moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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My main point is that Ref should start every game vs LHPs. IMO, playing LF or DH is the only place he should play, except maybe RF in some short RF stadiums. IMO, sitting Duran and Dugo makes the most sense, and since Ref plays LF, I chose Duran as the primary platoon guy, but I'm fine with not calling it that, if it soothes you guys. Last year, we faced a LH'd SP'er 42 times (about 25% of the games.) I could see it broken down like this: 22 games for Duran in LF 10 games for Dugo (someone else plays RF, unless it is a short RF stadium) 10 games DH for Yoshida (more games off than I would give a FT DH, but it is what it is.) This way we can call Duran the FT LF'er! HURRAY! (You talked me off the hill I was about to die on! LOL!)
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It does matter, as do runs scored as a result of speed.
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Can he sustain his .318 and .302 BAbip from 2021 and 2022?
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Indeed, and the money used from "unrestricted donations" could have been used in other areas, where public money is being used.
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Are you saying Duran's .400 BAbip vs LHPs is more sustainable?
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So, are you say8ing you prefer Ref play RF (for Dugo) vs LHPs over LF (for Duran?) Maybe play Duran in CF, Ref in LF and Rafaela in RF?
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Playing your best OBP guy is the correct use, yes. Since Ref sucks vs RHPs, yes, you force a platoon on whoever deserves to sit more: Duran, Dugo or Yoshida, but yes, Ref needs to start every game vs a LH'd SP'er. IMO, Duran deserves to sit the most, due to Ref sucking in RF, and Yoshida hitting LHPs better than Dugo and Duran. I'm fine with matching it up, so Ref does play in RF and DH when those two get a day off, and that might get Duran 10-20 starts vs a LHP, but to start the yea, I see Duran being the odd man out- most of the time.
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Wow! Thanks for pointing that out. I never knew this! 49 PAs: 0 SB, 3 DBLs (maybe some were leg dbls, but no more than 3,) 4 runs scored (1 every 12.2 PAs.) vs RHPs: 313 PAs, 22 SBs, 33 dbls + trpls and 42 runs scored (1 every 9.5 PAs) Of course Duran's speed adds to his value. IMO, it does not add enough to overtake Ref's value as a .420+ OBP guys- yes, in 2023, too! Ref vs LHPs in 2023 (his "off year.":) .428 OBP 145 PAs, 4 SBs, 7 dbld + trpls and 21 runs scored (a runs cored every 6.9 PAs)
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Yes, I pointed that out, already- twice. I would hesitate to play Ref in RF, unless it is a short RF stadium, so maybe a handful of games giving Dugo a day off. He could DH, when Yoshida gets a day off, and I'm sure Cora will give him more than most FT Dh's get, so he could get some there. The rest should be in LF, where his defense is as hidden as Duran's.
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He's not worth a roster slot as a weak fielding PH'er. It's not about the money. It's about correct use of a 26 man roster.
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I don't make determinations over 49 PAs. Platooning Duran does not mean he gets zero PAs vs LHPs. He'd have plenty of opportunities to show he can repeat his 2023 line vs LHPs or improve on it. He could even start a few games vs LHPs, when Yoshida is given one of his 10-12 scheduled days off, even as a DH. He could play RF in some short RF parks, while we give Dugo some of his 10-12 scheduled days off. If Duran shows he can hit LHPs, then Ref gets his starts somewhere else. He will get chances to prove it, even when platooned.
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Of course, .791 in the short season. .791 in 82 PAs '20 .554 in 201 PAs '21 (Man O Man Cora really stuck with this all year?!) .693 in 170 PAs '22 (Another full season) .609 in 161 PAs '23 (Started 31 games v LH'd SP'er.) If Ref didn't suck on D, platooning RF might be the better choice.)
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The only reason Ref is on the team is to play vs LHPs. I suppose he could play RF a few games, while Dugo gets one of his dozen scheduled days off. He could DH, when Yoshida gets his dozen, and we can watch Duran flail against LHPs. all year. MVP points out that Ref's .828 OPS vs L's, last year was not great. While true, it was still way better than most returning Sox players who play corner OF, and it's the differential that counts. .875 McGuire (27 PAs reverse split) .828 Refsnyder (.428 OBP!!!!!) .824 Devers .817 Casas .787 Urias .772 Reyes .749 Duran (Note to notin: .327 OBP and ZERO SBs in his 49 PAs vs LHPs.) .746 Yoshida (to DH) .645 Rafaela .624 Story .609 Dugo (Maybe Ref should platoon in RF.) .501 Wong .400 Abreu (10 PAs) .393 EValdez (16 PAs) I'm not "dying on a hill," but Ref needs to start every single game vs a LH'd SP'er, or he's near useless. (He's barely worth his roster slot, as it is.)
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That's what they said about Dugo... and he never did.
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The team announced his remaining salary will not be paid by public funds, but rather by unrestricted alumni contributions and and the athletic department via cuts made to the athletic department budget.
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I hope the Yanks get him.
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ETAs of our top prospects- coming soon to a stadium near you! 2024 4. Rafaela 6. Yorke 12. Abreu 13. Drohan 15. Walter DHam, Mata (out of options), Guerrero, Scott, Fernandez, 2025 1. Mayer 2. Anthony 5. Teel 8. Wikelman 16. Meidroth 19. Hickey 21. EValdez Dobbins, Bastardo, Gambrell, Hoppe, Rosier, Troye, Song 2026 3. Bleis 17. Castro 18. Romero 20. Paulino Monegro, Jordan, E R-C, Rogers, Penrod, Campbell 2027 8. Zanetello 10. Cespedes 14. Jo Garcia A Anderson, Brannon, Ravelo
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We do know Ref has the best OPPS vs LHPs of all returning Sox players. The best Duran has done was .749 in less than 50 PAs in '23.
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I can't see Duran outhitting Ref vs LHPs, and his speed does not make up the difference. Ref only has value playing vs LHPs. If he won't be starting vs LHPs, then trade him.
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So, you bench our best returning hitter vs LHPs, for this? Might as well trade Ref, if we bench him vs LHPs.
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You are putting a lot of faith into a pretty small sample size vs LHPs in 2023. Duran... .570 career vs LHPs (.261 OBP) .445 2021-2022 v LHPs- in 70 PAs (.231 OBP) .749 in 2023 vs LHPs (.327 OBP in just 49 PAs) I do NOT think we should hand him the FT job, when we have Refsnyder: 1.005 in 2022 (.411 OBP in 73 PAs) .889 from .22-'23 (.422 OBP in 2018 PAs) Top Sox returning batters vs LHPs '22-'23: .889 Ref .784 Devers .783 Story .777 Casas .772 Dalbec & Reyes .746 Yoshida
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I'm sure they would prefer Anthony. They might prefer Bleis & Abreu, instead. Some, here, feel Keller is a number 3 type, so it's not like we are getting an ace.
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A 5 year "ticking clock." Keller has 2 years. Bednar has 3 years. Reynolds has 7 expensive years, whereas Duran will be cheap. (No way he stays with the Pirates for 7 years.)
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BTV accepted these trades (not sure I'd do them:) Dugo, Yorke & Drohan for Donovan & Woodford Dugo & EValdez for Torres & Y Gomez Dugo & Bleis for Corbin Burnes Dugo & Jansen for Javier & Dubon Dugo & Schreiber for AJ Puk Dugo for Javier & S Dubin Dugo for M Dubon & M Tamarez Dugo, Walter & Jimenez for Gabe Speier Dugo, Yorke & Mata for Soto Duran & Mayer for M Keller, Bednar & B Reynolds Duran, Yorke & Mata for Dylan Cease Duran for Donovan & Matz Duran for Luis Garcia & Dubon & C Javier (HOU would say NO!)
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A few near misses in the top 10, but no losses by any top 12 team. Big games remaining: Next week: GA @ TN (who just lost to Mizzou) WSH @ ORE St Thanksgiving weekend: ORE St @ ORE Ohio St @ Mich FSU @ FLA ALA @ AUB Then, conference games... (Likely match-ups) Ohio St/ Mich winner v Iowa GA v ALA FSU v Louisville WASH v ORE or ORE St/AZ TX vs OK, KSt or OK St
