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Maxbialystock

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Everything posted by Maxbialystock

  1. Maxbialystock
    Did Hill grimace after he fell when he made that great play to get the last out in the 3d? If so, he then threw a perfectly clean 4th inning. Then the wheels came off in the 5th when he gave up a walk and a triple, got an out, then walked Contreras, mound visit, then a single to Happ, then an HBP. Somewhere in there I can agree Hill maybe should have been pulled sooner, but then of course, Danish wasn't much use, ditto Robles, ditto Diekman. Also, let's talk about the lineup and that brilliant hitting in the 2d to get 3 runs and a 4-0 lead. Story reached on an error, Cordero singled, and Vazquez got walked before JBJ hit the double. Translation: Sampson helped our guys. Since then, 1 stinking run in 6 innings. Top of the 8th, Dugo singles, and Story, Cordero, and Vazquez all strike out. So let's blame that on Cora as well. Wrong lineup. Ultimately, of course, every MLB manager stays or goes based on wins and losses and the expectations of his bosses.
  2. Maxbialystock
    When was the grimace, and what caused it?
  3. Maxbialystock
    7th inning, lost the 4-0 lead, now down 6-5, and in comes our 4th reliever, Sawamura, who gives up a leadoff double in the 7th.
  4. Maxbialystock
    Ahem. Agree Robles stinks. His WAR is the 2d worst on the pitching staff. -.4 before today but now probably -.5 of worse. But consider. We have now seen THREE FREAKIN RELIEVERS get 4 outs while giving up 4 runs (Danish gave up the 4th with bases loaded BB), and all three stunk, including Diekman with his gratuitous WP to give up a run, followed by a BB before the final out. On another thread I have argued the bullpen ain't half bad, but clearly I was wrong. We are in the first game of 17 straight games without a break. So pardon me for saying so, but these relievers need to contribute. And, while I am the mood for casting the first stone, Hill with his four freaking walks and 3 ER's didn't help much either.
  5. Maxbialystock
    He sure did.
  6. Maxbialystock
    My error for not mentioning the 3b coach.
  7. Maxbialystock
    Vazquez once again demonstrates his inability to adapt his baserunning aptitude (or lack thereof) to the situation on the field.
  8. Maxbialystock
    Cubs pitchers have given up the 9th most BB's.
  9. Maxbialystock
    Coming into this game the Sox were tied for the 10th fewest BB's.
  10. Maxbialystock
    Whitlock to the bullpen, preferably as early as July 4, gives Cora a devastating 1-2-3 punch (Houck, Schreiber, and Whitlock) for the late innings in close games so that 5 other guys can cover the rest. Bam! Bullpen transformed. Eovaldi and Sale are due back this month--hopefully as soon as the 8-11 July Yankees series--which removes the compelling need for Whitlock to start.
  11. Maxbialystock
    I like it.
  12. Maxbialystock
    I must have said a hundred times that Houck was not the best choice to close, but the sucker is 6-0 in save opportunities, and had an ERA of 1.54 in June. So much for my expertise. However, I also like Schreiber and Whitlock coming in for the later innings in close games. Overall, I also agree the bullpen is better than we (especially yours truly) have given them credit for being.
  13. Maxbialystock
    Schreiber WAR 1.4 Houck 1.3 Davis .8 Whitlock .8 (2.9 last year as a reliever) Sawamura .4 Diekman .4 Strahm .1 Valdez 0 Brasier 0 Robles -.4 Barnes -1.0 Taylor (UNK) Eovaldi is due back this month, so I think this is the rotation-- Pivetta WAR 2.6 Wacha 2.1 Eovaldi 1.3 Sale TBD Hill (.3) or Winckowski (.4)
  14. Maxbialystock
    I'm with you. Elsewhere I said JBJ's fWAR of -0.5 is in fact hurting the team. Refsnyder's fWAR is +.7.
  15. Maxbialystock
    Oh, good grief. "There's no way to know" is tantamount to saying that statistics, shifts, ERA's, fWAR's, and all that stuff have no validity because they guarantee nothing. You can see no difference between a closer with 6 saves (and no blown saves) this month and and an ERA of 1.48--vs Danish, who has no saves and an ERA over 6.
  16. Maxbialystock
    We won't agree and that's fine. You prefer to see the downside for the Sox and, no doubt because of moonslav, I prefer to see the upside. And watch out because, as I said, I alone predicted last night's outcome when the game was tied and well before the 10th innings--and I bet on it. I am, at least on talksox, now the seer of seers.
  17. Maxbialystock
  18. Maxbialystock
    Agree.
  19. Maxbialystock
    The now should have included 2 of the 3 in Toronto, but Houck ducked out. Thus my claim that with Houck the Sox take that series, which followed hard upon taking 3 of 3 @ Cleveland, another winning team, taking 3 of 3 vs. the Tiger, and taking 2 of 3 vs. the Cardinals, a winning team. I was not sold on Houck closing, but now see I was wrong. He has saved 6 games without a blown save and his ERA for June is 1.54. His first save was June 10 @ Seattle, and, including that game, the Sox have gone 13-5, which would have been 14-4 if Houck were vaccinated, against the Jays, Guardians, Tigers, Cardinals, Mariners and the lowly A's. That's what one arm can do for a bullpen.
  20. Maxbialystock
    Good question. The Sox are 43-33 overall, so in the other 8 games they are 6-2.
  21. Maxbialystock
    They are saying July, but no hint about before or after the ASG. He threw his first bullpen session in three weeks yesterday. "Low back inflammation" sounds tricky to me.
  22. Maxbialystock
    Speculation, my aunt fanny. This month was Houck's best single month ever as a reliever: ERA 1.54, 6 of 6 saves including 2 vs. the Cardinals and 1 vs. the Guardians, 1 win, and 1 hold. This will no doubt surprise you, but there are in fact differences between the skill/success levels of different closers--a reality that has haunted the Sox for big chunks of this season. We also have empirical evidence that good relievers made a difference in this Jays series. Schreiber was sent in to face the heart of the Jays order not once, but twice, and both times shut them down.
  23. Maxbialystock
    MLB being what it is, few of you will be surprised that, when I looked at JBJ's game log, I found that the Sox are 37-31 in the 68 games in which he has played.
  24. Maxbialystock
    Some basic math about JBJ. There are 30 MLB teams and more than 30 X 25 = 750 players on the active rosters. Fangraphs assesses JBJ as having an fWAR of -.5. But what gets interesting is that they rank him as the 1217th best player in MLB this season. Loosely translated, that means JBJ should be a part-time, late inning sub or something. Instead, he's ranked freaking 7th on the Sox in at bats. We are almost halfway through the season, and it is unquestionable that JBJ has hurt the Sox this year. And the Sox are paying him $8M--basically, to prevent the Sox from winning.
  25. Maxbialystock
    The Brewers were nuts to sign him for that ridiculous salary (over $10M/year). His overall WAR last year was -.7 and so far this year is -.5.
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