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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    If we trade Duran or Rafaela as part of getting Marte, the financial cost will be less than $10M AAV. If we don't get Marte, my guess is we sign Okamoto or E Suarez or trade for Paredes, Vientos or Donovan. HOU really wants an OF'er. The NYMs seem to not want Vientos. The Cardinals seem to want all our players, so why not one more STL-BOS trade? Imagine we go the whole winter with no significant FA signing!
  2. moonslav59
    Agreed. I guess is Narvaez hits much worse in 2026, we may want to PH for our catchers, but we shouldn't need the third one very often, unless an injury happens.
  3. moonslav59
    The history of the largest and longest deals is not very good. The Sox history is even worse, especially if you view Nate's re-signing as not really a FA deal. Under JH and over $70M and 3+ years 2023 Yoshida (Pretty damn bad) 2022 Story (Not good) 2018 JD Martinez (Very good) 2016 Price (Not good.) 2015 Sandoval & HRam (Both were awful) 2011 Carl Crawford (Yuck-a-doodle-doo-doo!) 2010 Lackey (Not good) We are 1 for 7 on the L & L deals under JH.
  4. moonslav59
    Pretty much saying no, then.
  5. moonslav59
    There is still time for more toe-dipping or a high dive. (Hopefully no belly-flops!)
  6. moonslav59
    If we did not have 2-3 holes, I'd agree on keeping depth. I don't want Duran to DH, either. He's worth more to all 30 teams as an OF'er than as a DH. If we didn't have Masa and Tristian to DH, I might be kinda okay with DH'ing Duran, but we have both. I also see Campbell and Masa as LF depth, so I think trading an OF'er has to happen. We need a 2Bman or 3Bman. Both, if you don't trust Mayer/Romy/DHam/Sogard. IMO, we still need a #2, but I doubt we get one.
  7. moonslav59
    I think in an emergency, yes. STL has some nice catcher depth, and they had 4 catchers get 100+ innings in 2025, but WC got zero.
  8. moonslav59
    I share your deep concern on large and long contracts, and also not about saving JH money, but about knowing we always have a limited budget and wasting money will hurt us for years to come. I plan on living longer than the longest contract we have signed or will sign. I'm thinking a big bat is a higher priority than a #2 SP. I'm wondering if Brez sees Gray as the #2 or if Gray + Oviedo makes up for not getting a true #2. (If you go by fWAR and projected fWAR, Gray has been and will be a top 60 SP'er- even a top 30 in some categories.) We have made a ton of trades, so far, and still have 4 OF'ers plus Campbell/Masa as OF depth. We may be looking at the biggest winter trade yet to come, or perhaps a major signing. Maybe both. I think we will avoid a large and long deal, so maybe E Suarez or C Bassitt might be the one signing we make. Trades might involve KMarte, Paredes, Donovan, Vientos or someone we never thought of.
  9. moonslav59
    The Sox have traded away these prospects, this winter: 4. Perales (for #6 Bennett) 6. Jh Garcia (Oviedo and #29 Samaniego & #31 Guzman) 8. Clarke (with Fitts for S Gray) 8. Fajardo (w Dobbins & Aita for Contreras) 20. Travieso (w Jg Garcia for Oviedo plus) 21. Paez (Rule 5 loss- not a trade) 36. Aita (w others for Contreras) All together, we traded these 13 players & prospects: Dobbins, Fitts, Bernardino, Grissom, Murphy, Guerrero, Jh Garcia, Perales, Clarke, Fajardo, Travieso, Aita & Reimer For these 12 players and prospects: Sonny Gray, Wilson Contreras, Johan Oviedo, Ryan Watson, Tristan Gray, Jake Bennett, Tyler Samaniego, Adonys Guzman, Ronny Hernandez, Braiden Ward, Luke Heyman & Isaiah Jackson No free agents signings, so far- the only AL team in that boat.
  10. moonslav59
    I don't really want him at 4 years, either, but if the option is 4 years or nobody else significant, then I'd do it. I agree, 5 is too much. The guy was in a 3 year decline before 2025, then missed about 30% of the season. (I'm not for paying what Bichette will get either.) I think I'd rather get Suarez on a 2 year deal or maybe trade for Paredes, assuming we don't trade for KMarte.
  11. moonslav59
    My guess is Duran, but I have moved Rafaela into the 2nd most likely to be traded slot. Maybe tied with Abreu. RF defense is very important for Boston. (So is CF.) Trading Rafaela helps the offense by keeping the others. Trading Duran means we need a bigger bat addition at 2B or 3B than even Bregman or Bichette can fill, IMO. Trading Abreu hurts the offense and mostly the power, which is our big hole, right now. DH'ing an OF'er make almost no sense to me.
  12. moonslav59
    That certainly seems like the overwhelming possibility on both the Casas and Masa fronts (and Hicks being on the 26 for opening day, too.) We don't have much depth at 1B. If we trade an OF'er the DH depth is one less deep. That is what I see happening.
  13. moonslav59
    It all depends on what other GMs are offering. He will likely get 5- maybe with an option 6th year and decent buyout. Maybe Brez offers 5 with another opt-out, of 4 with a hefty buyout on 5th year option or a huge signing bonus.
  14. moonslav59
    I have Moran above Sandlin, Uberstine and Drohan, but I'm assuming he can regain what he showed a couple/three years ago. 11.1 K/9 in 95 IP w MIN (Yikes on the 5.2 BB/9!) In 2022, he had a .490 OPS Against in over 40 IP. I doubt the 3 guys I listed ever come close to that in any 40 IP stretch of their careers. In AAA: 13.7 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 (0.7 HR/9) AA: 14.6 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 (0.8 HR/9) Here is my ordered to be DFA'd list: 1. Hicks (or traded w cash) 2. Yoshida (traded w cash) 3. Uberstine T4. Eaton (if we add a 3Bman) T4. Sogard (if we add a middle infielder) T4. Drohan 7. Watson returned via Rule 5 By ST'ing, I might have Moran ahead of Kelly.
  15. moonslav59
    According to B-R, he has no PAs vs NYY. 1.338 v TOR 13 PAs 1.203 v TBR 14 PAs .143 v BAL 14 PAs .690 at Fenway in 14 PAs Sample sizes are too small to make anything of them.
  16. moonslav59
    No. He's a decent defensive 1Bman, unlike Casas and Campbell.
  17. moonslav59
    Welcome aboard! I agree that Mayer or maybe a Mayer/Romy platoon is best for 2B. I'd be okay with Mayer at SS and Story at 2B, but Cora is loyal to his vets and their positions. (He apparently did not even ask Devers to play 1B.) I don't like Romy at 3B, so it makes more sense to add a 3Bman (Bregman, Paredes, Suarez and hopefully not Vientos) than 2B, but I really think KMarte would move the needle into major contention status for the Sox and 2026 & beyond. Maybe we don't need Romy at 3B, if Mayer can learn to hit LHPs. Trade Rafaela (6.3M), Crawford ($2.7M), Phillips and Mullins for KMarte and... 1. L Anthony CF 2. S KMarte 2B 3. L Duran LF 4. R Contreras 1B 5. L Abreu RF 6. R Story SS 7. L Masas DH (R Romy/ L Casas DH?) 8. R Narvaez C 9. L Mayer 3B (R Romy 3B) Alternatively, trade an OF'er for a #2 SP'er and sign Suarez or Okamoto.
  18. moonslav59
    Good post. Casas may start the year on the IL (maybe even put on the 60, at some point,) but AAA would be a good way for him to work his way back to the bigs. IMO, when healthy, he a better bat than Yoshida, but with Yoshida's contract and 4 OF'ers looking to play one at DH makes it difficult. Maybe an OF'er gets traded- like I thought would happen last winter, or we find a way to dump Yoshida, while paying most of his remaining salary or including a prospect or two with him.
  19. moonslav59
    Yes- not so much for Uberstine or Drohan, who to me are high on my possible DFA list.
  20. moonslav59
    I have been saying Casas should DH. I just asked the question, will he be traded. I agree, his upside value is too high to trade, now, while his stock is so low. We don't have a 40 man roster squeezes and no other real 1B depth on the 40, so keeping him makes the most sense, to me.
  21. moonslav59
    I'm not expecting anything of value for these guys, but marginal and underwater players are often traded.
  22. moonslav59
    Exactly.
  23. moonslav59
    I see it this way, too, at least from Brez's perspective. I'd like to get one big bat infielder, and my broken record is KMarte.
  24. moonslav59
    I do not think Contreras & Vientos make up for the losses of Bregman, Devers, Ref and DLowe. I realize we are hoping to get more from Anthony and Mayer, but we have to figure injuries or less from others. Duran for Paredes and ____, maybe. Maybe Rafaela for Paredes.
  25. moonslav59
    Casas is really awful on defense and is injury prone. If we didn't have Masa at DH, it would look like an easy choice sliding him to DH. That still might be his landing spot... with us or with another team.
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