These guys do offer some hope for glory in 2024, but to me, we need too many things to click, all at once, for us to go anywhere in '24.
I also think we are hurting our chances at having a top tier pen by using 2-3 of our tweener pitchers as starters.
I think our offense will be top 10 or very near it.
I think our defense should improve from 28th to 30th to near average or near 20th.
Our pen strength depends, heavily, on where Pivetta, Crawford, Houck, Whitlock and Wink spend most of their time.
The rotation holds the key.
Adding Giolito to replace the injury-prone Sale-Paxton tandem does look encouraging, but those two did coombine for 39 GS and nearly 200 IP, last season, so he can't really fill all those starts lost. The rest will have to come from our tweeners.
Adding one more innings eater, even if not a great or even very good SP'er would at least greatly improve the pen, on paper.
Paxton may or may not start 20-30 games, next year. Clevinger rates to start more. Someone like Lorenzen might be who we settle on.
I'm trying real hard to look for glimmers of hope, so I reposted this post of mine from a few days ago, highlighting the best of the best these pitchers of ours have done, in recent seasons- some very recently.
I do realize, some teams have gone very far without a plus rotation, but that is rare. Certainly, our odds of doing well in 2024 would improve by adding a solid SP'er. I just don't see how we do it, unless we trade Jansen, and then we are essentially robbing Peter to pay Paul.