moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Maybe when Story returns?
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I do, too. BTW, Mondesi is out, too. That makes 3 middle IF'er out, at the same time.
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I always feel like we have a good chance to win, when Pivetta starts. I feel better with him starting than Kluber.
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By next "ranking," I meant mid-summer. I thought I said that. I'm looking at their 3 per year rankings, only. I agree, no way Drohan passes Perales in the early May tweak.
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My supposition was, "if this continues." Of course, if Drohan comes back down to earth, and Perales gains better control, it won't happen. Once again, I AM NOT saying I think it will happen. The Perales over Romero was a misclick.
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That was the sign many of us saw that worried us about where the club was heading for the next 3-4 years. They had an incredible foundation built that could have had the window extended, at least one more year.
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I'd add that Verdugo looks for real like the very good player we thought we traded for. Duran might have finally found the approach that works for him. I'm not sure how he improved his defense, so quickly, of if this has just been a lucky streak. Our catchers look to be close to even with the Vaz-Plawecki tandem. I'm still waiting for Bello to put a streak together, but I think he can and will be a big plus for us, this year.
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Agreed, and again, I'm not saying I think it will happen. They also like Drohan's stuff, and he is showing it with results. If he keeps doing so, he will rise. The question is by how much.
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Yup. I think $108M/5 is a great bargain for SEA.
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Perhaps the most puzzling "no spend" winter was the 2018-2019 one. They lost HRam, Kimbrell, Pomeranz and Kelly and added just about nobody. (They kept Nate & Pearce with the money lost.) That was a better "last hurrah" moment.
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Again, I am not saying Drohan will jump Perales, only that it might happen, and nowhere did I say Perales will drop out of the top 10 or even drop. He could stay the same or even rise due to the attrition caused by casas graduating, but Drohan could still pass him. We could see: 1. Mayer 1. Mayer 2. Bleis 3. Rafaela 4. Yorke 5. Mata 6. Drohan 7. Perales 8. Romero 9. Walter
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To me, Drohan's jump was largely based on speculation due to the things you mentioned. Now he is showing it and should get another bump. He can't jump as much as he just did. There are not enough slots ahead of him.
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Agreed, and I listen to every podcast. To me, Perales needs to get his BB rate under control to maintain his ranking. I remember Roniel Raudes being highly ranked due to scouting and not on the field performance, but he tumbled quickly. It can happen. Owens, too.
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I think it affected Henry's spending ideas more than Chaim's choices. I'm not even sure the plan was to sign Story. I have no evidence to support the notion, and I'm not sure it's true, but I do wonder, if Henry just reacted to the swelling rumbles from Sox Nation and thought he'd throw a bone our way. I'm still baffled why they did not re-set in 2022 and go big in 2023, but this punting thing seems to have taken hold of the organization, and I don't think it's Chaim's idea or plan. I do think Chaim is fully on board with hoarding prospects and not pulling off a Castillo-type trade. I think the outlandish salaries given out this past winter were just too much for Henry and Chaim to match, so they did what they felt was "enough" to keep us relevant (many here disagree, of course) and punted on the rotation, once again.
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Their hope was that we might have 4 solid #3's and a solid #5 (Pivetta), but that is not a winning strategy, even with great hitting and a good pen. I think they saw Whitlock as a #2 ceiling guy for 2023 and maybe Sale as a longer shot at reaching #2. Yes, Kluber, Bello and Pivetta as #3 ceilings. Paxton as a who-knows-what? It's not a winning plan. It's a punt. 4-5 years of punting is frustrating.
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What makes me really think back to Castillo is his extension at $108M/5. Compare that to Cole. Ding, ding, DING!
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I get the 20 year old thing, and I'm not saying I think Drohan will pass him- only that it is possible. They jumped Perales by a lot- based on 35 IP in 2022 and what they felt about him back in 2019. They jumped Drohan by a lot, too, in the last rankings, and he is pitching out of this world. Yes, he's much older, and a lot can happen between now and July.
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Committing to over $650M since the Story signing is "opening the wallet," to me. I get the fact that the added salary committed to 2023 barely replaced what came off the books from 2022, but when you look at where we were after the budget cuts that actually began before the 2019 season, we have begun to return to the high added spending of previous years. From the winter of '18-'19 to the Story signing in March 2022, we were far from spending like a large market team, but since then, I disagree with your take.
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You should change your name to "The Almighty."
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We do better with blockbusters for aces (Pedro, Schilling, Beckett and Sale) than FAs (Lackey, Price.)
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I don't disagree. He should not be our #1 or #2. As bad as he's pitched, 4.8 IP/GS seemed high, to me.
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Agreed. I'm okay with varying the order, but at some point, you need to build the rotation from the top- not the middle and bottom. I'm okay with cycling to rings, but we are overdue. The last major expenditure on the rotation was just an extension (Sale) not an addition. That is way too many years to neglect the most important area of a team.
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It's hard to know, if he can adjust or get that velo back. He has lasted 4.8 IP per start, which is not too far from the league avg of 5.2, but I agree with your point.
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Not hearing much from the Yoshida doubters, anymore. (Stay tuned, though.) Sox OPS+ Leaders 308 Duval 184 Duran 131 Verdugo 126 Yoshida 124 Devers 102 McGuire 102 Valdez 99 Turner 96 Tapia 94 Kike (on the rise) 84 Wong (on the rise) 73 Refsnyder 64 Arroyo (on the rise) 59 Casas
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I agree, each trade should be judged on its own merits, but it is not uncommon to think, at the time of the trade, that we gave up a lot, but from an area of strength, so it hurts less. Now, on the Betts trade, after losing him, we did not have "strength in the OF," but Verdugo was meant to lessen the blow of losing Mookie, and his 5 years of control vs 1 was the key. Adding budget space is often a big help, but since it took us 3 years to replace Mookie and half-Price's salaries, I'm not sure it helped all that much. On the Vaz trade, he was going to be a FA, and we knew we were not re-signing him, due in part to having Wong in the wings and the McGuire addition in the works, at the time. I have no problem with people seeing the trade as a three team deal: Vaz to HOU Diekman to CWS McGuire, Valdez, Abreu and the Hosmer rental to BOS (I do think we make the Vaz trade, even if we didn't add McGuire.)
