sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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it probably won't happen - but it would be fun for Stanton to turn the Yankees down
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He was - but it involved working with the stuff the team was giving them - scouts, analytic sorts, Francona. I was taking issue with the idea that he was doing it as some sort of Rain Man - that the Red Sox had not done any "computer analysis" in 2003-2005
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Except that is not obvious. There is a small gap in OPS sure ... but in the minors (to a certain degree) who cares? It's developmental, winning is a secondary goal ... and we don't know what a kid actually has to do to have passed the level. Moncada and Benintendi's OPS numbers were also close - but one was much, much more major league ready than the other.
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405 and 10 are awful ... the 5 is the only way to get to Anaheim, and genuinely terrible, unless Ohtani really chose the Angels for their large number of strip malls.
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Otani is basically nothing payroll-wise after paying the posting fee. Moreno wants to win, so stranger things have happened.
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it is also why minor league stats are um ... dangerous to use in this sort of manner Benintendi had a .515 SLG with a 11.9% K rate Bradley in AA had a .437 SLG with a 18.1% K rate Benintendi was making more frequent harder contact - Bradley was excellent in AA ... but had holes in his swing non-big leaguers were getting to regularly.
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LA > SEA > Anaheim ... especially with the traffic on the 5
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A lot of his peak was right in its wheelhouse. Because the Sox analysis was proprietary does not mean it did not exist.
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Honestly the sushi on the west coast is just a different level
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Adam Dunn (on offense) with an adequate RF glove = one hell of a valuable player
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The key is whether the reverse is true. That has been the funny part of the entire Stanton saga. Stanton has basically total control of the process - yet Classy Derek Jeter has acted like he doesn't.
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There was limited $$ flexibility - so really it came down to Otani's choice. I can't blame Dombrowski for Otani liking Seattle better. If I were him, I'd probably do the same thing.
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I think it was clear Dombrowski did not want to block Devers - and any 3B solution had to be a short term one. Of course they all stunk - and the trade market stunk, and Devers had that magnificent season the farm, so there you go. Dombrowski definitely looked at the farm and quickly said Devers and Benintendi were the guys to keep and have treated them as such.
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Vasquez should make the next step to full starter - remember it took him a while to emerge last year, so I am not sure how much to hold the pitcher splits against him. He clearly hits well enough to not be a drag - I mean he is a mediocre hitter, but good enough for the defense to play. And he did improve at the plate over the season. But a .270 hitter who doesn't give away at-bats with his framing and arm is clearly a good starting C.
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http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/21709815/mlb-officials-keeping-close-watch-foul-play-shohei-ohtani-pursuit The way baseball has tried to basically keep his salary down has more or less forced this eventuality
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His scouting is a great fastball, plus-plus slider and splitter ...
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It is probably going to be an AL team - so he could hit a couple of times a week. Also in the land of 13 man pitching staffs - having a potentially "much better than you'd expect" pinch runner/hitter is pretty valuable. The Red Sox should do their best - and will ... but this is one of those cases where I don't really think money is going to matter much. Otani will be wildly underpaid for a couple of years regardless ... Olney speculated a team like Minnesota could be a dark horse - with basically no payroll commitments after FY20, they could sign Darvish ans Otani as a package.
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The deal would certainly raise many eyebrows among the other owners. BTW: The way Jeter handled the Conine stuff and how apparently he has not talked to Stanton at all ... ARod doesn't seem so bad.
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Kluber was magnificent. Sale sputtered down the stretch - I do think Farrell's options were limited here though. The non-Sale parts of the rotation had flaws in performance and/or bulk which forced a lot of bullpen usage.
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Fortunately, there is a little less hard livin' with Martinez at his age.
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I think Santana might be the one to get squeezed Encarnacion-style. It could get to 4 years, but it might end up being 3. Santana is the high floor option of the two. Hosmer you are making a bet that the light came on for a 27 year old who has always been a darling of the scouting/prospect community. It's a risk - but a defensible one.
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It makes sense. I am not sure they have enough to win a bidding war for Stanton - depends on the value their ability to simply absorb the contract has to the Marlins. (I don't think the Marlins are just going to dump Stanton, but being clear of the contract in its entirety is at least somewhat helpful) Carlos Santana is the high floor option. His age and precedent seem to indicate that the market might not give him more than 3 years when things shake down - and I think he can hold his value for 2-3 years. Good on-base skills, decent 1st baseman, good not great power. Martinez profiles as the sort of guy who can go down hill very quickly - shaky athlete, no defensive value at all. But gosh he can hit. Hosmer is the high ceiling risky bet. Youngest of the major FAs, had a terrific season last year - but it is not typical of his career to date which has been very inconsistent. That said, the light suddenly coming on for a 27 year old is hardly unprecedented.
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President of Baseball Operations ... i'm kidding - although there is a way that would actually make sense
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Well whether a no-trade means "I am not going there" or "pay me" - that is the question.
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Indeed - and teams use BOTH ... there are matters of degree, and matters of specifics ... but it is a combination. And the two views are also kind of answering different things anyway.