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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Fans still knew some players had greater range and made more plays. They could and did look at POs and Assists. I'm not sure exactly when RF/9 became a tool.
  2. Many knew fldg% was highly flawed long ago.
  3. That was my point.
  4. I was responding to the "Ugh factor."
  5. Yes, because back then, I valued RF/9.
  6. Can't a SS making a spectacular play also juice up the team and pitcher?
  7. To me, B is the obvious winner.
  8. The Astros and Cubs might be the two teams that intentionally tanked to plan for bigger spending later and an improved chance at winning a ring within a given window. It worked for both teams. We point to the Marlins team as the example of winning on a low budget, but they had some big salary players on those teams near their winning seasons. The built up and tore down at least twice. The Royals and Twins seemed to plan for cycles back in the day. Neither looks to compete in the near future. The Rays and A's seem like the only two current teams that can win without spending on a consistent or semi-consistent basis, but neither has a ring to show for their gallant efforts.
  9. I'm not seeing that with the teams on this list. Most are habitual big spenders or top 10-15 almost every year. The Astros took a different approach that ended up working, but they did not have a very long stretch of low budget teams. I do see the rules keeping some of the higher spending teams from going nutty, but it's not really helping the habitually, lowest spending teams, except to pay their owners with revenue sharing and higher bonus share spending for draftees and IFS signings that rarely help them even come close to winning a ring.
  10. Bottom 10 but not bottom 5, yes.
  11. 10 of those 11 were 10-15th. 26 out of 27 were 1st to 15th.
  12. MLB Champions and Spending Ranking Year Team Opening Day Payroll 2021 Braves 15th 2020 Dodgers 1st 2019 Nationals 3rd 2018 Red Sox 1st 2017 Astros 12th 2016 Cubs 4th 2015 Royals 12th 2014 Giants 10th 2013 Red Sox 3rd 2012 Giants 8th 2011 Cardinals 11th 2010 Giants 10th 2009 Yankees 1st 2008 Phillies 14th 2007 Red Sox 2nd 2006 Cardinals 11th 2005 White Sox 13th 2004 Red Sox 2nd 2003 Marlins 25th 2002 Angels 15th 2001 D-backs 8th 2000 Yankees 1st 1999 Yankees 1st 1998 Yankees 2nd 1997 Marlins 7th 1996 Yankees 1st 1995 Braves 3rd Since 1995, only one team below #15 in spending has won a championship- the 2003 Marlins. Only 5 of the 27 teams were ranked below #12. That is 60% of all MLB teams (18/30.) You basically have to be a top 40% spending team to have a good chance at winning. Five out of 27 times is less than a 19% chance for 60% of all MLB teams combined. 13 out of the last 27 winning teams were a top 4 spender. 12 of the last 27 were top 3 spenders. 8 of 27 were top 2 spenders. No bottom 5 team has won a ring in a long time, maybe for several decades.
  13. How many bottom 5 or even 10 spending teams have won in the last 10-20 years?
  14. Lugo was actually a decent fielder, until he hurt his knee (2008?). He had good range, but made too many errors. I'd rate the 2007 Lugo's D as better than the 2018 Bogey D. Close call. Lugo 2007: 0.8 dWAR (BR) 0 DRS -0.6 UZR/150 Bogey 2018: 0.1 dWAR (BR) -8 DRS +1.3 UZR/150
  15. With 30 teams, that actually shows money helps. How many second and third highest paying teams won it all? How many bottom 5 or 10 won it all?
  16. The statement that RP'ers are not good enough to be starters is still somewhat true, but the balance is shifting. One could say Houck and Whitlock are our best two pitchers. The slots for Houck and Whitlock will determine which area is in greater need. Even with both in the pen, our pen sucks after those two. (The rotation looks two deep, too.)
  17. Yes, SP'ers are pretty hit and miss, too. Everyday players, as well, but I think RP'er lead the pack in let downs and poor results.
  18. They should. Let the Worcester Sox play in Fenway!
  19. On average, I'm not sure a team that scores 850 runs and allows 800 will win more than a team that scores 700 and lets up 650.
  20. Exceptions to rule do not make the rule a fallacy. In baseball, there are always exceptions.
  21. I'd take Bogey over both of them combined. It's not even close.
  22. Barnes' extension starts in 2022. He may yet earn it, but yes, no guarantees, especially with RP'er.
  23. It does, but so does upside potential. It's not a clear choice.
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