sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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Getting one of the handful of aces out there would be amazing - stop the presses. But if the Sox signed a Lackey - or at least 1 or 2 reliable starters - someone who can spit out 25-30 good starts, that would be ok. Team has been averaging 5.33 runs a game since the ASB, which is basically a Toronto-esque pace. The pitching has been better too, but it is just some serious raking which has emerged. How much of the raking is sustainable? I think you can ask whether Travis Shaw will turn into a pumpkin. You can also assert that Bradley's power won't be like this. (although I think his .250/.340 slash is for real) But otherwise, the other guys are all in a position to be better. (including 3B just by virtue that Sandoval could not be much worse)
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I am saying that the job of measuring that stuff has been outsourced to Pitch F/X ... who has been in charge of standardizing this stuff ... now could Pitch F/X be corrupted? Well, since another company is actually handing the data collection and distribution that seems unlikely. I think pitching metrics before Pitch F/X type standardization has all the limitations you'd think it would.
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Short answer: in 2004, I doubt it - or if official velo stats were being collected at all. Now? Yes
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One of the funny things is that the Red Sox look like they are going to finish with a record which is - probably what 3 or 4 games - within range of what a normal person would have predicted for this team entering the season. What is heartening is that the players and coaches did not quit on the season and have provided a couple of months of entertaining, damn good baseball ... there is stuff to fix (and the cupboard is very full as far as ways to go about doing so), but there is a strong foundation (and that probably understates the status of the everyday lineup).
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That is fair. I would think that if a team is not collecting its own data - given how high pressure and paranoid teams are - on this stuff, then that raises questions on whether those teams executives can put on their shoes correctly without labels. What is the point of advance scouting otherwise?
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I think that the Sox did something extraordinary might be the fiction part of it. I think the question was to whether it created an unfair advantage or whether it affected velocities that teams used or recorded over that time frame. Both of those I think are non-stories.
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That he was getting by with lesser stuff as was the rest of the staff ... akin to his 1999 relief outing But moreover, it's a bit of a nonstory - stadiums pump their guns all the time ... fans want to see high numbers, no harm in giving it to them. I remember it as far back as the late 90s when NBC had Robb Nen throwing 102 MPH in a closing outing.
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I love Pedro to death - he is keenly aware of his legend.
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or fictional
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Pitch F/X only was installed in parks in 2006. I am sure Pedro is right (relative to what you saw on NESN's broadcast for instance), but I am also sure that other team's advance scouts had their own readings of his velocity.
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It would - I am inclined to think that pitch f/x stuff is legit. It's installed in every stadium, and just from a pure game theory perspective it doesn't make much sense to tinker with it too much.
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Pitch F/X ... whether that data gets on the scoreboard is another matter (my guess is no)
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It is a fair way to go - and the big arms in Round 5 to 10 are still being drafted as starters (every pitcher is drafted as a starter). But then you determine quickly - does the guy have the third pitch, can the guy hold his velocity. If the answer is no (the answer is usually no) - then to the bullpen, where you don't have to worry about things like that. The Red Sox if they have erred, is taking high probability starters in those spots - you know, guys with command 88-92, know how to pitch. The ceiling is limited, and the bullpen utility becomes dicier. For a good reliever, you're looking at one or two wipeout pitches, and the other things (great control - still has to be acceptable, third pitch, turning lineup over) are less important.
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Actually the rotation as is the last 2 months has been legitimately "decent" ...
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Bringing back Lackey is a totally reasonable idea.
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Could easily see Miley and Kelly as trade filler one'd think. Also looking at the approach to the rotation generally will be worthwhile - honestly, based on the last couple of months, razing the bullpen might actually be more important than finding a premium starter. (they are not mutually exclusive goals)
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The stadium guns (the ones that make it onto the scoreboard) are usually jacked I think - Pitching equivalent of chicks digging the longball. But the scouts bring their own guns (and one assumes the Sox are no different). There is no real reason for the opposing teams to not know what the guy is actually throwing. And anyway, straight, poorly located 97 gets hit.
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Pedroia's salary looks bad because it has 8 figures, but that is cheap for an above average starter. Is he more valuable to the Sox than to someone else? Yes - but that's ok. The shape of his contract makes it very hard to be an actual albatross (and it's downright cheap when you consider baseball inflation). Betts has done everything a superstar would do in an age 22 sort of year. Bogaerts is not that far behind. This team is ready to contend next year - the pitching staff needs a lot of help, but the prospect tools are there to do so.
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I think it is a pay increase - you figure a raise from NESN was still cheaper than paying Dick Enberg
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San Diego is not bad place to end up - weather is better.
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Red Sox name Wren VP of baseball operations
sk7326 replied to Spudboy's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It will be an interesting mix. If Wren is #3 it's ok. In Atlanta his staff hated him - all left and came right back when he got canned. That of course is the most dangerous red flag for a management person. But he knows baseball - and if he is not in charge of any people he could help. -
2016 Red Sox Hot Stove Discussion Thread
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
There is enough without "the farm" to do it. Key thing to remember is some of the guys dealt might end up quite good - occupational risk. -
2016 Red Sox Hot Stove Discussion Thread
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It might mean they are trying to free up 3B too. -
2016 Red Sox Hot Stove Discussion Thread
sk7326 replied to a700hitter's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
That is a lot of money for a full time DH (an absolute full time DH - Hanley may or may not be one) who cannot hit lefties. That trade makes sense in a world where you think Hanley's hitting is a permanent problem. -
I think shopping for Harvey or Sale will be on their list. But otherwise, yes the starting pitching is competitive. The team has played well the last 2 months - and at least on the lineup side, that looks sustainable. As far as who gets deals? Betts and Bogaerts are untouchable. Bogaerts looks like he's going to be a rock solid player - where the only question is whether the ceiling is All-Star or MVP level. Betts has done everything you'd expect a superstar to do relative to his age. Swihart would be close to untouchable if the Sox did not have a really solid alternative in house. Everybody else is some form of negotiable. That said, on the farm Devers, Moncada, Espinoza and Benintendi in limited run have all shown a lot of signs of having star+ level in them. They would be hard to let go. Margot has admirers across the league too - but the Red Sox have a lot of centerfielders, and Margot could help a trade along.