sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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(nods)
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He wouldn't be the guy to move ...
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The question really is - if not the 3rd catcher, who? You don't REALLY need a backup "CF". (you have 3 of them already!) Swihart and Holt can play corners. For me the question is: do you value, say, Brandon Phillips (and I'd pick a veteran like him over Travis or somebody) for a designated bench bat.
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My biggest source of anger about the "Pedro thing" in the ALCS was that it was the SECOND TIME Grady hung him out to dry. After nearly kicking Game 5 away, how do you go to that well again?
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That 2003 series was a sneaky classic. Given how much drama and success the Sox have given us the last 15 or so years, GREAT series and comebacks like the 2003 ALDS vs Oakland and 2007 ALCS vs Cleveland sometimes slip under the radar. Or even Boston in 2008 nearly completing a crazy miraculous comeback in the ALCS.
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Yes on the defense. I don't know a LF who has played at Fenway (for Boston) who has NOT had crappy defensive metrics. I've posited UZR has issues with odd-shaped outfields ... and there is none odder than LF in Fenway. (just so many fewer chances to make plays for LF)
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I prefer the A's winning - only so we can focus on baseball and not have to deal with the psychodrama that comes with a Yankees series and the endless media referendum on it. The A's series would just be a lot less insufferable from a media coverage perspective. As far as baseball reasons - I don't care. All these series are hard.
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He's not playing by himself out there.
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The Orioles obviously suck - but if you're striking out 40% of guys you face, the stuff can't be that bad. Granted, the last time he saw them he struck out 12 of the 16 batters he faced, so it's a dropoff there. But again, striking out 75% of the hitters you face is absurd. (Seriously, that was a higher rate than Clemens hit in his 20 strikeout game in 1986)
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Absolutely. That said, I have that bias too. Really there is not a "wrong" choice between Betts and Trout. Calling anybody else MVP over those two requires some 'splainin. Now, I think Ramirez, Bregman, Lindor and Chapman are all fine choices, and would be MVP-worthy in most seasons, this year it just doesn't fit. They got run over by two flat remarkable seasons.
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Keith Law made an interesting argument for Trout (though he absolutely thinks Betts is a worthy choice). Trout has same slugging, much higher OBP playing in a much tougher ballpark for hitters. Betts WAR lead comes down to defense and the defensive adjustment for RF vs CF. If you flip flopped their positions, is there really much evidence that either would play each other's position that much better or worse. So if you call them equal on defense, and the metrics are equal on the bases - then Trout's offensive season Trump's Betts by a little. Trout is having one of the best offensive seasons in history. 199 OPS+ (Top 50 seasons since 1901), 193 wRC+ (best season outside of 2015 Bryce Harper since Barry Bonds hung em up)
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A general rule for me is that bWAR is better for awards and fWAR is better to predict future performance. WAR is not precise enough to be used like that (a 0.1 win difference mattering). WAR is more good for establishing tiers.
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Not a great game and Sale has to make sure he is ready to go. That said he still whiffed 8 of 19 batters he faced ... so life isn't that terrible.
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Just going off the WAR leaderboard ... Chapman is the best defensive player in the league (this year at least). Bregman has been terrific - even if it has been mostly offense.
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Trout, Betts, Ramirez, Bregman, Lindor, Chapman all seem reasonable. Martinez too. But Trout and Betts are a cut above and neither of them are bad choices.
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There are six candidates who would not be scandalous. But Trout and Betts clearly stand above the crowd.
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the writers have progressively gotten better. old people die eventually.
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ftfy
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Betts is the clear #1, the rest are debatable to some degree or another. Now, as Kimmi notes - there is a walk away price for anybody. At the same time, I like good baseball players and the Red Sox certainly charge you and me enough money that we at least have a reason to demand that the team not skimp on good baseball players.
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for the award - there are no limits (after all, relievers have won them) To qualify for the ERA title, you have to pitch a minimum of one inning per game your team has played (so 162 innings ultimately)
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Not THAT clearly - there are significant monetary penalties. That is an ownership question. The baseball penalties are pretty much nil. You want to develop good players because it's cheaper. You want to have options with your core. Mostly, try not to be stupid - but do something that fits your situation. Boston is a large market team - and has different options available than Oakland. There is no reason to pretend that's not true.
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absolutely. to handicap the NL Race bWAR leaders: Scherzer (9.7), DeGrom (9.6), Nola (9.4), Freeland (7.9), Cain (7.0), Yelich (6.6), Baez (6.1), Freeman (6.0), Goldschmidt (5.6), Arenado (5.2) This a year that screams for a pitcher to win MVP. Given the premium on "team goodness", perhaps Nola makes sense. But given the extreme bias towards position players, Yelich, Cain, Baez are all pretty good choices. It's going to be a very odd vote. I favor Baez with the style and defensive versatility to go with the production. Yelich is a fine choice. Lorenzo Cain is an easy one to root, one of the really underappreciated good players of recent vintage - an MVP for him would be cool.
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Freeland has been brilliant, but DeGrom and Scherzer have been a bit better. I am rooting for DeGrom to win the Cy with a losing record - it would be a good sign for the species.
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Right, the minimum innings is 1 IP per team game.
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Here's what we know I think ... Sale, Price, Porcello, Eovaldi Rodriguez, Kimbrel, Wright, Brasier, Barnes So basically 2 more slots ... I am inclined to think Kelly gets one. The other could be anybody. I have Eovaldi instead of Rodriguez here mostly because the playoff teams have generally been good against lefties, and Rodriguez in the pen eliminates the need to carry a lefty just to have one.