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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    And this is a problem why?
  2. Kimmi
    You have a point. As I just noted with the strike out, all stats are open to human interpretation during the game. As an aside, I would like to point out for those who still think that the "error" is a better way to assess defense than UZR is, that UZR uses a multitude of scouts who are constantly rotating which teams and players they watch in order to neglect some of that bias. This is why computer models are used in making projections. No, they are not foolproof by any means, but they take the subjectivity and bias out of the equation as much as possible. The bottom line is still the more tools you use, the better off the assessment. No one should ever dismiss stats, nor should they ever dismiss scouting.
  3. Kimmi
    All stats are open to interpretation to some extent. One of the most basic stats, the strike out, can vary significantly depending on who is umpiring the game. Does that make the strike out an unreliable stat? If that's the case, then you would have to say that all stats are unreliable because they all vary depending on who is umpiring/scoring the game.
  4. Kimmi
    I think I've told you before that my dad is one of the "I don't need stats" crowd. Regardless of feeling like I'm talking to a brick wall sometimes, I very much respect and appreciate his love of baseball and his baseball acumen.
  5. Kimmi
    I'm not saying that a trained scout can't see or process things that aren't conveyed through stats. I think they can also, hence the need for them. However, I think it's also true that sometimes they will see something that isn't there, due to bias.
  6. Kimmi
    I admit, I become quite defensive when a disparaging remark is made towards the stat folk. What irks me the most is the implication that stat geeks don't understand the game of baseball on the field or don't know a good player when they see one. Yes, I take offense to that implication because nothing could be further from the truth. Personally, I think the stat folk have a much better understanding of the game and the assessment of players than the non-stat folk. I'm not talking about myself here, I have much to learn, but the guys at BP and Fangraphs, not to mention Bill James, are top notch.
  7. Kimmi
    It's not only that, but your eyes will lie to you. It doesn't matter how good of a scout someone is, human nature is not perfect and things like bias will have its effect.
  8. Kimmi
    Every stat is flawed to some degree. However, WAR is a very good descriptive tool of what has taken place. VERY GOOD. It is not as good a tool in the predictive sense, but it is still useful, when coupled with the other tools available.
  9. Kimmi
    No stat geek has ever said otherwise. I have never heard a stat geek say that scouting is not important. Not Cherington, not Theo, not Bill James, not anyone on this or any other site. However, I have heard countless eye test people say that they don't need stats, that they have been watching baseball forever and that they know what they see. So you tell me which group is more "foolish"? And I'm not talking about you CP - you have stated several times that stats are important. I'm talking about on the whole. And FTR, most of the stat geeks, including Cherington, Theo, and Bill James watch as many games as the traditionalists do. It is a false assumption that because they are stat geeks that they don't know a good player when they see one.
  10. Kimmi
    The way the "Save" is defined is seriously flawed. I will give you that. There is a huge difference between a 4 outs, one run save and a 5 run, one out save where the tying run is on deck.
  11. Kimmi
    Sounds like you had a great time. I have never been to NYC. It's someplace I would love to visit, hopefully in the next few years, but I don't think I could ever live there.
  12. Kimmi
    This is something we agree on 100%.
  13. Kimmi
    I'm sure that was great to see. At least you had something good to see in that game. Ortiz has been crushing the ball lately.
  14. Kimmi
    Sad to say, I enjoyed the Yankees/Guardians game and the end of the Brewers/Cubs game more than I enjoyed our Sox game yesterday. At least we have the Papi homerun watch to look forward to. Go baseball!
  15. Kimmi
    I hope the Jays can keep it going. Something to remember, though, is that teams are never as good as they look when they're winning and they're never as bad as they look when they're losing. Except for maybe the Red Sox. LOL It's amazing how quickly the swing in the division took place. Also, there was a swing of 6.5 games in the NL East in just 2 weeks. This is why you never give up hope. Anything can happen.
  16. Kimmi

    The No-No Thread

    Kimmi replied to ORS's topic in Other Baseball

    I always find the uptick or increased focus of the defense interesting when a pitcher has a no-no going. Would this be considered "clutch" defense?
  17. Kimmi
    That said, his reaction in the dugout was great.
  18. Kimmi
    Dee Gordon of all people?
  19. Kimmi
    The Yankees losing is always consolation. Anyone but the Yankees!
  20. Kimmi
    I read that Cherington is the one that hired him, so it looks like he will be given the chance to clean up his mess. It will thrill some to know that Dipoto is a numbers guy, not an old school guy. That said, it sounds like maybe the Sox want him for his scouting ability since they seem to think that's where their weakness lies.
  21. Kimmi
    LOL Not trying to rag on my buddy Thunder, but that was really funny.
  22. Kimmi
    That is pretty cool (except for the fact that the Sox were not a home team). I'm surprised that this was the first time in history that it has ever happened. You would think it would have been done before.
  23. Kimmi
    Trading 2 months of Miller for 6 years of cost-controlled Rodriguez was a no brainer. That's a trade you have to make every time. As far as re-signing Miller in the offseason, I would have loved to have him back, but as I said about Papelbon, not at that price.
  24. Kimmi
    Hanley might have been lured by the closeness of the Green Monster. Farrell has said that he has changed his approach and that his swing has gotten too long. The seemingly nonexistent coaching is supposedly working on correcting this.
  25. Kimmi
    I agree about giving things more than one season to succeed. I have no issue with keeping Pablo at 3B, as I think he will perform closer to contract expectations going forward, even though his contract was too much. That said, if JBJ can hit, I really would like to see an OF of him, Betts, and Castillo. That means Hanley has to play elsewhere. Getting rid of Sandoval would open up 3B for Hanley.
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