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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    What is interesting is that most of the organizational markers are fairly strong - the books are not tied up horribly, the team is not especially old, the farm system is not barren. What has happened this year has been a really simple matter - the parts of the team that were supposed to be strengths have largely not been. Every other diagnosis puts the blame in the wrong place (although yes the part of the team that was not supposed to be too hot has lived down to that). I tend to be more inclined to blame Farrell than the front office because there has not actually been that much concrete evidence that the players are not talented - or that they lack character (there are a lot of rings out there). It has been a consistent team wide under performance. The roster has flaws (duh), but there is a lot of evidence that this coaching staff has not maximized their output at all.
  2. sk7326
    NESN ratings were down, the team lacked sexiness. Fans are spoiled. The 2010 team had no business winning 89 games. It's the paradox of winning a lot - fans don't miss it until it's gone.
  3. sk7326
    They have been slow to adapt the way the game has changed so fundamentally since 2013.
  4. sk7326
    Then you don't trade him. The Giants might be more amenable since they know him. Sandoval signing was one I didn't love but I did understand it - 3B was a dumpster fire for us, and he was an improvement, and since he was the youngest premium free agent, Sox were not buying much of his decline. Defense got off to a slow start and offensively he has been a bit streaky
  5. sk7326
    4.00 was right on the AL league average last year. In 1968 it would have been scandalously bad, in 1999 it would have been really good. Things change.
  6. sk7326
    They have got some reckoning to do ... and some questions about the coaching staff. Clearly we've left the greatest decade in Sox history (well unless you're really really old) a couple of years behind. But how far - that is an open question.
  7. sk7326
    There was time since free agency when this team was not swimming with the big sharks payrollwise?
  8. sk7326
    2012 was worse, although the injuries caused much of that ... so far the staff has been as bad as anything I've seen since the Pedro deal ... of course that says more about the quality of the Red Sox staff since 1998 than anything. Right now the staff is 12th in fWAR in the AL which is not good enough (although interestingly the starters are 9th - in other words, perfectly mediocre). Porcello probably gets the largest slice of blame pie among the starters. If Porcello were the guy he was the last two seasons, the Top 3 of the rotation + Eduardo would actually be fairly solid. No 1994 Braves, but something you can go to war with. Sox basically were trying to put together something staffwise resembling the 2002 Angels, 1975 Reds, 1977 Red Sox, what have you ... something competitive that with a good lineup could be better than that.
  9. sk7326
    indeed - the slow start by the starters is one thing. The bullpen has not been great, although that is always a crapshoot. Really the last month the starters have largely been ok. The biggest miscalculation actually has been defensive - since that was supposed to aid the run prevention effort and (because of the left side) instead has hurt it. The lineup on paper should have been challenging to lead the league in runs scored, but it hasn't. I guess I resist the case of "well they built a team that couldn't pitch and presto" - because that sort of misplaces where the bulk of the blame (for May in particular) should go.
  10. sk7326
    If you got the lineup - a "good enough" staff can get you team of the decade ... alas the former has taken a while to take hold (if at all)
  11. sk7326
    Who leads AL SSs in fWAR?
  12. sk7326
    Probably - although Swihart has been finding his legs recently ... he was overpromoted clearly, but there has also been pretty good evidence what the fuss is all about
  13. sk7326
    I linked to the story of a semi-famous team which was built on average starting pitching - to have a team where a strong area picks up a less strong one is not poor team building (in fact, that's what a team is) ... that just has not happened
  14. sk7326
    Sandoval should be better, but the burden is on him ... right now he has been below replacement level. But a lineup with Hanley at 3B and Brock and whomever on the OF corners would make sense too and perhaps given the org more future flexibility.
  15. sk7326
    It was risky to be sure. At the same time, the tools are there - the question is how quickly could he shake the rust off. The fact is that the annual investment they made is pretty modest for a starting caliber OF. Obvious the latter has to come to fruition. Also - that contract is legitimately tradeable. Now somebody has to see Castillo as a legit big league outfielder for that to happen - but if that is the case, $12M/yr for a quality starting CF is very reasonable.
  16. sk7326
    It's not even that - although he and Ramirez are the main culprits for nearly all of the Red Sox leaking in terms of DRS. It's just the Sox roster making more sense without him.
  17. sk7326
    He's a guy who has not faced many guys who were trying to get him out the last few years. Plenty of time to adjudicate this.
  18. sk7326
    Lots of teams had job openings at P. Shields had to go to SD. Realistically he is a fly ball pitcher who has only pitched in places where fly balls go to die. He would have offered durability - which is not nothing.
  19. sk7326
    If nothing else just give Holt an everyday position without doing the Tony Phillips routine. Ramirez probably would be better at 3B too, who knows.
  20. sk7326
    Miley has been a case of a couple of horrific starts making hash of a bunch of solid ones. I'm actually not that bummed out by him. Management needs to bang the gong on Kelly and look into Johnson.
  21. sk7326
    Buchholz has pitched better than Shields so far. Shields has done what he has always done, been durable in a very favorable pitching environment.
  22. sk7326
    An obscure baseball team which was built on a bunch of meh performing starters: http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/CIN/1976.shtml
  23. sk7326
    What is interesting about Buehrle is that his WAR is wrapped up primarily in his durability. His best seasons he was hanging 240 IP a season, which is immensely valuable - but also very different from how baseball teams operate now. I am not sure if it is a great apples to apples comparison. That said, Buehrle is a solid comp for Porcello for two guys who have often outperformed their FIP fundamentals.
  24. sk7326
    I still think Boston should look to deal Sandoval back to the Giants - Giants could use him, and the Sox' org muscle is at 3B.
  25. sk7326
    Except that (on paper - duh) was not really true. A rotation with Joe Kelly (a swing guy granted, but a live arm) and a few mid-rotation types backed by a pretty good bullpen does not terrible make. And frankly the run prevention has not really been a serious issue since May basically.
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