Maxbialystock
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Everything posted by Maxbialystock
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I think Cora is obsessed with the schedule, so much so that he left Buehler in to give up 2 more runs in the 5th and a 4 to 2 lead for Texas. The bullpen is still unscored upon but Cora hates to send them out there because he wants the starters to pitch a minimum of 5 innings and preferably 6 or 7. If Cora pulls Buehler before the 5th, the Sox could have won the game 3-2. Meanwhile Texas is up 2 games to 1 because their manager loves to use his bullpen. I am overstating the case against Cora--of course I am--because the real problem so far is the lousy hitting. Tonight the Sox were 1/12 with RISP.
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Well, I have lived a very virtuous life and therefore had no problems with the mlb.tv broadcast today. Actually, I despise MLB.TV because they rob us blind by farming games out so you have to pay again, to say nothing of their insane blackout rules. I'm lucky I came to this game discussion late because I was very unhappy with the top of the order and would have said so endlessly. Defense definitely looked improved and Abreu had a game he is not likely to forget. Our pricey starter barely made it through 5 innings, but I give him credit for giving up just 2 runs. The bullpen was a revelation. Great start to the season!
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Article: AL East Preview 2025: New York Yankees
Maxbialystock replied to Nick John's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Seriously? Those were the exact three seasons when John Henry kept cutting payroll, which actually went back to 2019 when he decided Mookie was unaffordable. I had a great time last year posting how well the teams with low team salaries were winning, but it was the big salary teams who played in the WS. I hate paying Bregman $40M x 3, but apparently that's what it takes even with those talented guys on the farm. Heck, the farm also gave us Duran, Rafaela, Devers, Wong, Abreu, Casas, Bello, et al. I don't see the Yanks finishing below .500, but I like moonslav's point about age. Plus the losses of Cole and Soto have to hurt. -
Early on Devers made it quite clear he wanted to play 3b. He changed his tune when he realized his expectations were unrealistic. I personally was OK with Devers at 3b, errors and all, but that makes no sense with Bregman on the team. Devers gets the same salary at DH he was getting at 3b.
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Dodgers take the WS, 4 games to 1, beating the Yankees at Yankee Stadium in a 7-6 game that defies description. The Yankees had a big lead, but gave away 5 unearned runs on 3 errors. Plus on one play the Yankees high-priced starter, Cole, simply failed to cover 1b on a grounder to the firstbaseman. In short, the Yankees lost out of sheer unprofessionalism.
- 195 replies
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- mookie betts
- chris sale
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Meh. I would have been fine with trading/dumping Yoshida, but I also don't think keeping him is the end of Red Sox baseball as we know it.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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I like the Dodgers because of Branch Rickey, Johnny Podres in the 1955 WS (when the beat the Yankees and Podres won 3 games), and the fact that the Dodgers played in the 19th century and their name comes from "trolley-dodgers," which is pretty cool. Shame on me, but I also think Yankees is a great baseball name. Red Sox--meh. Plus I thought the move to the West Coast, especially when they persuaded the Giants to move at the same time, was the right move, the smart move, and good for MLB. I'm fine with you hating them because we all have our reasons for likes and dislikes. I certainly don't like the Yankees, but on the other hand I do like another Dodgers-Yankees World Series, which to me is traditional and good for baseball. In the John Henry era, which Sox fans are now unwisely inclined to disparage, the Sox have won 4 WS to the Yankees 1 and the Dodgers 1.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
Maxbialystock replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
TANSTAAFL. There are exactly zero teams out there who will give us what we want and take what we want to unload. The norm, in fact, is what happened with Sale and Giolito. Even DD brought in Price and Sale, both of whom were pretty darn good in 2018, but afterward were very expensive nonperformers. Except for Sale, who was terrific this year--for the Braves, who also received $17M from the Sox to pay his salary. OTOH, I also said that big payrolls are dumb; and Friday the Yankees and Dodgers, whose payrolls are 2d and 5th largest in MLB this year, will be playing in the 2024 World Series. The other three teams in the top 5--Mets, Phillies, and Astros-- also made it to the postseason. Also, the Yankees had the most wins, 94, in the AL and the Dodgers the most in the NL, 98. -
Craig Breslow: CBO of the Red Sox
Maxbialystock replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think so. I live what I think is an ordinary life of retirement with plenty to do each day. But I do like to read and write about the Boston Red Sox. From 2000 to 2019 I had a full-time job as an executive director, but still had to have my daily ration--after I discovered blogging, of course. -
If so, I apologize--and I mean it. Back to DD. I agree that overall he has been remarkably good for at least four MLB teams--Miami, Detroit, Boston, Detroit, and Philly. Plus he wasn't awful in Montreal. I think he inherited a pretty good Sox team, plus an owner willing to spend even more. I do not think the 2016 and 2017 AL East titles were that big a deal because the Sox only won 93 games and got blown away in the ALDS both seasons. 2018, on the other hand, was special and demonstrated DD's genius, especially going out and getting Eovaldi in July. That was the best Sox season ever, and no other Sox team comes close. 2019 demonstrated that he was not perfect because the Sox had the biggest payroll in MLB, finished out of the playoffs, and needed a ton more money just to stay even with their 2019 subpar performance. The 2019 situation is what convinced JH to hire Chaim Bloom and begin the process of spending less.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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Everything you say is true and pretty convincing. However, I cannot resist reminding you that the teams in the postseason are all members of the 53% to 61% winning percentage club. That is an incredibly tight shot group and means that any team has about the same chance as any other team in the playoffs. Indeed, the great DD is griping that the Phillies got screwed because they didn't get to play in the first freaking round and instead were tragically unable to maintain their baseball skills during 5 days of inactivity. Whether DD has a point or not, the bigger issue is that any WS winner these days must in fact win three straight series of 5 or 7 games. And no team, absolutely no team at all, has a decisive edge in winning percentage.
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You have made the case that the Sox need both a good starter (or two) and good relievers. And I think they also need good righty bats. What I liked about that recent article on talksox is the notion that, despite the Sox needs, which are real, they were 81-81 this year and do not need a complete overhaul to make the postseason next year. If anything, with all that talent in the minors, I think the Sox are in a good position. Unfortunately, there is still the matter of grey matter which seems to be lacking in the front office.
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Completely coincidental. We throw out all data that doesn't confirm that spending like a drunken sailor is the only route to success.
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Everybody said I was wrong about payrolls, just as everyone, including you, insisted the payrolls were going in the wrong direction. In fact, you have provided detailed instructions on how the additional funds should be spent. On the other side, I admit I would be fine with a bigger payroll provided it was intelligently spent, and I further admit you and others would spend it more wisely than I ever could. As for DD, I'm pretty sure I wrote on one of the threads that the guy has been too good too many times--Miami, Boston, Detroit, and now Philly--to be dismissed out of hand. I have made maybe too big a deal of the 2019 mess, but I did so because most talksoxers insisted that, when JH fired him, he was just being cheap. I would go one step further and agree that DD has been a great tonic for the Phillies fan base because under him attendance has increased. One more time, my major objection to spending big is that too much money goes to too few superstars whose best years are usually before they start getting the big bucks. And that egregious situation is even worse with respect to starting pitchers, who all seem to be waiting for their next elbow surgery and at least one season to recover.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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Amazing article in the OP that confirms my criticism of DD over the last several years of postings on talksox. The article is far more insightful than I've been, but it brings out two themes of mine which absolutely no one else on talksox ever agreed with. The first was that the Sox were an irreparable disaster in 2019, which is why DD got fired. I hasten to add they were brilliant in 2018, for which DD should definitely receive credit. But after the 2019 season--when the Sox already had the biggest payroll in MLB--it was going to be impossible to keep Mookie Betts away from the far wealthier and healthier (as a franchise) Dodgers, to keep paying the huge salaries of Price and Sale, both of whom were IL candidates, and to replace them with two more pricey starters. Thus did JH decide to go in a completely different direction with Chaim Bloom of the Tampa Bay Rays. The second theme was this year's Sox who finished at 81-81, which was just 5 games back of two teams, the Royals and Tigers, who made the postseason with 86-76 records. I dubbed this year's Sox the "no-names," by which I meant exactly what the article refers to near the end as homegrown and therefore low-salaried players. How many times, for example, did I point out that the entire Sox rotation in 2024 were paid less than the Sox closer Jansen? Plus by far the best position player--highest WAR of 8.7--was $750K/year 4th year player Jarren Duran. $30M/year Devers was 2d with an OPS of 3.7, less than half of Duran's. Then came Abreu (OPS 3.5), Rafaela (OPS 2.8), Hamilton (2.6), Wong (1.6), and Gonzalez (1.0). Plus let's not forget that a freak injury kept bargain basement excellent hitter Casas off the roster for about 100 games. Reinforcing my 2d point, I also reminded everyone--and was repudiated endlessly--that no less than 8 freaking MLB teams with lower payrolls than the Sox made it to the postseason: Arizona, San Diego, KC, Milwaukee, Baltimore, Cleveland, and Detroit. I could have thrown in Seattle, 85-77, whose payroll was 15th to the Sox 11th, and Tampa Bay, 80-82 (just one game back of the Sox), whose payroll was 28th. I was in fact the only contributor to talksox who said that spending lots and lots of money wasn't necessarily the best solution, and I said that because I thought DD had inadvertently made that point for me in 2019.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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Better said than my OP. I also like notin's point that MLB is indeed a 10% game, which is what Crash (Kevin Costner) means when he talks about the difference one hit a week can make. There are 26 weeks in a season, If we assume 550 at bats, 26 hits is the difference between batting .272 and .320, which is pretty big even though the differential is less than 10% (or 100 points in a batting average). OPS looks a tad more rational because MLB regulars OPS's normally range from .700 to 1.000, which is a 30% range. If we use ERA as the measure of a pitcher--and some don't like ERA's--the top 50 ERA's in the NL this season range from 2.38 to 4.38, a huge swing of 2 whole earned runs. If we use the midpoint, 3.38, as the baseline, from 2 to 3.38 is a swing of 59%. That's huge and argues that the best starting pitchers who can routinely start 30 or more games are more valuable than the best hitters. If a top ten ERA starting pitcher goes 6 (or more) innings and starts 30 or more games, that can be huge. Here, for example, are the won-lost records (a much-maligned stat) of the top ten starters--according to their ERA's--in MLB this season: 18-3, 18-4, 16-7, 13-6, 15-3, 15-7, 15-9, 12-8, 13-9, and 16-9. Fittingly, the 11th best starter was Tanner Houck with an ERA of 3.12. His W-L record was, and I would argue that's proof of just how bad the Sox bullpen was this season. Of the top 11 MLB starters by ERA, Tanner Houck 19 quality starts, which was as many as or more quality starts than all but 4 of the other 10 top ERA's.

