sk7326

At the Athletic,, Law liked the deal for both teams ... The Nationals are bad and need high ceiling - Perales fits the bill. Perales obviously coming off of injury. His control improved a lot - but while the walks went down, he hasn't exactly turned into Greg Maddux either. There is some reliever risk. Red Sox under Breslow have shown some ability to help pitchers improve stuff - and Bennett's frame could very well take that. The the command and stuff are good enough that he might end up making some starts for Boston this season.

Lackey was a bad deal on a WAR basis for sure. That said, the Tommy John of it all in the early going makes it a little harder to bash. And of course the team doesn't win the 2013 banner without him.

A co-ace or something like that is asking too much. But for the price, the deal was a no-brainer. Gray's peripherals were better than his results last year - but his results have been better in previous years, so I have some confidence that a bunch of it was noise.

Clarke is an interesting prospect - but we have a good number of them. It's a fair deal for a durable #2/#3 sort.

I think Bregman can still be a 2-3 win player at 3B at worst for the next couple of years. But getting somebody who can hit the ball real far is an imperative for sure.

For me, the Red Sox have a couple of needs 1. Another starter. Now, if there was an amenable way to bring back Giolito that is a good place to start. But another high floor #3 type or better is on the menu. Between Tolle, Early, Witherspoon and (less likely) Perales, there are some possibilities in 2026 - but need more certainty for sure. 2. Hit ball far. We are in a more homerun centric world than ever and this team needs more. Now, the team is not without power ... but this team not having that "hey, a 3-run homer could happen right now" threat makes its life harder compared to the very top of the league. I kind of feel like Mayer taking SS and moving Story to 2B would be the best option for the infield, but Mayer has to like be able to play and stuff. Bregman coming back is the best option for 3B - even on the wrong side of 30.

I would not bet on it. But college pitchers have moved fast across the bigs - and Witherspoon by most assessments was further along than Tolle was. Again, I am not expecting it - nor should the Sox plan for it - but he is the profile of the sort that has moved very quickly.

Overall the season was a success. The team was flawed and probably deserved its fate. When you lose your #2 starter and arguably your best hitter, the margin for error goes away. That said, it's 2025 - and you see how the league OBP has dropped 20 points from where it was when Boston broke the curse ... it's hard out there when you don't hit tons of homeruns. It sounds crude - but the Red Sox need to see the ball leave the yard more consistently. Over the season this was fine - but when you get to the playoffs, that sort of margin of error would have come in really handy. In particular, they need to solve the black hole at 1B and 2B ... maybe Campbell can take one of those positions. Casas? I need to see him not shattered into a thousand pieces first. Pitching-wise, things look promising. Crochet is unimpeachable. Bello wore down, but tracks to be a perfectly good #3 starter type at worst. The team could use another starter because of course they could. I'd definitely see if Giolito wanted to come back - his injury at the end of the season might have increased that possibility. Considering his velocity, Early was shockingly effective coming up at the end of the year. I am excited about him - maybe as lot a #2 starter or anything, but as a quality rotation arm. Tolle's range of outcomes is wider. While a team cannot plan for this - I would not be surprised is Kyson Weatherspoon cracks the rotation at some point later in 2026 - we see how college pitchers are being moved across the game.

The beauty of having Crochet is being able to marshall your resources for the other starters and have those super quick playoff hooks.

It took 21 years - but I guess the Red Sox would HAVE to lose a postseason game at a building named Yankee Stadium eventually.

walks on consecutive days?? Is Kevin Youkilis playing CF for us now?

Yeah - I'm worried. At the same time, Crochet did his job and gave Cora a chance to use a quick hook as necessary. I don't think Bello is going to see any more than 2 trips to the order.

Who says he doesn't have anything to learn in AAA? The book is not closed on him - at all - but basically what happened is that he hit adversity for the first time in his career. We will see how he bounces back. If it is next spring, it is what it is.

While 5 is rich, I'd get it if the team wanted to do it, but 3-4 feels better to me. I am all for a Mayer succession plan but Mayer has to, like, be able to play more than 100 baseball games.

So far, so good. The Rafaela and Anthony extensions look great - the Campbell one a bit premature (though at the price, the downside is more "annoying" than anything awful) Let's put it this way - even if the incentives top out, if Anthony truly can have "best player in the league" sort of performance, that contract is a steal.

Breslow's big charges coming here was to improve organizational pitching. Clearly, he has emphasized that in his drafting, and the team has done a good job getting the pitchers they do have to be their best selves. There was nothing to suggest Chapman would have this sort of season, par exemple. The moves under the hood - going away from in-person scouting in a lot of ways - that is more TBD as far as impact. And it is not fair to expect that every offseason will be as successful as this past one. He could also use some help with public/personal relations (maybe he should wear his 2013 world series champ uniform more often). But he has done a good job - and hopefully he can outlast John Henry's impatience/fear of criticism.

It is a little less shock and awe due to the 5 homeruns, but Anthony's 2.5 WAR on 266 PAs is wildly impressive.

1. Re-sign Bregman. Ideally, you'd like to trade some term for AAV - but honestly, no reason to skimp. He is a good player. 2. I'd PROBABLY look at what it took to re-sign May. I kind of think he has more upside on the right sort of deal than other options in the mid-rotation market. 3. That said, the team has a lot of outfield talent, and if you can get a #2-ish starter, so much the better.

The Trevor Story contract has been rough - but it's almost entirely due to injury. Well, that and a plummeting walk rate. But this year - he is a 3 win player, which would have been kind of okay (a loss contractwise but not a disaster) if that could have been the norm.

Basically the only thing Anthony was doing wrong was hitting the ball on the ground too much. If the homeruns REALLY start catching up, we're cooking with gas. I mean, he was on a 5-6 win pace (extrapolated over a full season workload) without the homeruns!

Great job on both sides. Roman Anthony is on a 5-6 win pace if he ended up with a full season of PAs. The ball is not going over the fence at the rate promised - but he has been mostly as advertised.

oh without a doubt - but it was more fun to type than "various #4/#5 starter types"

Maybe. I think Sandlin is at least as plausible. While the Sox lack a solid #4/#5, they have a TON of Fitts-like randos they can throw at the problem and see what sticks.

As far as October goes they need one of these #4/#5 guys to get hot. Fortunately the Top 3 looks solid.

I wanted a move. Personally, I thought something like a Duran for Kris Bubic made sense for everybody ... Duran for Dylan Cease would have been selling low (and clearly the Padres have bigger game in mind) But all things considered, getting another good bullpen arm, and at least a starter with some real upside. Most of the other starters at that level were going to be indistinguishable from the various Hunter Dobbins/Richard Fitts sorts of clones.