In this 4 game series, the Sox vs. Yankees starters will be:
Houck (ERA 3.38) vs. Montgomery (ERA 4.18)
ERod (ERA 5.19) vs. Cole (ERA 2.63)
Eovaldi (ERA 3.57) vs. Taillon (ERA 4.60)
Perez (ERA 4.16) vs. German (ERA 4.16)
I think Cole has the edge (over ERod) for the Yankees in game 2 and Eovaldi (over Taillon) for the Sox in game 3. The other two are crapshoots--remembering of course moonslav's adage that mismatches often produce surprising outcomes.
The Sox to date have a +63 run differential and the Yankees +10--the latter mostly because of their tepid hitting which, however, just might be coming back to life.
Both teams need this series even though the Yankees need it more.
For the Sox tonight's game is the first of 11 back to back games vs. the other three AL East contenders: 4 vs. the Yankees, 4 vs. the Jays, and 3 @ the Trop vs. the Rays.
Then, after 3 @ Detroit, the Sox play 4 more at Toronto (not Buffalo), including a double-header with the make-up game) and 3 at Fenway vs. the Rays.
So that's 18 of 21 games vs. three winning teams, all of whom have a shot at the wild card or the AL East title.
Oh, and right in the middle of those 21 games comes July 31, the so-called final date for making a deal for this season.