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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Yes, we effectively replaced Turner with Rafaela/Abreu, as Yoshida's OF was filled by them. That's a huge drop. Grissom> 2023 2B, an increase from our catchers and O'Neill over Duvall/Verdugo probably can't make up the difference. I was hoping for monster years by Devers and Casas, and an uptick at SS with Story, but that is not looking good after 2 weeks.
  2. moonslav59
    I'm not sure it was luck. When you lead the league in grounders, you get a lot of IF hits.
  3. moonslav59
    It looks that way, now. I expect Devers & Casas to step it up, but I doubt O'Neill keeps this up. Grissom is a big question mark, but he should be an upgrade from the .663 OPS at 2B, last year. O'Neill may do better than Duvall/Verdugo, but Rafaela/Abreu look scary on O, right now. I expect better O from our catchers.
  4. moonslav59
    The Sox were 28 runs from 800 in 2023. I doubt they hit 800, but they might come close to 772.
  5. moonslav59
    True, but .830 through 112 games is good. You can break it up many ways. .557 7/31 to 8/21 .734 8/22 to 9/9 This makes saying all of August sucked look not so true. He really had 3 bad stretches: First 13 games 18 games from 7/31 to 8/21 Last 15 games He had a 79 game hot streak at .905 (4/20 to 7/30) He had a meh streak from 8/22 to 9/9 at .734. I'm sure someone could split this into 6 or 7 "streaks," and show something different.
  6. moonslav59
    ...and apparently the selling not buying aspect of trades not made.
  7. moonslav59
    He hits the ball so weakly, I'm not sure loft would help.
  8. moonslav59
    He had a 112 game stretch at .830. That was an 80% of season, continuous "stretch." 112/140
  9. moonslav59
    It's interesting to note that our LHBs have a higher OPS vs LHPs than RHPs (.714 to .655) , so far, and our RHBs have a much better OPS vs RHP (.771 to .655.)
  10. moonslav59
    I'm just looking at improvements (or not) from 2023- even if just slight.
  11. moonslav59
    Knew it was bound to happen.
  12. moonslav59
    Thanks for the insights- always welcome. Do you watch their games?
  13. moonslav59
    You make "that stretch" sound like it was a month long, or something. He was still at .901 on June 4th, 2023. From April 20 to Sept 9th, he hit .830 (112 games and 469 PAs out of his 580 total.) His two bad stretches were: .560 to start the year (13 games- sound familiar?) .591 last 15 games of the season. It seems more accurate to say his 2023 season was marred by two 2-week stretches than to say he was carried by pretty strong 5 month "stretch." That being said, I am losing confidence, very quickly, here, despite the fact that he started off slowly, last year, too.
  14. moonslav59
    He will turn 28, after the season is over. Many players have career bests at 28 or older. He's had 2-3 great seasons, batting, and can do better with the same approach Vlad Guerrero rode to greatness. I'm not saying a change can't help, nor am I predicting a .950+ season, but there is a significant chance he hits .950+ in the next few years.
  15. moonslav59
    Devers certainly can still have a bust out year that blows 2019 or 2021 away. He's only 27. I don't expect his defense to improve.
  16. moonslav59
    I'm thinking maybe one gets a Sept call-up- 2 at most. Instead, we'll see guys like Abreu and Rafaela playing FT (assume O'Neill traded.) We'll see McGuire traded and maybe Teel called up, but my guess is someone else gets a look-see- maybe even Hickey, who could DH some, if we squeeze Yoshida out. (Heineman?) I think Romy, Valdez and DHam might get longer looks, assuming they haven't already shown they suck by the deadline. Maybe Meidroth and or Sogard gets a look. No need to talk about great prospect pitchers knocking loudly on the door.
  17. moonslav59
    Exactly! Recent grads: 2023: Casas, Grissom, Bernardino, Valdez, Murphy, Kelly 2022: Bello, Duran, Crawford, Wink, Wong 2021: Houck & Whitlock Rafaela, Slaten, Abreu, DHam and others will graduate this year, most likely. Plus, Devers is younger than Houck, Crawford, Whitlock and Wong! We have a pretty solid base of young and controlled players on the 26, already. Lord knows, we still have holes- some very big, but add a few more from the big 3 and beyond, and that core should get even better.
  18. moonslav59
    I think this is one area for fans to think they have a better idea of when a prospect is "ready" or not. Then, there is the whole years of service during prime vs pre-prime aspect to the choice. I've always just trusted they team knows better than I do, on this. I'm sure they get things wrong, at times. On Teel, Anthony and Mayer, I don't think any are ML ready, now. I don't see any need to rush them and start their "clocks." Sure, I'd love to watch them, right now, and maybe they'd hit the ground running, if we called them up, soon, but I'd rather have them an extra year at ages 28-30 than at 21 to 24, and no, we can't just expect we can pay them through prime. We should know better, by now.
  19. moonslav59
    Indeed, but even Duran is improved and may be better in CF than the mix we had in 2023. Ref in LF is not much better than Yoshida.
  20. moonslav59
    I think there are more teams with serious flaws than we may think. I'm still holding onto a sliver of hope.
  21. moonslav59
    I doubt we see them, this year. September call-ups are limited, now. It is looking more and more like Yoshida was a complete failure, but he will be given a long leash in a punt season and at that pay. Maybe someday, we see... C: Teel & Wong 1B: Devers/Casas DH: Casas/Devers 2B: Grissom SS: Story 3B: Mayer LF: Duran CF: Rafaela RF: Anthony We still need pitching, but with all these pre-arb and arb contracts, even a stingy JH should allow us to build a winner. For 5 years, the question has been "How Soon Is Now?" When you say it's gonna happen now When exactly do you mean? See I've already waited too long And all my hope is gone
  22. moonslav59
    We can be pretty sure, they would not have spent his $313M elsewhere.
  23. moonslav59
    I think they did address the defense. Grissom should be better than Arroyo/Vadlez/Urias/Reyes/Kike. Rafaela is light years better than Duvall/Duran in CF. Duran is better than Yoshida in LF. We expected growth at 1B and C. Story was expected to vastly improve the SS D, and he did for 2 short weeks. RF and 3B looked like pushes. Some of us have suggested ways to improve 3B defense, but have been largely ridiculed for doing so. The lack of addressing the rotation was more neglectful, despite how the rotation has looked, so far. Now, with Story out, the defense cannot improve by nearly as much as planned/expected, but it still should move up from 28th to 30th in 2023 to around 20-24th. Not great, but still it may end up being the only area of improvement by October.
  24. moonslav59
    Our rotation, to date: 0.00 Houck 6 IP per start (2 GS) 0.57 Crawford 5.1 IP per start (3 GS) 0.82 Pivetta 5.2 IP per start (2 GS) 0.96 Whitlock 4.2 IP per GS (2 GS) 4.11 B Bello 5.1 IP per GS (3 GS) I doubt any other team has 5 SP'ers averaging 4.2 or more IP per start. I know no other team has ERAs like these. (1.42 rotation ERA) 63.1 IP in 12 GS (5.1 per start) 43 Hits 18 BB 71 Ks The sample size has grown to the point where we could have a game where our SP'er lets up 10 ERs in 5 IP
  25. moonslav59
    In 2023, we were 30th in OAA. In 2024, we are 21st, so far. Fangraphs has us 21st. (30th, last season) DRS has us 21st. (24th, last season) It's improved, but just not a whole lot. Kike, alone, killed the club's chances in April, last year. We had about 3-4 positions that were dead last.
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