sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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A season crushing outbreak is a very 2021 way for the season to limp to the finish line.
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I'd be stunned if they did not give him a mitt.
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Some teams have better chances than others ... but if the bet is "Any specific team vs the field" the field is always the favorite.
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tricky thing about Rizzo is that he is a rental ... Now, he has been down in 2020-21, but has also been a 4-win player as recently as 2019. His Statcast batted ball stats have not actually changed. He is still hitting it hard and squaring the ball as ever. His BABIP numbers have been silly outliers for his career that do not really square with his actual contact. Dalbec's issue entirely about hitting the baseball on offense at least. Rizzo is a costly deal and I'm not saying we should do it. But he's a good player and would be a huge upgrade at the position we are league worst at.
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With Houck the big issue is whether he can keep lefties off of him in general. Now his splits have been encouraging but the samples have not been huge. But with multiple looks and a delivery that gives lefties a pretty good look at him, there is risk. He has the arm slot and delivery to be very uncomfortable for right handers. Once he - whether it be splitter or whatever - has some real confidence and results against lefties something can happen.
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This is baseball - you gave a good chance to win it by being in the tournament. Improvement on the margins can make a big difference. I'm not advocating "selling the farm" (not that there is a ton to sell) ... but chances to win it all should not be taken lightly either.
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Long term matters for sure. That said, every chance for a pennant is special - and these dudes and Cora deserve the front office giving them the best opportunity to do so.
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Yeah for them it is always about "can they find enough offense". They've always built to their ballpark - where flyballs often go to die, and focus on run prevention accordingly.
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Of course they got Nelson Cruz. If you have the prospects, making a flags fly forever deal is not terrible. Now it helps to have depth like the Dodgers who were not going to miss Jeter Downs par exemple.
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I think Dalbec's struggled have manifested everywhere. Just the nature of things. Fielding has struggled - his approach has gone to seed at the plate.
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Yes - there has been definite good fortune. I mean, if we're handicapping the likely playoff field, I'd put the Sox behind the Rays and Astros - but of course the MLB playoffs are a crapshoot - it has ever been thus. the nice thing is the areas of improvement the team needs are not super costly ones.
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maybe - but he has always been a dude who had trouble hitting the baseball ... no reason to believe that massive strikeout rate is going anywhere. I think he is an interesting player, but he's way up in his head right now.
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Entirely possible. I'd just counter that the Sox have been running out the worst 1B position in the bigs this season - so upgrading that position to even average would have an outsized impact. There might just be too many holes in his swing for Dalbec to be a reliable regular.
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The cost for a starter could be prohibitive relative to getting a Raisel Iglesias or something. Carlos Santana for 1B makes sense and he wouldn't be a rental iirc.
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Anyway, to me the trade deadline is pretty simple for the Sox. The priorities are simple, and probably can be met without big headline acquisitions 1. Pitching depth 2. Raising the floor at 1B Getting a corner bat should not be difficult. Even if it is a Steve Pearce sort, that could have an outsized impact given what the position is giving the Sox right now. Garrett Cooper seems like he'd be right in the wheelhouse there, especially with some significant team control left.
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Until Houck has a consistent approach to get lefties out, he's a pretty strict 2 times through the order guy - that's how the Sox have gotten mileage out of him. Now, it would be nice to be able to land - say, Kyle Gibson ... but I doubt that Bloom is going to pay the price there.
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Strikeouts are there - and in these rehab starts always have to be careful at the box score ... we don't know what he was working on. But yeah he's going to be a great addition.
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July 24: BOS (Eovaldi) vs NYY (Taillon)
sk7326 replied to moonslav59's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Eovaldi has been fairly unlucky this season - his numbers are good but his underlying stats are even better than that. -
July 24: BOS (Eovaldi) vs NYY (Taillon)
sk7326 replied to moonslav59's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
I remember him not being eligible for the Arizona Fall League because he had not turned 18 yet. -
Agreed. The nice thing is that what the Red Sox need is not THAT difficult. Raising the floor at 1st base should not be a difficult ask. Getting a little more bullpen help should not be that difficult. Obviously multiple sources have connected Kimbrel though I am skeptical.
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July 24: BOS (Eovaldi) vs NYY (Taillon)
sk7326 replied to moonslav59's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Was going to yell "little league homerun!" but Kike did mash that -
I'd probably still put Downs at #3. He is struggling a bit at AAA but AAA at his age is still quite good and I have not read anybody who has gone out on him. Downs has largely been seen as a "high probability" prospect more than a high ceiling one anyway. Downs still looks like a guy with a very good chance to be an average starter at 2B. It's not sexy but plenty to be the #3 prospect still. And Duran probably should still be in the rankings while he has his rookie eligibility.
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Longenhagen at Fangraphs has Mayer at #37 in his revised Top 100 Law has Mayer at #14 in his revised Top 50 Mayer was duking it out with Davis for the top of the draft board - him being the Sox top prospect right away seemed straightforward. Casas hanging solidly at AA at his age is doing pretty well though it'd be nice to see the power more. Jimenez is the wild card of the group if he can make some more solid contact. He's an electric athlete who just needs to square up the ball mo' better.
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I'm not even sure that's true - the Dodgers have a loaded farm system. The approach to the farm is the same - the difference is having the money to go into the free agent pool more aggressively. Ownership wanted Dombrowski to go all in for the title and it worked. Now they want to do something a bit more sustainable like Epstein did - we'll see how it goes. But position-wise the core is pretty good.
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Houck's ability to basically do something to keep lefties off of him is what will determine whether he is Justin Masterson or an actual solid starting pitcher.