moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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If he gets to 20 GS'd, he will likely have earned it. he might not get past 11 or 12 starts.
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When Story and Duvall return, maybe we see this for playing time. (When Mondesi returns, who knows what happens?) C Wong/McGuire continue, as is. 1B Casas vs most RHPs/ Turner vs some RHPs and all LHPs 2B Valdez vs most RHPs/ Kike vs some RHPs and all LHPs (Arroyo traded) SS Story FT (Kike gives rest) 3B Devers FT (Turner gives rest) LF Duvall vs most RHPs and some LHPs/Yoshida vs some RHPs and some LHPs CF Duran vs all RHPs/Duvall vs most LHPs & Duran vs some LHPs (Kike some?) RF Verdugo FT (Duvall gives rest) DH Turner v most RHPs/ Yoshida vs some RHPs and most LHPs I think we can find enough playing time for Kike, Valdez, Casas and Duran. Yoshida, Turner and Duvall will play pretty much FT but at different positions. Mondesi is a switch hitter, but he has been sporadic at the plate and one wonders how the injury will affect his defense. He may not play much, once he returns. A lot might depend on how Kike and Valdez are doing.
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I get it. Plus, they are the only starters we have, right now, that can go 7. (Bello walks too many to get to 7.)
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I don't think acquiring a decent SP'er before July is something we can hope for, but sure, when the time comes, great! I'm fine with Story at SS, if the Sox think he's okay there. I see a Kike-Valdez platoon at 2B and maybe an Arroyo trade. I think when Duvall returns, it will be decision time for Casas. Duran CF, Duvall/Yoshida LF, Yoshida/Turner DH, Turner/Casas 1B. We can make it work. Duvall can play some CF, when Duran sits, and some RF, too, when Dugo needs a break. It might end up as a Casas vs most righties and no lefties.
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Who are we "adding?" Someone successful as the long man?
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Yes, I went back and looked. You were right. My concern was largely unfounded. I no longer feel it was all that risky.
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So is Kluber's... LOL!
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I don't either.
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$20M in 2025 might be the going rate for a 3 starter by then.
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That is an awful K rate and even higher than his 2018 rate in the minors (32%.) The main issue, to me, with dalbec is that the BB rate never has transferred to the bigs. OBP .347 Rk/A- 2017 .361 AA/A+ 2018 .356 AAA/AA 2019 .359 MLB in 92 PAs 2020 .298 MLB 2022 (.302 AAA) .283 MLB 2023 (.405 AAA)
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Wouldn't that be something! BTW, this is Sale's remaining contract: 24:$27.5M, 25:$20M club option (2025 option guaranteed if Sale finishes in top 10 in 2024 Cy Young vote and is not on the injured list at end of 2024 season)
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I don't think it is in anybody's best interest to run Paxton into the ground. That being said, I did not mean to open a can of worms by saying I was scared about letting him go over 90-100 pitches. After looking at all his starts in AAA, it doesn't look like a big deal, anymore, to me, but I do think we probably don't want him to go 109 pitches, every 5 days. If they guy keeps grooving it, I'm all for letting him go 110. (Yes, I flipped.)
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I guess not wanting to pay an old pitcher for 2 or more years means they don't "trust him."
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Just curious why you think the guy with a 7.00+ ERA in the last month deserves another shot over Kluber. (Not saying it's a bad call- just wondering.)
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Maybe not assign a particular tandem, which is what piggybacking is, but if we have Crawford, Wink and Pivetta in the pen, all capable of going 3 (maybe 4+ w Crawford and Pivetta), we should be able to have 1 or 2 ready to go, everytime Whitlock or Houck start. If Kluber is moved to the pen, maybe we'd have 4 "long men."
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A regain of control is the only hope.
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I figured they probably would not match the offense of Vaz, but Plawecki's was so bad, I felt they could come close to what our catchers have done over the year on O, but that the area for improvement could come from is on defense. The other thing about Vaz and his offense was that he was very inconsistent from year to year. OPS+ 73 55 92 46 103 111 77 98 (For a catcher 77 is not all that bad, and neither was his 84 career OPS+ w BOS.) Catcher OPS .709 2023 .694 2022 .686 2021 .865 2020 (short season) .744 2019 .534 2018 Wong has really shown a lot of promise on D, while McGuire, who apparently was supposed to be better has been in some sort of funk.
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If you look at just ERs and IP, Kluber's last 5 starts don't look horrific, but we all know, he's been worse than this shows: IP/ ER 6.0/1 5.1/3 5.0/3 5.0/4 2.1/1 4.56 ERA, but... 6.00 FIP .849 OPS Against 1.56 WHIP (37 H+BB in 23.2 IP) Again, though, all but Sale, paxton and Bello have sucked and have been doing their best to NOT win a rotation slot.
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He may get more. (Not saying he deserves it.) I had really hoped someone from Mata, Walter or Murphy would step it up in AAA and push for a chance at a slot in the rotation, but they've all gone backwards. It seems like Crawford and Wink really like the long relief role, so I hate to mess with that, but we may have to try one, if this 4 and 5 slot thing does not get solved, soon. The contenders and their ERAs and recent numbers: 8.00 Crawford (2 GS way back) 6.30 Pivetta 6.26 Kluber 6.19 Whitlock 5.48 Houck Last 28 days 7.54 Pivetta (Does this deserve another look more than Kluber?) 6.65 Houck (Getting through 1 time might be our best choice) 4.56 Kluber (His FIP is 6.00- yikes!) 1.69 Crawford (5.1 IP as RP) No IP Whitlock (He has to get a long look at SP.) I'm all for going with Whitlock & Houck, but it's not like any of these guys are earning it.
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I'm not saying they made the wrong call- just that it got me concerned. AAA Starts 4/9 3 IP 4/14 3.1 IP 4/19 0.2 4/25 4.1 4/30 5.1 5/5 5.0 That certainly is as much or more than ST'ing, so my comment on that was not right.
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5/21 Sox @ Padres
moonslav59 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
He hasn't been able to "reinvent" himself from the glory days that ended in 2018. He only started 8 games in 2019-2020. From 2021-2022, he showed a little hope of getting to be okay, but maybe age caught up, at that point. 4.17 ERA in 47 GS, including 31 in 2022. In 2023: 8.50 ERA first 4 games (7.40 FIP in 18 IP) 4.56 ERA last 5 games (6.00 FIP in 24 IP) We are still looking for our 4 and 5 starters. -
Honestly? About the same as Pivetta: maybe none, but I really don't want Houck or Whitlock starting either, but not because I think hey have lost their edge, but because they seem way better suited for the pen. Crawford belongs in the pen. He's done great there and has struggled as a SP'er. Career 6.22 SP 3.31 RP My point is that this is not a slam dunk choice to make, and until we find our 4-5 starters I'm not going to DFA Kluber (even if he was signed at $1M.) One more start seems okay with me. Maybe two. How Whitlock and Houck do in their next 2 starts might change our views, depending on how Kluber and Pivetta look in the next 10 days, too.
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Okay, Got it. Still, Pivetta and Whitlock have not been any better. They all have about the same ERA. Last 28 days (before today's 1 ER start by Kluber) No IP Whitlock 7.97 Pivetta 6.65 Houck 4.64 Kluber I'm upset with Kluber, too, but it's not some clear choice that Pivetta is better. I'd certainly start Whitlock over Kluber. My 5 would be this, but there are some quirks... Sale Paxton Bello Houck (should really be in the pen) Whitlock (May prove he belongs in the open, too.) #6 Pivetta & Kluber are a coin toss, to me.
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So, Pivetta back starting or Crawford or ____?
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5/21 Sox @ Padres
moonslav59 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
We should have signed Wacha over Kluber. He even had a lower AAV