). He had another stretch in June with 8.2 IP, 1 H, 1BB, 0 ER. Back to the career numbers surrounding 2013: WHIP: 0.955 '10 0.723 '11 0.639 '12 0.565 '13 (almost a perfect trend line) 0.917 '14 (a bit of a spike on a bell curve) 0.917 '15 0.957 '16 Career Leaders since 1972 (400+ IP) 0.83 Koji 0.92 Jansen 0.95 Kimbrel 0.97 Mo 0.99 Doolittle 1.00 Wagner & Eck 1.01 Chapman 1.02 O'Day 1.03 Papelbon 14. Foulke at 1.04 19. Miller at 1.08 Again, Sox fans have seen some of the best!
  19. moonslav59
    Taking into account the era a pitcher played in, here are the all time MLB leaders in Adjusted ERA+ seasons since 1972: 291 Pedro '00 271 Maddux '94 260 Maddux '95 243 Pedro '99 229 Gooden '85 226 Clemens '05 222 Clemens '97 222 Greinke '15 219 Pedro '97 218 deGrom '18 217 Snell '18 215 Arrieta '15 & K Brown '96 211 Clemens '90 & Pedro '03 208 Guidry '78 205 Greinke '09 202 Pedro '02 & Kluber '17 Pedro has 5 of the top 18 seasons and Clemens 3. Although one of Pedro's seasons was with Montreal, Sox fans have been gifted the chance to see 7 of the top 18 SP'er seasons in the past 3 decades. :
  20. moonslav59
    Best Starter WHIP since 1972 (200+ IP) 0.97 Sale 0.98 Pedro 1.16 Clemens 1.18 Jenkins 1.19 Tiant 1.20 Saberhagen 1.21 Schilling 1.21 Price 1.22 Beckett 1.24 Darwin 1.25 Eck 1.26 Porcello & Arroyo 1.28 Pattin & Wise 1.29 Lester 1.30 Boyd & Wright 1.31 Eovaldi, Buch, ERod & Boddicker ERA- 53 Pedro 66 Sale 69 Clemens 78 Viola 82 Saberhagen 83 Tiant & Schilling 84 Lester 85 Jenkins & Boddicker 86 Price 88 Moret 89 Lowe 90 Lee & Darwin 91 Steven Wright The worst? 1.66 Avery 1.59 Mike Brown 1.58 T Bolton & J Suppan 1.56 J Sellers 1.52 Dick Pole & C Rainey 1.50 Mike Torrez 1.49 A Sele ERA- 129 Suppan 127 Smithson
  21. moonslav59
    Best WHIP from 1972-2021 (150+ IP) with the Sox: 0.81 Koji 0.91 Kimbrel 1.00 Papelbon 1.11 Bard 1.17 Aceves 1.17 Foulke 1.19 Embree 1.21 Tazawa & Lowe 1.22 Workman 1.23 Burgmeier & Jeff Rear-end 1.25 Way back Wasdin, Wake & Okajima The worst? 1.63 Mark Clear 1.57 Rob Murphy 1.53 Steve Crawford 1.52 Diego Segui 1.47 Wes Gardner 1.45 Craig Breslow
  22. moonslav59
    Here are some numbers on Sox RP'ers since I started following them in 1972: Best Season By fWAR 3.2 Kimbrel '17 3.1 Papelbon '06 3.1 Koji '13 3.0 Papelbon '11 3.0 Burgmeier '80 (99 IP helped) 2.8 Papelbon '08 2.7 Gordon '98 2.4 Drago '79 & Lowe '00 2.3 Stanley '83 (145 IP) 2.1 Workman '19, Papelbon '07 & Lowe '98 2.0 Stanley '82 (168 IP) WHIP 0.57 Koji '13 0.68 Kimbrel '17 0.77 Papelbon '07 0.78 Papelbon '06 0.79 Jeff Gray '91 0.90 Andrew Miller '14 0.92 Koji '14 0.93 Koji '15 & Papelbon '11 0.94 Keith Foulke '07 Other notables: Tazawa 0.95 in '12, Bard 0.96 in '11 & Okajima 0.97 in '07
  23. moonslav59
    That was an amazing season. 46 for 46 saves and save opportunities, until the playoffs, of course. 79 innings. 1.008 WHIP, although Koji's was about half that! Only Barnes has approached what Koji did, and it's only 60 games.
  24. moonslav59
    Maybe people aren't realizing how bad replacement value is, this year. The whole league is hitting worse than any year since 1968. (Correct me, if I'm wrong, but it seems that way.) It's all about context and how much better you are that the other teams, especially the other top contenders. Every team has multiple black holes, but much of what we hear is, "We can't win with 3 black holes!"
  25. moonslav59
    I picked only WS winning teams, because I think having a healthy solid 5 starters from wire to wire is a significant factor in going far in the playoffs. Other Sox "winning teams" did not have this trend, fo the most part. Trust me. I looked.
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