sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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I think there is a 20% chance Chavis is part of the 1B picture by the middle of 2018.
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No - they won 90 games and have to figure out if the 90 win team is really them or the 69 win version of 2016 is. Is it a fluke or not - and then what do you do? I doubt they deal Goldschmidt - but this is the prime window to do so if you think there is a fluke.
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They had such an extraordinary season that the team will ask "how close are they REALLY". That will drive this. Now obviously they are much more likely to deal Greinke - but I think they will see if someone will blow them away. (it probably won't happen)
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I think they absolutely shop Goldschmidt - or at least let everybody know they will take a phone call ... this season was amazing for them, but if Goldschmidt can net a king's fortune Abington, MA Mike Hazen has to take a look.
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In September - well it did sap power seemingly ... but yeah that proves my point too.
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Defensively the reverse alignment is probably better ... what IS funny about Moustakas is favoring him over Hosmer despite a lot of the same red flags ... checkered performance, inconsistency ... meh defense. The homeruns are a key difference - but how much of that is offset by a significant difference in OBP.
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Fair enough. Maybe Betts should have - his season was downer. Wrist hand things are really tough. Really anything that messes up the ability to hold the bat seems very hard to fix during the season. Chavis last year on the farm another good example.
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In retrospect, I agree with you about quality. The comps you cite are flawed. Kershaw and Strasburg both missed a number of starts. Pomeranz was better than both Lester and Arrieta, both of whom had lousy seasons.
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No - because I have seen enough players with that exact injury issue to withhold judgment.
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About the same as his pre-trade 2016 ... and very low in terms of innings per start for a #2
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The Red Sox won 93 games without much, if any, "good luck". (well the 15-3 record in extra innings ... but in terms of player production outcomes) The question is whether the lack of amazing seasons from the kids was systemic or just coincidence. I could see Butterfield staying ... Cora has guys he might want to work with - but I think Dombrowski will drive the process (as was the case with Epstein). But it will be a strong coaching staff that Cora can (and will) delegate a lot to.
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It's 1B ... you give someone a glove and hope for the best. Having 1984 Keith Hernandez would be awesome - but a luxury. Carlos Santana I'd list as the high probability answer - which is actually pretty good. Some power, good on-base skills ... can catch if our catchers get hit by a meteor.
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Duda makes more sense on a short deal - if the bidding gets to 4 years or something ... Hosmer is more attractive (the 3 year age advantage kicks in). Although for my money "none of the above" becomes the answer ... or "give Jose Bautista a first baseman's mitt and a 1-year deal" or "bring back Moreland"
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First ever non-white manager.
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I think a lot of it is players being healthier and playing better. Seriously, this team had issues with both - and won 93 games! And note - Benintendi, Betts, Bradley did not actually have bad years ... they had years which were right in the middle of the bell curve of outcomes for them. But most good seasons you expect a player or two to be near the upper end of outcomes - best versions of themselves. Aside from Moreland frankly - that did not happen with our position players. And we won anyway.
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32 years old with zero history of that level of production before - big time fluke rule candidate
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They lose their 2nd best pick ... possibly 2nd and 5th ... it has to do with luxury tax payers (on the "signing free agent side") and revenue sharing beneficiaries (on the "losing FA side")
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5 days after the world series is deadline to offer QOs to free agents FAs have 10 days to accept/decline Sixth day after the world series FAs can start to sign The QO twist will be interesting this year with the new CBA kicking in. Guys who have been tendered a QO in the past cannot be tendered again (this primarily impacts Justin Upton). Compensation and penalties for signing guys who rejected QOs are tied to payroll and significantly less than the old days.
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IT GOT THEM A CHANCE TO WIN THE WORLD SERIES. It was a chance that did not get cashed in - but you can't win without being in. Since I've been a fan an 83 win team and an 85 win team won the World Series while a 116 win team didn't - the best team in the league has won the whole thing pretty darn rarely. The Red Sox did not advance in the postseason because they did not win the games - and if the manager did not get a little greedy with Sale, they very well force a Game 5. It's not some grand statement about their season or their success. It is so hard to make the postseason that just dismissing it like qualifying for the NHL Playoffs is daft.
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If you sign JD - or trade for Stanton ... THAT IS THE CONCERN ... there is a significant, troubling injury history with both ... that doesn't mean you don't do it. But there are real medical concerns which you need to be comfortable with.
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I suspect the industry take is that last year was injury related and they will try to swindle the Sox.
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Of course, he didn't ... and he didn't in every season except for 2015. So that is interesting. He qualifies as an outfielder - but a very bad one. I think he will get 5 years - and if the Sox did it, I could live with it.
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Five is okay but 3-4 is better. I am also curious how the market will be for pure sluggers. Will there be a squeeze like Encarnacion faced.
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Seriously - the Red Sox won 93 games facing a pretty substantial amount of adversity. This was not a year where our projected starting 5 went out and made 130 starts ... this was not a year where we had pristine health. I know the narrative is cute to say that Ortiz left this team flailing in the sea. But the team won 2 less games, with much more adversity - and they won one more playoff game! Yeah they were crappy to Eck - but that does not speak to the product on the field.
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The Red Sox were the crappiest 93 win team in baseball history. The Yankees were the finest 91 win team ever.