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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    We might be able to get Devers on 8-10 years, if we give him an opt out after 2-3 years.
  2. moonslav59
    We could wait on Devers, and all he costs for 2023 is his arb number.
  3. moonslav59
    I think Pham is tradeable at $6M, but maybe he re-signs for $9-10M/2. If we sign someone like Nimmo, Ref & Pham are out of options, and we don't need Pham.
  4. moonslav59
    Clausen was good in '09 and Powlus wasn't bad in his So-Jr years, but no great ones for a long time.
  5. moonslav59
    The Ray's Way, while usually about money, is also geared towards building on long term success. While trading stars in their prime, at the deadline or once they start getting high arb pay, looks like it sucks for the present team, but if you continuously do it, you start seeing the rewards of the ones you traded 2-4 years ago, today, and the cycle continues, pretty much uninterrupted. The problem is, our fan base would get irate, if we traded Bogey, Wacha and Nate. The Rays fanbase (I know- oxymoron) is used to it, but also realizes the benefit of continuing the cycle.
  6. moonslav59
    I meant knowing what the fan reaction would have been.
  7. moonslav59
    The finger was a fluke, but I think it's probably safe to count on Sale + Paxton for 30+ starts, combined.
  8. moonslav59
    I'm pretty sure, he found out what offers were out there for those two, plus Wacha, Strahm and maybe even Kike, but I doubt the latter, as they just extended him. IMO, JD is not getting a QO, so I'd have paid some or most of his contract and gotten the best we could, even if a Hamilton or Binelas type prospect. If they intend to offer Nate a QO, the return would need to be greater, but getting us under the tax line has some very high benefits, in coming years. Same with Wacha and the QO, but trading him would have been a clear white flag. My guess is, he'd have gotten the best return, but alone would not help us reset. Strahm would not have brought back much, but maybe more than JD with no money attached. The question to me is "what was considered "the right return?"
  9. moonslav59
    If either Pham or Ref hit lefty, I'd be okay with a platoon, but they aren't, and I agree. I'm not even sure I want either as part of a DH rotation or platoon, either, but if we upgrade enough, elsewhere, I can see going light in the OF or DH. We could sign a RF/DH type, like Mancini, but I'm not sure I want him in Fenway's RF. (Haniger?)
  10. moonslav59
    I'm not sure Eovaldi is "likely" to get a QO, but certainly 1 year deals are less risky. I'd prefer giving Wacha a QO to Nate. maybe we give both one, and our rotation will be set. 1. Sale or Paxton 2. Wacha 3. Nate 4. Pivetta 5. Paxton or Sale (Bello & other prospects)
  11. moonslav59
    If we went with an OF of Dugo, Kike, Pham, Refsnyder, I'd want some minor league depth, and not just for injuries. If we add Nimmo, we might have to trade Pham or Ref, since neither have options, or make them part of the DH role.
  12. moonslav59
    Yes, agreed, and that's why they did not do what was best for the long term. They buckled to fan pressure and maybe taking a hit on gate and cable revenue for a few months to maybe a year.
  13. moonslav59
    How's your line-up, now? Take away Judge...LOL!
  14. moonslav59
    Yes, third before any more signings, plus we likely will not see these guys batting (much if any), next year: .644 Dalbec (6th in PAs w 340) .578 JBJ (9th at 290) .697 Cordero (1oth-275) .648 Duran (12th w 219) .563 Plawecki (13th w 167) .322 Sanchez (18th w 44) .427 Downs (19th w 41) That's about 1400 PAs being replaced by more from Ref and hopefully Arroyo, Pham, Hosmer, Casas and McGuire/Wong. Yes, we lose some O from Vaz (7th w 318 PAs ay .759) and maybe Bogey & JD, but a small step down to Swanson and a DH that can do better than .770 is not unthinkable. Add Nimmo to RF and the expected plus at 1B with Casas/Hosmer, and we should have a amuch better offense. It does not take much to improve on these positional numbers, next year: .652 RF (Dugu/Ref>JBJ) .657 1B (Casas/Hosmer>Dalbec/Cordero) .668 CF (Kike) .745 2B (Story) .754 DH (Even a Hosmer or Cordero v R and Pham/Arroyo/EValdez v L should reach .754) We may lose ground at.. .699 C .838 SS maybe .754 DH
  15. moonslav59
    Wow, 2 weeks in '21. You wish the yanks could be that healthy! He wasn't hurt in LA, much at all. He was often platooned or was on the bench, because they had All Stars at middle IF and OF. Don't confuse 140 games with being hurt.
  16. moonslav59
    Posts like this give me great hope, because you have been so wrong about the Sox for many years in a row. 1. We will have at least $80M to spend. 2. We can trade some prospects for one key role. 3. We don't need 5 SP'er. Pivetta is a plus 4/5 SP'er ("4/5, at best?" come on! Look around, dude!), and Sale/Paxton should give us at least 33 starts between them. That's at least 2 SP'er. We can QO Wacha and not have to sign a FA SP'er for the 2 slot. We could try to count on a prospect to fill the 5 slot, and we have a lot of hopeful arms to find one (Bello/Crawford/Mata/Wink/Walter). If Bello were a Yank, you'd be pumping him up. 4. Explain about how many times Kike has been on the IL over the last 4-5 years. He's not a hulk and bulk Yankee. He's a true athlete. 5. We don't need a .700 catcher. We need a great defensive one who can handle the staff well. McGuire and Wong both seem capable and will not be a net minus, IMO.
  17. moonslav59
    I would not say it couldn't have happened that way, but I see it going more like this: July discussions: top brass, Bloom and probably Cora discuss all options, including a firesale of 1 year players, only. When they speak about this option, Bloom seems more willing to go this route than Kenndey, JH and probably everyone else. When they speak of going all out, nobody takes the driver's seat. They settle on not doing anything to harm the future. Then, they look for ways to make the fans think they are not giving up, while trying to improve the future as much as they can, and I think that's what they agreed to and then actually pulled off. I do think, if it was totally up to Bloom, he'd have traded any and almost all FAs-to-be, he did not want to try and extend (like Kike.) It's just my opinion, and this should not be viewed as just the Ray's Way. It's what any team should do when the odds are as low as they were at the end of July for the Sox.
  18. moonslav59
    Agreed, but I prefaced my statement with countering a rather weak OF by greatly upgrading in other areas, like SP, RP and staying even at SS/2B. (Maybe spend more on C or 1B or stack the pen.)
  19. moonslav59
    Assuming we add a RF'er, the only way Pham and ref stay on the 26 is if one is part of a DH platoon, otherwise, we wont carry 5 OF'ers. (Pham and Ref are out of options.)
  20. moonslav59
    I don't want to see Farnchy or Duran either, and with Ref or Pahm as back-up, hopefully, we won't, but we will not be adding a 5th OF'er via trade or free agency, unless it's on a minor league deal (not a bad idea.) If we add someone like Nimmo, we might have a hard time getting playing time for Pham and Ref, so no minor league depth should be needed.
  21. moonslav59
    I agree, and with Refsnyder and Pham as the 4th OF & possible DH platoon, we should be fine.
  22. moonslav59
    I really would prefer Dugo in LF, and since Pham and Refsnyder both bat righty, it's hard to work out a platoon for LF or RF. (I'm not counting lefty Duran in the OF mix, except as minor league depth.) If we can find steep upgrades at SP & Pen, and someone close to Bogey's production at 2B or SS, I guess I'd be okay with ... LF: Pham CF: Kike RF: Dugo or LF: Dugo CF: Kike RF: Refsnyder Pham & Ref might end up being part of a rotating DH slot, along with Arroyo/EValdez and one from Hosmer, Dalbec or Cordero.
  23. moonslav59
    We had a 13 man staff, all year. The league average for starter IP is 5.2. We went 5.0, so I'm not sure our pen was taxed much more than most. To me, what killed our pen was the need to use Houck and Whitlock as starters, and needing to us "openers" a few times, which really tax a pen. We also had to se Crawford, Wink, Seabold & Bello as SP'ers, when we might have used them more in the pen- perhaps with greater success than they gave us a starters. What's hurt this staff the most was needing to pitch 31 different pitchers- 27 if you take away the 4 everyday players pitching here or there. 22 pitched more than 9 IP, 19 over 20, 17 over 30. I wonder what our ERA+ would be, if any pitcher under #15 in IP did not need to pitch: 71 Bello 73 Barnes 72 Robles 64 Ort 96 Valdez 36 Seabold 89 Familia 20 DHern The team ERA+ is 92.
  24. moonslav59
    Wow! I love it!
  25. moonslav59
    But it was never, ever DD's fault.
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