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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    Not sure how surprising Petey is - the surprise is that his body has not fallen apart yet
  2. sk7326
    Trout could get them a huge haul. At the same time, the Angels are a big market team who has the league's best player. I think the preference has to be to build around him. A suitor would have to pay a ton - but barring injury and a possibility he has to move to a corner, he's better than what you'd expect to be available for any reason.
  3. sk7326
    My guess is something like $1M with innings incentives to make much more
  4. sk7326
    Because he is a knuckleballer - and sometimes this happens. Tim Wakefield was 14-1 with a microscopic ERA in 1995 coming from the minors. Embrace it - his ability to help the pen is huh yooge
  5. sk7326
    The one book Peter Gammons wrote covered this well, "Beyond the Sixth Game" - a great baseball version of Halberstam's "Breaks of the Game" - profiling the dawn of free agency, and how some teams did not handle it as well as others.
  6. sk7326
    Smith last pitched Monday - the game was very much on the table. For me #2 of the 3 noted was worst by far. I don't get the general philosophy that a 1 run deficit requires your best relievers to sit - raising a white flag in relative terms.
  7. sk7326
    Porcello - although I was absolutely optimistic he would establish himself as a dependable rotation guy ... but so far this is better than that Shaw - I knew he'd be starting caliber but again he's been better than that Wright - a knuckleballer on a streak is not a surprise, but still Really that is it for true surprises ... Ramirez we knew would be solid if he got healthy and in a position which fit his eye better. Scientists will be confounded how one of the easiest positions on the diamond vexed him so, but no matter. He is clearly an adequate 1B and the bat is starting to come around. Pedroia we knew is still an All-Star level force if healthy.
  8. sk7326
    Another couple of exhibits in the "Farrell Game Management" museum 1. Flip flopping Bradley and Vasquez. With the top of the order Boston has, slightly lowering the probability of the top of the order coming on with guys to knock in is not good. Now that is a fairly minor offense compared to ... 2. Sending Betts up to bunt when Vasquez was already in scoring position. Bunting is one of those things like intentional walks, which seems like a smart, professional managery thing to do - but it very very rarely is. 3. Managing the bullpen by score. Somehow down a run is different than tied - so Tommy Layne gets the call instead of Uehara or Carson Smith. That is kind of baffling to me, although he is consistent with that logic. Same with having both Kimbrel and Uehara up for the 9th. After all, it's not like Koji can't finish. Should not be so fearful of putting Kimbrel into a tie game.
  9. sk7326
    True. Really you can only evaluate trades at the time you make them - because all trades have imperfect information. But given the imperfect information are you making a high percentage decision (or at least high-ish).
  10. sk7326
    I am not sure to read too much into that. One of the virtues of the knuckleballer is the ability to keep the rest of the rotation on schedule. You want to give a guy an extra day, you can move Wright up to make that happen. I think of Wakefield going on two days rest multiple times to get the bullpen back on schedule. Putting Wright between Buchholz and Owens gave some cushion in case the pitching staff needed it (like it did last night).
  11. sk7326
    Ultimately I throw up my hands with knuckleballers. Enjoy it while it lasts and don't ask too many questions. Wright will give a durable 180+ innings this season ... and there is a decent chance I'll be hiding my eyes if we line him up in a postseason series. But he could be (like Wakefield) invaluable for getting through the marathon.
  12. sk7326
    I cringed at the Margot price - although at least they got a stud. The Reddick deal was shaky also. The others were a bit easier to swallow (and I certainly think the position prospect for reliever deal is shaky on principle): Miley we were selling low, and we got a stud reliever for him ... Lowrie had showed no ability to stay healthy, Murphy was a 4th outfielder/platoon sort. Those were all more defensible.
  13. sk7326
    If you do it - young, controllable major league studs is what you do it for. You give up a ton of quality - but you get quality with a faster payback. Stanton in particular qualifies as the sort of guy you consider giving your shiniest stuff for. After all Tony Armas and Carl Pavano was tremendous prospect value to give up for Pedro. Can't worry too much about what they become - flags fly forever. I mean - even while the Beckett deal was probably a net loss, it directly led to one championship and a 25 year old with his history was precisely the sort of guy you make a high value trade for.
  14. sk7326
    There are no absolutes - but it is generally a bad idea ... especially when the goals in the minor leagues are completely different than the show. Older guys at lower levels are low percentage bets - as some guys have proven, low percentage does not mean zero. In Wright's case - ultimately knuckleballers are unscoutable - just close your eyes and hope.
  15. sk7326
    It's May 5 - plus scouting the stat line always a bad idea Devers is 19 - among the youngest regulars in High A. Benintendi is crushing a level which is about on par with the best college baseball league in the country - the one he was player of the year in. This is not to abate the excitement on Benintendi - he is on a fast track for a reason ... but like with all prospects, the verdict comes at AA.
  16. sk7326
    Depends on the definition of "recent" ... I'd have a hard time putting Lester and Papelbon above Pedroia, Nomar, Varitek or Yook ... and you could actually make solid case for Derek Lowe > Papelbon too.
  17. sk7326
    Well that was obvious - the team held options on Manny
  18. sk7326
    ay-bay uth-ray
  19. sk7326
    Oh, the appeal to authority ... Playing Young last night was absolutely the right decision - now Young did not get a hit, but Farrell made the optimal choice among LFs. Rest of your post I am not sure what we are arguing about. Good decisions and bad decisions are not necessarily outcome based. Now if the decisions seem good but keep failing - then you have to review the thought process.
  20. sk7326
    He has played well. GG is a bit much - really folks are just so happy he can walk and chew gum at the same time compared to last year that is makes him seem like 1982 Keith Hernandez out there.
  21. sk7326
    You need all three phases ...
  22. sk7326
    Swihart's defensive issues are overblown - it looks bad compared to Vasquez, but so does everybody else. Swihart needs to catch and it makes more sense to do it often at AAA than rarely in the bigs. His pawtucket BA means nothing - we know he can hit in the bigs, no proof needed there.
  23. sk7326
    Sunk cost - that money is gone. Has ZERO impact on the decision now - just do what is right for the team.
  24. sk7326
    Kimbrel has not been great so far. But the strikeout rate is outstanding and the homerun/FB rate is unsustainably high. Papelbon is the opposite. And moreover, really the question is whether Papelbon is an improvement over a name drawn from a hat - and there is not a ton of evidence in his corner.
  25. sk7326
    Too early to conclusively say anything ... he has not been good yet
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