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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    I am curious of years - given the injury history, I am sure some of the haggling was around vesting options and so forth.
  2. sk7326
    I too hope the reserve clause comes back. (I keed)
  3. sk7326
    To a point. We know the team will enter the spring with a Thornburg and a few others of the same ilk - you expect one or two to hit, but you don't know who. For a bullpen it is a useful approach - performance fluctuations year to year are pretty large. It is very hard to expect and get more than 2-3 consecutive good seasons from any of them.
  4. sk7326
    The entire 1995 team would qualify for this thread ... I don't know if it was because of the sweep or it being the season coming off of the strike, (if you are a Supreme Court follower - it was the first place you would have heard of Sonia Sotomayor) but that is an easy good Red Sox team to overlook. Erik Hanson had a 15 win season for us iirc.
  5. sk7326
    Same here - not just in salary but structure. Both of them are young enough that they might want to get deals with opt outs after 4 years or something to take a swing again.
  6. sk7326
    Your instinct here is right - the Red Sox can't offer much in prospects, but they could offer a dumping ground for a bad contract. But Cano's deal is a lot for any management to swallow.
  7. sk7326
    There is a level of bias in save %. If somebody's save % is low, he is not saving games for long ...
  8. sk7326
    His body fell apart. It's that simple.
  9. sk7326
    Valentin is a terrific choice. He had a 5 year stretch (1995-2000) where he had 30.5 bWAR. There are exactly zero 2018 Red Sox to have done that. Fun trivia: using the old Game Score heuristic ... who had the best pitching performance (in a single game) for the Red Sox this century?
  10. sk7326
    I think he got a lot of credit, but like in 2008-2010 he was like 3rd in the AL in OPS+. I mean we knew he was good - but he was actually better than that. I would not have picked Youk - but there is a mini version of my case for Dwight Evans in this thread.
  11. sk7326
    2.92 FIP with a 13.6% walk rate is ... an above average Fernando Rodney season. That is not worth eight figures.
  12. sk7326
    The trick with Betts is that he will be 29 on opening day of his next contract. Now, that is certainly young for a UFA ... but there is a question of how much peak you are buying. In that way a Bogaerts extension is a potentially less risky. Betts is obviously a better player but Bogaerts will be buying more premium years.
  13. sk7326
    Yook was one of the league's very best offensive players. His injuries/decline was a development the team never really recovered from - and still hasn't (though Devers is on his way)
  14. sk7326
    (whispers) he wasn't' very good in 2016.
  15. sk7326
    This is pretty obvious - Dwight Evans. I mean everybody loved him - but he's 4th in team history in bWAR for position players. It is easy to overlook how extraordinary his career was and he warrants a harder HoF look.
  16. sk7326
    That is a fair question - and now you start wandering out of efficient team building vs franchise players and so forth. Ultimately with Betts I'd prefer a long deal with an opt-out (like the Price deal).
  17. sk7326
    It will be tough - as noted it is tough when 3 of Dombrowski's 4 first round picks have gotten hurt. Really the onus has to come on the development guys ... find those more raw guys (see Betts) with the right attitude.
  18. sk7326
    I do think something like this is why the Bogaerts thing is so interesting. There are good reasons to sign him vs trade him ... I can see both sides. As I've always noted - the Red Sox, who ask a larger financial commitment from their fans than any other team, absolutely should be held to a high standard by fans ... I understand how economics works (and how the prices fans are charged have only an indirect connection to player salaries) but I talk in terms of what the product the consumers should expect from this ownership.
  19. sk7326
    There has been a lot of bad luck with the top prospects Dombrowski has brought in. (injuries and worse) We'll see how it goes - especially on the international front.
  20. sk7326
    Sure - but DD also understands the year to year consistency and reliability of relievers is VERY low.
  21. sk7326
    Here is the thing ... it makes much more sense to say, resign Pomeranz (if you can get a shorter deal) than a lot of the other options. Healthy Pomeranz at least has legit middle-rotation ability. Now if the market for Pomeranz got overheated, that is another thing. But that is the easiest, most likely path to get some quality from the #5 spot.
  22. sk7326
    I HAVE seen failed closers - but the solution to a bad closer is relatively easy - cut bait and try something else. I mean, Fernando Rodney sorts really are a dime a dozen. As I've noted before Tampa for years just found decent closers by fishing through other teams' garbage.
  23. sk7326
    Here is the thing - if you don't have a reliever who can do what, say Rivera did throughout his career or Foulke did in 2004, it is a VERY highly substitutable position. The strategy of throwing tons of bodies at it was sound. Hell, for as bad as 2003 was, after churning through option after option - the bullpen was really good at the end of the season.
  24. sk7326
    I think it makes more sense to sign 2-3 relievers for the cost of a single Kimbrel. Between Herrera, Familia etc, there is a useful closer in there somewhere. The problem is that Kimbrel has shown no real sign of being a rellef ace sort - not with that walk rate.
  25. sk7326
    I always thought if the Red Sox wanted to make a bold move - trading Bogaerts THIS offseason was it. But that would be contingent on how they really feel about re-signing him. There is an element of calculated risk - you could probably have dealt him this offseason for real stuff (like a Top 100 prospect or two, with at least one being fairly close to the big leagues), but that possibility goes down steeply if he gets sold as a trade deadline hired gun. He is going to cost a lot of money - for the same reason Harper and Machado will get paid ... good players just entering who will be 26 on opening day just don't get to the UFA pool that often. Betts will be 2 full years older when he enters UFA - but 28 is still unusually young for a UFA. His swing is complicated and has a lot of ways to get thrown off ... but it was obvious what a year past the hand injury did for him. When he's healthy he's a 4-5 win player. Who wouldn't want that?
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