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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Henry has a long history of going 2 and even 3 years staying under the tax line between going over it. Why is this any different?
  2. moonslav59
    Depends on the ages and recent 2-3 year trends. IMO
  3. moonslav59
    I know Story will be cheaper, but those away splits are scary. I’d have preferred Baez over Story.
  4. moonslav59
    I doubt it, and we’ll always have some sort of restricted budget. I just would not choose Correa as the guy to have our highest salary for the next 10 years. I realise the guy could go on to be worth every penny and then some, but he’s not “that guy” to me. If it came down to Correa at$350M/10 vs Devers at$280M/10, I’ll take Devers Forevers!
  5. moonslav59
    The great thing about Correa is the defense and age. He’s probably got 3-5 years of prime to put up big numbers. What worries me is this: Paying big money for 10+ years for a player who has played 8 seasons and only had 500+ PAs twice whil hitting under .850 in 3 of the last 4 seasons. His .837 career OPS is not great and was fueled by seasons from too long ago.
  6. moonslav59
    Yes, in this case, bigger is Richards (10), Ottavino (8). Perez (5). Andriese (1.9) & Sawamura (1.2). Kike $7M x 2 was the biggest non-pitching addition. (Marwin $3M)
  7. moonslav59
    Just say no to this Story.
  8. moonslav59
    Sounds about right. My point was more about Bloom needing to hit on his bigger additions, pretty soon.
  9. moonslav59
    I agree. I will say, Mike Lowell was more of a salary dump. He was also a GG 3Bman. I'm not sure you can equate 5 straight years over .789 and 3 straight over .816 before hitting .658 the year before the Sox trade to JBJ's offensive struggles that have occurred in 4 of his last 5 seasons- the only good season being the shortened 2020 season. I do think JBJ will play.
  10. moonslav59
    If you just count winter and in-season additions via trades or signings, the record is not good. (No Pivetta or Whitlock) Fangraphs Value 7.7 Richards 4.5 Perez 4.1 Ottavino 3.3 Robles 900K Davis 000 Brennan -100K Rios -200K Ort -800K Feliz
  11. moonslav59
    So, we trade Duran, then.
  12. moonslav59
    My head is spinning on this one.
  13. moonslav59
    Nice reply. Yes, the arb rules are manipulated by management, but shaving a year off would be a nice compromise. Min wage has not gone up much, recently, and since so many players make below $750K, I think this would get a yes vote from the players without killing owners. The 3% tax increase is about the $7M a year I mentioned. (3% of 210 is $6.3M) I'm not sure about robo umps being agreed on, but I want it.
  14. moonslav59
    The thing about other unions is that the lower people know that if they stay with the company, they will eventually reach much higher pay & benefits. That's not true about MLB.
  15. moonslav59
    Montas is better than Bassit and has two years of control, so he's worth more than double Bassit. Picotty gives us a RH'd bat with decent defense and brings down the return needed. BTV would have accepted this trade without Winckowski or Seabold, but I like to give more than what BTV suggests.
  16. moonslav59
    I'm sure he expected the lower end additions to miss more than hit, but his 3 most expensive additions did not reach their contractual value. (4, if you count Sawamura as a negative like fWAR.) I don't think he expected that.
  17. moonslav59
    BTV accepted this as a minor overpay by the Sox: 20.1 Duran 13.5 Dalbec 4.8 Winckowski 3.5 Seabold for 39.6 Montas (2 years of control vs 1 year from Bassit) 3.3 Brown (place-setter for Casas) 1.1 Trivino (closer) -8.6 Piscotty (RH'd hitting salary dump)
  18. moonslav59
    I think he made sense, if Dalbec was going there.
  19. moonslav59
    Crushed ice
  20. moonslav59
    Yes. Even Perez and Richards had plus bWARs. bWAR 2.9 Whitlock ($570K) 2.6 Pivetta ($613K) 0.8 Ottavino ($8.8M) 0.8 Sawamura ($1.2M) 0.5 Perez ($5M) 0.5 Robles 0.4 Rios 0.3 Workman 0.3 Richards ($10M) 0.1 Brennan 0.1 Feliz -0.1 Davis -0.1 Brice ($870K) -0.2 Valdez ($580K) -0.3 Peacock -0.3 Weber -0.6 Andriese ($1.9M) fWAR 2.1 Pivetta 1.6 Whitlock 1.0 Richards 0.6 Perez 0.5 Ottavino 0.4 Robles 0.1 Davis 0.0 Rios -0.1 Valdez -0.1 Brice -0.1 Workman -0.2 Andriese -0.3 Sawamura Fangraph's Value Numbers: $M 17.2 Pivetta 12.6 Whitlock 7.7 Richards 4.5 Perez 4.1 Ottavino 3.3 Robles 900K Davis 000 Brennan -100K Rios -200K Ort -800K Feliz -900K Valdez -1M Brice Overall, it's a plus, but there were more individual misses than hits.
  21. moonslav59
    Me, too. If we sign Suzuki, I can't see it happening much, even if we trade Duran or JBJ. If nothing is changed in the OF, we might see... vs RHP: 2B Kike (.690 career v R) LF Duran (.624 career v R- tiny sample size) CF JBJ (.717 career v R) RF Verdugo (.847 career vs R) vs LHP 2B Arroyo (.701 career v L) LF McCutchen (.954 career v L) CF Kike (.826 career v L) RF Verdugo (.674 career v R)
  22. moonslav59
    My prediction: 1. Universal DH 2. Playoffs to 6 teams in each league. 3. Min wage from $570.5K to $750K in 2022 and $850K by the end of the deal. 4. Time to get to first arb shortened by 1 year. (Time to reach free agency shortened by 1 year.) 5. Lux Tax stays in place and increases by about $7M each year. I think the owners will get something else, not listed here. I'd like to see a min budget set as a floor for team player budgets, but I can't see the players getting this.
  23. moonslav59
    Actually, 137 PAs with an even better OPS... .904 OPS in first 59 PAs .511 OPS in middle 111 PAs .878 OPS last 137 PAs (.823 in his last 167 PAs)
  24. moonslav59
    True, he started 67 of 99 games facing a RH'd starter. Having Olsen ahead of you could be a major factor, and he only had 21 PAs as a DH, despite having a much better OPS than Moreland (212 PAs as DH) and Lowrie (212 PAs). As mediocre as he seems, he had the 4th best OPS on the team (300+ PAs) at .754.
  25. moonslav59
    Maybe... vs RHP: 2B Kike (.690 career v R) LF Duran (.624 career v R- tiny sample size) CF JBJ (.717 career v R) RF Verdugo (.847 career vs R) vs LHP 2B Arroyo (.701 career v L) LF McCutchen (.954 career v L) CF Kike (.826 career v L) RF Verdugo (.674 career v R)
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