To revisit the 2023 budget framework:
Luxury Tax Dollars ($Millions) 31 Players on 40 Man, now
SP
25.6 Sale
8.5 Pivetta (Arb 2 of 3)
.72 Winckowski (pre Arb)
.72 Crawford (pre Arb)
.72 Mata (pre Arb)
.72 Bello (pre Arb)
minor Seabold (pre Arb)
minor Groome (pre Arb)
RP
9.4 Barnes
4.7 Whitlock
1.5 Brasier (Arb 3 of 3, if he's not traded or DFA'd by '23)
1.1 Taylor (Arb 2 of 4)
1.1 Davis (Arb 1 of 3- no options remaining)
.80 DHern (Arb 1 of 3)
.73 Houck (pre Arb)
.73 Schreiber (pre Arb)
.72 Danish (pre Arb)
minor P Valdez (pre Arb)
minor K Ort (pre Arb)
C
~1 McGuire (Arb 1 or 3)
.72 Wong (pre Arb)
.72 R Hernandez (pre Arb)
1B
.73 Hosmer (Padres paying all but min salary)
~1.0 Cordero (Arb 2 of 3)
.73 Dalbec (pre Arb)
2B
23.3 Story
1.3 Arroyo (Arb 2 of 3, if he's not traded or DFA'd by '23)
3B
~25 Devers (Arb 3 of 3)
SS
.72 Downs (pre Arb)
LF
~6.0M Verdugo (Arb 2 of 3)
CF
.72 Duran (pre Arb)
RF
~1.5 Refsnyder (Arb 2 of 3)
That's about $119M for 31 players. Add a few $Million for the other 9M combined and $16M for player benefits, and we'll be around $137M before spending a dime on additions or options (Pham $6M/ Sawamura $3M).
To get to the threshold, we could spend $95M.
For those who want us to extend or re-sign Bogey and Devers, here's how that might look, minimum:
$26 x 5 Bogey
$29 x 7 Devers (add $4M to projected arb cost)
That's $55M, but I had Devers at $25M arb, so add $30M.
If it's true we are re-setting after this season, then that leaves about $65M to fill all the rest of the slots not filled by in system players.
Let's play best case scenario and figure Casas can play 1B, next year, and one young starter can take Hill's 5 starter slot. We need to fill the 1/2 slot (Nate) and the 2/3 slot (Wacha), unless you think our 5 man rotation will be Sale, Paxton, Pivetta, Winckowski and Crawford/Bello/Mata (or Whitlock). We also need a catcher and CF and RF, unless you want to go all year with Wong/RHern at catcher, or Refsnyder/Duran in RF and CF FT. And, who DH'es? Dalbec/Cordero? LOL!!!
$60M to fill...
SP
SP
CF
RF
DH
RP
(I hope I got my math right, this time.)