sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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I think he's good for 2-3 years - for 5 is trickier. Also we are talking about a non-athlete who is a negative defensively ... now that is precisely the sort of player who the market squeezed last year (basically a younger Edwin Encarnacion).
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The Red Sox had 1 bash brother when that happened ... that is part of the Papi legend. A lot of the power solution has to come from within to a degree.
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The premium market for 1B/OF is pretty lousy - JD Martinez is good of course, but the years will be hard to handle. Same is true for Justin Upton (assuming he opts out). Carlos Santana is probably the best FA compromise - although I see nothing wrong with a Winter 2002-2003 approach, where you fill a wheelbarrow with types and see if you can get a Kevin Millar out of it. (obviously asking for that strategy to yield a David Ortiz is not something you should expect more than once or twice a millenium) That said, looking at last year's market - I expect there will be somebody (very likely Santana) who might have to settle for a short deal because the market does not want to pay 1B/DH/OF sorts.
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It's the baseball playoffs. I could believe almost any of the hundreds of possible outcomes of the tournament.
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Yes - although his recent success has been a little up and down. And certainly tough guys COULD work - and Showalter has dealt with young teams before too. IMO, a baseball manager is the closest equivalent of any sports coach to your own boss in the actual job you have (or the sort of boss you are depending on your profession). A guy can have clear boundaries, not be your friend per se ... but still a guy you should be able to discuss problems with, and someone who knows when to press a guy hard and when to provide some encouragement. That's the thing with a guy like Tito. He is a terrific manager yes, but he would also probably embody a lot of what would be the best boss you ever had regardless of whatever job you had. (assuming he was qualified for that job etc etc etc)
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It is possible. As we know, he has managed before ... so at least he has done the job in some form or another.
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The Nats blew 3 and 6 run leads at home in deciding games since 2012 - that is tough to live through.
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I am grateful for 2003 NOW, because it made 2004 100 times better. I am happy for Cubs fans that they got to see a curse broken. But I am comfortable asserting the 2004 Red Sox title was the sweetest championship any fan base for any team could have ever had. I am 39. 2003 was the first time I thought the Red Sox would never win it all. The 2004 ALCS win (not even the World Series!) - well, yeah my marriage and kids were better moments in my life ... BUT I had a decent sense I would get married or have children one day ... I did not expect to see the Red Sox win the WS
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Actually from the Speier piece, it is probably the opposite. The kids were telling themselves to wake the f*** up - THAT was the problem. The coaching staff - especially after Lovullo went to Arizona - lacked the touch to crack a joke and tell the kids their struggles are nothing that ball finding a hole between two fielders couldn't fix.
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one of the quirky things about the Red Sox is that they - since 1999 - a pretty remarkable record in "lose or go home" games 1999 ALDS 3-0 1999 ALCS 0-1 2003 ALDS 3-0 2003 ALCS 1-1 2004 ALCS 4-0 2005 ALDS 0-1 2007 ALCS 3-0 2008 ALCS 2-1 2009 ALDS 0-1 2016 ALDS 0-1 2017 ALDS 1-1 TOTAL 17-7
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Reading Speier's story about Farrell's ouster - it sure sounds like a guy like Cora is in the offing ... https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-red-sox/2017/10/12/a-changing-clubhouse-a-changing-game-led-to-farrells-departure In particular, the noteworthy thing is Dombrowski's emphasis on working with the young core - and dealing with young players who put a lot of pressure on themselves.
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they were - and so there is a learning curve, adjustments and so forth ... so a couple of years is more likely to be a better indicator to the future than the more nascent ones. This is not that complicated. Of course Betts showed up and has risen up steeper - but Betts is also a Top 10 player, so there you go.
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Grady and Farrell were both interesting cases. While neither were amazing managers ... they both managed to replace guys who seemed like (frankly) giant turds as bosses and human beings (in terms of a guy you have to deal with every day). There was just some increase in clubhouse karma just by replacing those managers with reasonably functioning normal people.
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OOPS SQUARED OOPS! 1. Terry Francona 2. Jimy Williams 3. Joe Morgan 4. John Farrell 5. Grady Little 6. Kevin Kennedy 7. John McNamara 8. Bobby Valentine 9. Joe Kerrigan 10. Butch Hobson
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no - but emphasizing age 23-24 over age 21-22 is a fairly natural thing to do ... these are human beings after all, right??
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and a 20% dropoff from his 2015 and 2016 seasons ... really it is about endpoints and whether you place more emphasis on 23-24 seasons than 21-22 ones ...
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Oh it was a decline - the contact was not as good, the OPS+ fell badly. But again, the type of injury he had is the sort of thing which gives me a lot of pause before getting too harsh. Hand injuries are the sort of thing which can ruin an offensive season. Even if the injury has nominally healed - it's messing with the most intricate part of the hitting mechanics.
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OOPS! 1. Terry Francona 2. Jimy Williams 3. Joe Morgan 4. John Farrell 5. Kevin Kennedy 6. John McNamara 7. Bobby Valentine 8. Joe Kerrigan 9. Butch Hobson
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If he were healthy (famous words) possibly a lot of teams ... I am not sure the Red Sox would get sufficient value back ... but Pedey was a 5 win player in 2016 which at his salary is a screaming bargain. Even this year, with the nicks and bruises and warts, was still pretty fair result for the money.
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I have been a fan since 1986 - if you rack and stack the Red Sox managers? Distinct dropoff between #3 and #4. 1. Terry Francona 2. Jimy Williams 3. Joe Morgan 4. Kevin Kennedy 5. John McNamara 6. Bobby Valentine 7. Joe Kerrigan 8. Butch Hobson
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Bradley performed at about what could be expected Bogaerts decidedly underperformed - a 4-5 win player fell by a win or two ... of course injuries can explain that possibly/probably - a step down the improvement curve which you expect from kiddos Vasquez improved, which you'd expect. But it was improvement in line with what you'd expect given his age/profile. Excellent defense, a good, but empty BA while taking good at-bats. The core guys had largely decent seasons, but no leaps - which was necessary to be able to absorb's Ortiz loss. I mean Betts season was not as good as last year, even if it was still outstanding and worthy of a few downballot MVP votes.
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It might or might not - I don't think he's getting canned ... but he might want to leave.
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I see that. But the 2007 and 2013 teams were more buttoned up and that worked fine. I think winning and losing tends to feed this stuff too. This was a tough season a lot of levels. The team faced considerable adversity (and yes, some of it self inflicted) and still managed to win 93 games and win a division. I don't mind Farrell being canned - just hope Dombrowski does not pick an inferior replacement. I think Farrell is probably a middle third manager, you know somewhere in the #10-#20 range leaguewide ... so getting rid of him for an upgrade makes sense, but there are ways to do worse.
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slightly off topic - I think it's like a 50/50 chance Girardi comes back ... 9 years is a long time in a place like Boston or New York. He sounds at times like he could really use a long long rest.
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Movers and shakers for managers are largely nonsense. Baseball manager is the closest thing sports gets to a manager at the sort of job folks like us have. Coach your coaches, manage players and other stakeholders. Hale has a ton of excellent experience and has managed at some level. Alex Cora is far and away the highest upside candidate - but yes he has not had a big league managing hitch before (although he has both manager and general manager experience in winter league). He has familiarity with Boston, but is far enough away to approach things fresh - has ex-player and front office experience. He has done television so the media skills should be there.