sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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They don't want parity - they want money. They want to curb spending on players, which is why they are capping these things. There is some secondary consideration of competitive balance, but that is more for the marketing than anything. You are right that things can be harder. At the same time, the penalties MLB has put on spending are only somewhat powerful. The surcharges can add up - you'll have to see what ownership will be willing to swallow - but the draft pick penalties are basically zero. (10 draft slots for a good team does not alter the value of the pick much at all)
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I'll worry about that when ownership does.
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I'd like to talk about Brian Johnson for a second
sk7326 replied to Dojji's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
What Brian Johnson can't do (save for that astonishing start a couple of years ago) is provide Rick Porcello's bulk - which is incredibly valuable over the marathon. Eduardo Rodriguez was a competent homegrown starter with higher upside. He was acquired via trade, but you have to count that. I like Johnson but I am realistic. That said, the value of multi-inning arms is higher than ever - and if Johnson can give them 100 innings in a swing role (and he has a better chance of doing that than Velasquez), so much the better. -
Melvin and Snitker as manager of they year - both perfectly fine choices, although I don't think we or Tampa will be asking for a refund on our guys. This is usually the stupidest of the major awards ... it proxies to the "most surprising team", because otherwise it would be much too hard for writers to assess this.
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I think they will try at some point if the opportunity pops up ... but they also realize they have a special opportunity with a core that frankly every farm system in the league is trying to get to.
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Bregman was wayyyy up there
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Every offseason is a good offseason to add relief pitching.
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It will be interesting. It is clear the market is not itching to pay tons of money to less athletic 1B/DH sorts (I know JD played the OF, but he is a 1B/DH sort). And often when the guy downturns, it can be an Albert Pujols level cliff. That said, I think the odds are like 50/50. I am not sure he will get many more years from opting out and going back into the pool. He could get more money.
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I think 1 year achieveable option is sensible ... I could see 2 years with a more team friendly third year. But given his age and career, you have to bet the under on his production going forward if you are looking at him outside of a platoon deal.
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Depends on how the FA/trade market goes ... if they sign Machado, Andujar clearly moves. If they can meet the price for Goldschmidt (and want to), then it's a different deal.
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Yes - although with any free agents of THAT ilk, it's ownership as much as the GM who deserves credit/blame. I doubt that any GM has that level of signing authority - and besides "sign the top FAs in this year's class" is the sort of thing that is easy for an owner to understand and/or recommend. That is the key with Dombrowski now - he has done everything in baseball ... built a champion, developed a farm system etc ... it's really ownership's priorities that matter here. He can do whatever.
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It makes perfect sense to offer Pearce a 1 year deal and see if he can do better in the market.
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This year was a tough year on the farm - injuries in particular. We'll see what happens.
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With the Yankees the interesting move will be at 1B. Sign Machado and move Andujar to 1B? Another option is trading stuff for Goldschmidt - who has a crazy good contract for 1 year.
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Smart international signings and the odd trade here and there. It will be tough, but every team faces this during its lifecycle. Also the 29th ranking comes from one riff on another publications rankings. That is a lot of error.
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Most national baseball commentary is old people pining for the olden days - that is the real problem.
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To a degree - the Red Sox farm was still in the Top 10 at the beginning of their playoff contendership. Atlanta is clearly still a step away from making a true win now move. The Cubs were in terrific shape when they made their first playoff. These teams will all make their own flags fly forever deals if the situation warrants - they would be derelict not to if the chance strikes.
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Right - I am not necessarily penalizing a DH for usage. For a DH I just go to a higher offensive bar - because a specialist should be expected to do more.
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If the Red Sox offer Pearce $2M, he will laugh in their face as well he should. If they offer $5M and a bunch of other people are offering $7M or something - then the other factors will probably kick in. If I were in his position I would want to be paid fairly - maybe not top dollar, but not insultingly so either. (like lester 4/70)
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They're not ... and it's not an efficient market anyway. 26 year olds of this caliber just don't hit the open market. Any ten year deal is hard to swallow, but you are buying their entire projected peak. I expect they will sign 8-10 year deals with an opt-out after 3 of 4 years. In the past these clauses have seemed stupidly pro-player ... but in a case like this it makes sense for everyone to some degree.
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What is educational is how 5 of the 12 playoff teams are among the bottom 10, while only 3 of them are in the top 10. What is also interesting is that Baltimore and Kansas City are profoundly effed.
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If the manager is shielding him from opportunities to provide negative value - that should be a consideration.
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Discounts are entirely possible - but not crazy ones. They might pick the Red Sox if they are not the #1 offer. But the Sox will have to at least be on the podium.
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To take it out of perspective ... I hate the Yankees Suck chant. We've won a lot ... the Yankees are just another team.
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If a DH had a Barry Bonds early 2000s sort of year - then yeah could win the MVP. Heck is a DH had Trout's 2018 he would absolutely be in the discussion for MVP. (Trout had 9.2 oWAR, Martinez was 4th)