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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Bogey watched what we did with Lester and what happened to Betts, and was still dying to stay with the Sox. I don't think Boston is viewed as a place players don't want to play anymore. We spend big. We make the playoffs and win more often than most teams. There is a good chance to make endorsement money, if you are good enough. I'm not going to look it up, but how many MLB have made the playoffs or won a ring in the last... 2 years (50%/0% BOS) 3 years (33%/0%) 4 years (25%/0%) 5 years (40%/20%) 20 years (55%/20%)
  2. moonslav59
    Of course, MLB conjecture is usually better than Japanese conjecture, but they both are conjecture. MLB conjecture> Japanese conversion conjecture Yoshida's numbers >>> B eni's numbers Looks pretty close to me, and the AAV is, too.
  3. moonslav59
    Yes, agreed. I have said, a few times, we may not spend up to the line. We don't know, if we can trust anything Sox brass has said, and I'm not usually the one to take them at their word, but they did say they wanted to add 8-9 players, and they've added 5. They did promise Kike, they'd "be better," and it's hard to claim we are, so far, although IMO, we are better at more positions, now, than worse over 2022. Even if we add very little or no more money, the fact remains, we spent about half our winter spending budget on LF/DH, which was maybe 7th or 8th on my high need ranking list. Okay, one could claim a big bat, regardless of position was a top 4 or 5 need, but there were plenty of big bats around that play RF, SS or even C, CF or 2B,
  4. moonslav59
    Conjecture- same as with Beni. He does have some stats and skillsets to base it on. Would you be as happy had we signed a .220 hitter from Japan for $85M? Why not? The Beni trade is a separate issue, but you always love to slide a Bloom jab in anywhere you can. The trade results are over on one side. We saw what Beni did under his 3 controlled years. We saw what Cordero has done, and I have no hopes he adds to it. We've seen a taste of Wink and nobody is impressed. Slightly hopeful, maybe. The other 4 prospects have not done much, but they are still far away. Only de la Rosa shows decent promise. The money saved by trading Beni can be seen as helping us sign Renfroe (big boost to the trade grade) or Marwin (big minus to the trade grade), but those are separate deals, too. The $3M savings spent, however. The AGon, CC, Beckett deal was not judged by DLR or Webster, but by the FAs it allowed us to sign for 2013 (Vic, Napoli, Dempster & S Drew). That example is much different from this one, but money saved in trades can and has helped.
  5. moonslav59
    I think the chance we sign Nate s about the same or less than the chances we trade for a solid SP (maybe not a 1/2 type but a solid #3 or decent #2.) Kluber is the one guy I see us having a decent chance at signing. They were interested, last winter.
  6. moonslav59
    It's slightly comforting to know there are 2 not one remaining. He said he wanted to add a catcher, too, so I'm not sure he views adding a RF'er as doable, unless via trade, or if he does nothing at SS/2B. It's hard to know what the number 1 priority is, right now, other than extending Devers. 1. SP 2. SS 3. RF 4. C We could add CF (Kike to 2B), or 2B (Story at SS), or solid RP (like Fulmer and Houck to SP), or even LF (Yoshida at DH near FT), but to me, the top 3 I listed are far and away, our biggest need areas and were on day one (maybe RP was tied for 3rd). We've spent $40M and filled one top 4 need.
  7. moonslav59
    79mph does not mean you never throw anyone out from the hole or other places. A hard grounder to Story's right still allows him time to throw a runner out at 79 mph. Range still helps. That is my posint. Okay, maybe compared to all 29 other SSs, one can say 79 mph is horrible, but range still helps.
  8. moonslav59
    Bingo!
  9. moonslav59
    Someone mentioned the GG, but I'm not sure he'll ever come close to another one. DRS 23 2017+2018 (2150 innings) 9 2021+2011 (2150 innings)
  10. moonslav59
    I'd be okay with Nate, but I like Kluber better. he may even take/get less years. Andrus, Kluber + Hill or Wacha is probably doable, budget wise. Maybe Andrus, Kluber + Conforto or a defensive RFe'r. Number one is Devers Forevers!
  11. moonslav59
    ...and, un til we see which Beni shows up in the next 5 years, too.
  12. moonslav59
    We might have barely enough to also sign Conforto, too, or some other defensive OF'er, especially if the Devers extension starts in 2024.
  13. moonslav59
    He might have out RBI'd Bogey, too, had he been given more chances with men on base and RISP: RBI: 73 Bogaerts (557 ABs) He had 79 RBIs in 2021. 58 Andrus (535 ABs) RISP Anrus 104 ABs (.231 BA 38 RBI) Bogey 153 ABs (.301 BA 65 RBI) Men on Base Andrus 185 ABs (.265 BA 49 RBI) Bogey 279 ABs (.326 BA 67 RBI) Even with the lower BA in both situations, give Andrus 49 more ABs w RISP and he's about even with Bogey in RBI. Give him 94 more ABs with Men on Base and he'd have more RBI than Bogey. I'm not trying to say he's a better run producer or offensive threat than Bogey, but when looking at replacing the 2022 Bogey, maybe it would not be as bad as it seems, on paper.
  14. moonslav59
    His answer was wordy, choppy and I think he meant added range at SS makes up for a possible weaker arm, especially without the shift and he will likely get to more balls hit to his left (by lefties) than most SS will, and a weaker arm moving to your left is not as harmful as those hit in the hole. Just my take. I'm all aboard the sign Andrus wagon. Overpay for one year would be better than a slight overpay for 2-3 yrs. I guess we could trade him, when Mayer is ready.
  15. moonslav59
    His arm is not horrible. Getting to a ball deep in the hole vs a slow runner helps. It may also keep a runner from second from scoring. Range up the middle saves hits and runs. coming in on slow grounders saves IF hits. One could argue that a great arm doesn't help as much, if you don't get to any balls deep in the hole, too. Range helps. Story still had a plus UZR/150 in 2021 and more DRS in '21 than '18.
  16. moonslav59
    Top FA SP Signings: 2023: 185/5 deGrom 162/6 Rodon 87/2 Verlander 72/4 T Walker 68/4 Taillon 63/3 Bassitt 40/3 Eflin 39/3 T Anderson 26/2 Quintana 20/1 Kershaw 20/1 M Perez 25/2 Stripling, Manaea & Heaney 2022 130/3 Scherzer 115/5 R Ray 110/5 Gausman 77/5 ERod 71/3 Stroman 56/4 Jon Gray 50/2 Verlander 44/2 Rodon 44/4 Matz 36/3 Kikuchi 36/3 DeSclafani 21/1 Syndergaard 17/1 Kershaw 2021 102/3 Bauer 24/3 Odorizzi 23/3 T Walker 18/2 M Minor 15/1 Morton 11/1 Kluber & Smyly 10/1 Richards 2020 324/9 Cole 245/7 Strasburg 118/5 Wheeler 80/4 Ryu 55/3 Keuchel 28/3 Gibson 24/2 Roark 18/1 Hamels So many were or are still are complete disasters. Others were pretty bad. Only a few look okay to good.
  17. moonslav59
    Sounds like the Sox made the right choice.
  18. moonslav59
    Maybe because they remember him pre-2020 or 2019. The kid showed a lot of promise after that 4.9 fWAR season of 2018. He was 23 years old and not yet close to "prime." Throw out the 2020 season and he's been at: 1.8 1.7 2.8 If he can stay near 2.8, that $15M per looks pretty good, in today's market, and yes, even 2,0 or 1.75 would not be a terrible signing compared to the going rates. LF in Yankee Stadium would dissuade me from wanting him there, if I were the Yankee GM.
  19. moonslav59
    The Wallace for Mills trade and Hosmer DFA stirred up some 40 man roster talk, but what about the 26 man roster configuration? I have to think someone is going to be traded, or our IL list will be crowded on opening day- maybe some with phantom injuries. The 13 pitchers without any more additions (and I hope the plan is to add a SP'er and not move Houck to the rotation.) SP1 Sale or Paxton (the other on the IL) SP2 Whitlock SP3 Houck SP4 Bello SP5 Pivetta Swingman: Crawford or Winckowski/Seabold/Mata (the others in AAA) Closer: Jansen RP2: Martin RP3: Schreiber RP4: Barnes RP5: Joely RP6: Mills RP7: Brasier (DFA or IL?) or Taylor/Kelly/German/Mata/Wink/Seabold (later:Walter/Murphy) If we add another pitcher to the 26, does Brasier finally reach his 99th life, or do we trade someone from these 13? The pitchers with options are our better ones.
  20. moonslav59
    Beni gets $15M x 5. Great for him! I'd say that's a pretty big overpay, but what does "overpay" even mean, anymore?
  21. moonslav59
    Think of all the talent he acquired. Think of all his the talent Haywood then squandered.
  22. moonslav59
    True. Maybe we should play Sale at 1B, so as not to risk hurting his arm. (Just kidding.)
  23. moonslav59
    I'm all for Devers Forevers, and one selling point to getting him to extend would be to start the extension in 2023 with a bigger salary than the arb would have given him. Extension, now: $340M/10 ($34M AAV for 10 years) Extension after 2023: $16M in 2023 $324M x9 ($36M AAV for 9 nyrs) Same total money. Extending now, helps the AAV starting in 2024 and for 9 years. Extending no, gives Devers more money up front, and with inflation so high, that's a much better thing for him. Personally, I'd even go 12 years at $32M. He might take $30M x 12 or 13 yrs. Too bad we didn't lock him up before he saw what people got, this winter.
  24. moonslav59
    Is Richard O'Connell still around? Now, that guy knew talent when he saw it.
  25. moonslav59
    Of course, great range helps compensate for other defensive deficiencies- just as a good arm and "making all the sure plays" helps compensate for a lack of good range. With there no longer being a shift, it will be helpful having a SS with tremendous range. It's like having a SS be in two places at once. I don't think Story's arm is as weak as some think it is, but I don't know. My guess is he is no Johnny Damon.
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