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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    I think that is fair - upon further reflection, swapping him in for Bradley works.
  2. sk7326
    2004 Damon playoff .268/.297/.465 5-6 SBs ... excellent against Anaheim, terrible against New York (with a couple of obvious exceptions), fine vs Saint Louis Ellsbury playoff 2013 Ellsbury playoff .344/.408/.453 6-7 SBs . Damon's 2004 postseason .268/.297/.465 5 SBs in 6 attempts Ellsbury's 2013 postseason .344/.408/.453 6 SBs in 7 attempts Damon's "greater impact" is almost entirely due to the Game 7 in New York. It was one of the most important games in Red Sox history - but it was one game of a series where he slashed .171/.216/.343
  3. sk7326
    bWAR: 2013 Ellsbury 5.7 2004 Damon 4.3 fWAR 2013 Ellsbury 4.6 2004 Damon 4.3 Damon was better offensively (123 wrC+ vs 112), Ellsbury much better defensively and was one of the league's most impactful baserunners. I don't sweat differences in WAR too too much, but I am comfortable saying Ellsbury was a better all around CF than Damon. I mean if you can defend Bradley despite his adventures at the plate due to his glove, Ellsbury deserves similar consideration. 2007 Youk beat Napoli in WAR in both flavors (though Napoli was not at all bad). Yook's glove and superior on-base skills take the day. While I am considering single seasons - that Yook was on his way to being one of the league's best offensive players does matter to me when trying to settle something close. I've always maintained that Yook's body falling apart piece by piece was one of those real developments that set the team back in 2012, 2014 etc.
  4. sk7326
    Bigger body of work in the season.
  5. sk7326
    He's only done what any half-decent Red Sox manager has done in his first year this century.
  6. sk7326
    Right - because they are player-seasons and not just players. In terms of the players as they were in the championship years, Kimbrel was clearly the least effective closer. Would be have been an upgrade over Mike Timlin. I'll allow that. Ellsbury had a fantastic 2013, and he had the 2 best CF seasons of any Red Sox player over these 15 years. It is easy to forget since he fell off a cliff in NY. Damon's 2004 was brilliant but 2013 JAcoby played the position better.
  7. sk7326
    So - what if we made a 25 man all-star team of player-seasons from the 4 teams. I'll use an 11 man staff, and assume we are trying to win a playoff series. It's fun to really be able to relive the seasons again. C: 2004 Varitek 1B: 2007 Youkilis 2B: 2013 Pedroia SS: 2018 Bogaerts 3B: 2007 Lowell LF: 2004 Manny CF: 2013 Ellsbury RF: 2018 Betts DH: 2004 Ortiz (this is actually the lowers OPS+ of the four DH seasons - 2018 JD is totally justifiable here, but my heart can't go there) C: 2007 Varitek OF: 2018 Benintendi OF: 2018 Bradley IF: 2007 Pedroia IF: 2004 Cabrera SP: 2004 Schilling SP: 2007 Beckett SP: 2004 Pedro SP: 2018 Sale CL: 2013 Uehara Set Up Guys 2004 Foulke 2007 Okajima 2008 Papelbon 2004 Timlin Longer Guys 2018 Price 2007 Wakefield
  8. sk7326
    It is very funny how the perception of the Dodgers is shaped by a loss at home in 2017. The Dodgers got off to a terrible start, were without arguably their best player for the stretch run, and had a good chance to win 3 of the 5 games of the series. They have bottomless funds - they'll figure something out. They need a top of the line starter - because Kershaw ain't it anymore. They'll be fine. I'd put them at #3 probably.
  9. sk7326
    Arb comps are built using basically 1985 level statistics. So I expect middle reliever comps to be generally very low.
  10. sk7326
    The best available first base option for the price is likely Goldschmidt - and the Sox clearly don't have enough to do something there. (I'm not saying ARI will deal, but Hazen is a smart guy - and he will fetch a serious price this offseason if he is shopped) Looking at FA options - really just going 1 year at a time makes sense. Whether that means Steve Pearce as a platoon partner - or give someone like Carlos Gonzalez a first base mitt and take your chances I don't know. If you wanted to be creative - see if Adrian Beltre wants to give it one more go.
  11. sk7326
    He is probably never going to be a great defender - but for a guy like him, the goal is to be able to fake a bunch of them (see Nunez, Eduardo) to get his bat in there. Can he be an upper class Eduardo Nunez? I think that's at least possible.
  12. sk7326
    Yes with Vasquez ... I mean, Leon is a terrific receiver, but he has basically 6 weeks of competent offensive baseball. Vasquez I think can - if healthy - deliver a perfectly acceptable performance at the plate. He's never going to be *good*, but it is clear he knows how to take good at-bats and does a pretty good job making contact. A .250/.300/.380 sort of player with his receiving skills is a perfectly good starter. Swihart still makes sense for me as a backup "C" at worse - and at least capable of being better than that, whether that be as a pure "C" or a sort of catcher-corner supersub. Leon is good for what he is - I'm not itching to run him out of town. But if you have only 2 slots, that's where my head's at.
  13. sk7326
    They could be every bit the team they were qualitatively this year and win significantly fewer games - in fact, that is almost certain.
  14. sk7326
    If he accepted it, I'd be fine - nothing wrong with having a good reliever on a 1-year deal. I don't think he accepts it though. Trading Porcello now actually makes some sense - he is priced reasonably (not a bargain - but not overpaid) and only 1 year left.
  15. sk7326
    A realistic view of 2019. We will not be as good as we were in 2018.
  16. sk7326
    Neither Price nor Pearce was a "bad" choice. Joe Kelly and Nathan Eovaldi were minor steps down from them.
  17. sk7326
    other teams would have killed for the cost controlled talent that was already here - the team had holes, but the cupboard was hardly bare. Dombrowski has been outstanding.
  18. sk7326
    Dombrowski came into a really good situation, and made the right moves to augment it - he has nothing to apologize for obviously. After a couple of good seasons, you get one of the greatest single season teams in history. It is impossible to definitively identify a "greatest team ever" but this team has every right to compare themselves with the 1998 Yankees or the 1976 Reds or the 1970 Orioles or the 2016 Cubs etc etc etc ...
  19. sk7326
    2012: Giants, 2011: Cardinals, 2010: Giants, 2009: Yankees, 2008: Phillies ... that's 5:11 It's just a world and a sport where teams lose 3 games in a row all the time. It is hard to make inferences about league quality from the World Series or the All Star game ... it's why baseball is such a fun postseason. I embrace it for what it is.
  20. sk7326
    I get annoyed at times too - but this was really cool ... https://awfulannouncing.com/fox/joe-buck-stepped-aside-to-allow-bob-uecker-to-call-an-inning-of-game-2.html
  21. sk7326
    http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/25114303/mlb-boston-red-sox-manager-alex-cora-built-championship-culture
  22. sk7326
    (I am not sure how many players would be even 1 WAR over so few games)
  23. sk7326
    He seems to have a good batting eye - and has the athleticism to be a good 3B who can stay there. Can he make enough contact to have a Napoli-like sort of major league profile? I think there is clearly a high chance that is no - but yes is certainly not out of the realm of possibility.
  24. sk7326
    I mean the Red Sox ideally hoped that Price would be a #1-caliber starter for 3 years then they could say goodbye to each other while he got one more #1 starter payday somewhere of his choice. That said, I feel about Price the way I feel about Lester ... even if he is not an ace anymore, I fully expect him (assuming health) to be a solid useful pitcher for another 2-3 seasons. His mechanics and command support that.
  25. sk7326
    The last 4 Red Sox first year managers either won the World Series or were named Bobby Valentine. It's a really funny quirk.
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