So here we are on Labor Day and on the one talksox thread that is all about "a realistic view at 2017." So what is our realistic view today?
Mine is that the Yankees series did more damage than just losing 3 of 4 to the only team that can beat us for the AL East title. It is also a terrible reminder of just how regressive our hitting has become since the 16-4 streak moonslav likes to talk about. Last night was the 10th straight game--with Friday night being a wonderful and most welcome exception--when our hitters have been unable to get to the starters of three different teams (Orioles, Jays, and Yankees). We won all 3 Jays games because their bullpen is horrendous, but we never got to their 3 starters who each gave up just 1 run.
At the same time the Yankees were able to get to three of our four starters--ERod (who actually pitched well for 5 innings), Pom (ditto), and Sale (who now has 1 quality start in his last 4 starts). Season to date, the Sox lead the AL in quality starts with 77. Our rotation has been our oasis in the scoring desert of this season, and our bullpen has been pretty good too. They are why we are still 1st in the AL East. They will likely still be good enough to get us there because we have a weak schedule in the remaining 25 games or so. But right now I have my doubts about them in the playoffs. Think of this now concluded Yankees series as a preview of the ALDS. Think the Guardians instead of the Yankees. Remember last year. Scary, isn't it?
A sidebar on the manager. If the Sox don't deliver this year, he is gone, and that will be fair. But consider this. The four best teams (most wins) in the AL are the Astros, Guardians, Red Sox, and Yankees in that order. The other three teams have, in the same order, scored 162, 179, and 137 runs more than their opponents in the roughly 136 games played to date by each team. The Sox have scored 81 runs more than their opponents. Those are of course very rough numbers and can no doubt be interpreted many ways, but my take is that they at least suggest the admittedly very slim possibility that Farrell has done more with less than the other three managers.