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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. We had plenty of chances in the 9th. Missed opportunities has been our biggest struggle the last few weeks. I know, stating the obvious about every losing team.
  2. That’s why Robles is not a closer.
  3. At least the middle of the order isn’t due up in the 10th.
  4. Which makes those downturns more like collapses that in a year where expectations were low to begin with. Good point.
  5. Yes, the definition of average is the fact you can’t get past.
  6. “0wn Your Tomorrow” get it?
  7. Still want Rizzo over Kyle?
  8. It was their catcher and his CERA! Lol
  9. Vaz needs to shut me up!
  10. Even if Schwarber is the worst 1Bman in MLB, it’s just a slight drop off, if any, from what we currently have, and maybe a step up from what we’ve seen the past week. The upgrades ar 2B and CF as well as keeping JD out of the OF is a plus on D. Nobody can convince me Arroyo is a step down on offense vs Shaw/Dalbec, so what am I missing? Shaw’s granny effectively benched Arroyo and worsened at least 2 positions defensively, so he might make lightening strike twice?
  11. I give up. You can’t answer one simple question. You chose the word “average” not fangraphs, but you won’t admit the misuse of a very clear word. It’s not some “rigid definition” of the word. It is the most common interpretation of a very common and well know, often used word. In no context does average mean you are in the top 20% of the sample being discussed. None. It’s you trying to form a massively off meaning interpretation of the word and concept “average.” Not me. Call a 1.75 RPer, good, solid, very good, decent whatever you or fangraphs wants but it sure as hell is not average. Talk about common sense. Own up and move on. Call him a scrub or role player, but don’t call an fWAR if 1.0 average for a RPer. It just isn’t. You might as well say a .300 hitter is average.
  12. The D and base running hasn’t collapsed. They both sucked wire to wire. The pen started collapsing as a whole just a couple weeks ago. The starters started the collapse and then did pretty good. I remember thinking 1978 and 2004 had times of seemingly total team letdown.
  13. You forget your own history with the Sox? Look up 1978, where the Sox collapsed then went 12-2 to end the season and force a play in, In 2004, we went something line 12-18 in and around June, only to go on to beat your asses and win it all.
  14. The union would love a $100M floor. They’d give up a lot for just that. It would mean way more money than making the first tax line $180M
  15. I remember the old debate clearly, and you never answered my questions and points then, either. It’s hopeless. You change fangraphs terminology to your own terms and act like you’ve proven something. Answer just one question. Just one. Does average mean about as many players are better as worse or not?
  16. Where is “average” on this chart? The middle one? 1.75 To 2.3? If that is what you believe then out of the hundreds of RPers that pitch every season, only very few are average or better. I think your idea of average is not shared by most of the world. From 2017-2019, there were an average of 16 RPers with a WAR above 1.75. That means, according to you (not fangraphs, since they don’t qualify average) only 16 RPers are average or better- out of over 200 pitchers.
  17. Nobody is disputing it’s a different situation. The point is, if you can see the same variations in other different situations, how can anyone know the reason for one has to be the pressure and not some other reason similar to the other wide disparity examples. Players can put up wildly different numbers in some rather large sample sizes, and the reasons can be multiple or unknown. That’s plain common sense. Just because the playoffs are unique, does not prove the uniqueness is or has to be the reason for a wide disparity in results. That’s the common sense conclusion.
  18. I saw those charts the first time you talked about them. I don’t see anything that says a 1.0 WAR by a RPer is below average or any mention of the word mediocre. It talks about “role players” and “scrubs” but not what the average RPer looks like. Besides, what makes these charts the “facts” you say backs up your opinion? They are not comparing one player to the rest in their charts or terminology.
  19. You just said nobody disputes my last paragraph, then you dispute it. Can you see why it’s hard to follow your train of thought? Here are but a few sample sizes as big as the playoff one that also show a 1.50 ERA differential: 3 seasons have ERAs 1.50 or more apart. There are several opposing teams Kershaw has faced that he has an ERA 1.50 apart. There are likely others if I look hard enough.
  20. So what is the reason for the other poor samples? What does common sense tell you? Couldn’t that reason also be the same for the other poor playoff sample or some reason we don’t even know? Can’t common sense also mean that maybe there is not one reason or even an over riding one? Maybe there is no reason at all, other than just plain bad random luck? Common sense says there is no way to know for certain. Opinion means you can choose believe there is a reason or over riding reason.
  21. I’ve looked at the fangraphs charts. Provide the link to the one you are talking about
  22. 1.0 fWAR by a RPer is not average. If it was about half the RPers would have more and half less. That’s what average means. A 1.0 WAR might be average for a MLB player but not for a RPer. That’s where your reasoning takes a wrong turn. Sorry, but that’s just common sense. Players go 189 IP with wildly differing numbers. Just because one sample size is 189 innings does not prove the reason for being good or bad. Sorry, that has nothing to do with common sense. Kershaw, himself has large sample sizes of very different results, not just the playoff one.
  23. Wow, that’s what I called. Blind squirrel.
  24. I guess there is talk of adding a floor of $100M and having the first line around $180M, but depending on the penalties and what the second and third lines are and mean, it’s hard to know for sure. That might be one reason we stayed low and signed so many one year deals.
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