sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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The 2013 season was in large part the 2011 team which won 90 games (while blowing a playoff spot of course) with some decent health and a couple of out of nowhere seasons (which you always need). So much of the 2012 disaster was injury related that simply normal health was going to put them at least above average.
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Except the Red Sox in 2012 had (on paper) an 85-90 team already if they just stayed healthy!
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Most teams use WAR, but their own proprietary flavor ... of course you knew that.
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OThey screwed up the sell-off in 2014 by trying to add major leaguers - I agree. But what I was referring to more was that they turned their team over to younger players over those years, the way the Yankees did. They had a couple of last place finishes where they played younger players ... but they also were still trying to win. The Yankees were certainly trying to win as well. Moreover - I have to push back on this idea that the Astros and Red Sox are galaxies apart here - the teams are fairly close.
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This
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A lot of the time. But again, the level of scouting and competition is much higher. Not every start is against the Cubs or Astros.
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I think there is some scattered - it also has to be noted that the quality of competition skyrockets, which might be a bigger factor than anything. And - this is relevant with Kershaw and Price - a lot of the time the issues have been 3rd time through the order and whatnot ... which are things which managers are increasingly vigilant about attacking. (see last night)
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We kind of did in 2014-15
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Price delivered 1 decent season - which instantly makes his contract better than Carl Crawford
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The big lesson is that the postseason is awesome - but yes, a crapshoot. The Astros won the games - and winning titles is why you do this. But this shows the fragility - and luck you need to win the 11-12 games.
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And Springer was awful in the ALCS ... clutchiness changed
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Rivera blowing the 2001 World Series was a great example here. He threw a perfect pitch that Luiz Gonzalez fought off into a game winning dump.
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Clutch exists to me as a fan. I got nervous as hell during that amazing Game 5 - and I did not even care who won! However - I do not know a view of clutch which is meaningfully separate from good. Ortiz has been an amazing clutch hitter for the Red Sox. The Red Sox have always largely been very good and given him a ton of chances to be clutch. Ortiz is also a very good hitter every second of every day. The pecking order of quality vs the pecking order of quality in big spots ... is - for all intents and purposes - identical.
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The Astros were old and talentless without a super loyal fan base. They went through a massive rebuild. I don't use the word tank - it is the correct decision that playing a promising kid is better than a mediocre veteran. They knew they would not be good for 3 years and made all their decisions with that in mind. The Red Sox have never really bottomed out that way - nor could they. There have been a few awful seasons sprinkled in - but they were awful due to decisions not working out ... not kids getting reps. I am not sure there are many larger lessons - the teams are not very far apart. Red Sox just need to get better in a few places, but Sox are in the same cohort as the Astros.
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Probably there as a sounding board for Dombrowski and Cora.
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I suspect Benintendi. Groome and stuff will at least put them in the ballpark, especially if the Marlins care about the dumping salary thing. I am not sure I would do it - but that is a different question.
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It was a known issue. At the same time, it's not really his job here. We make a big deal of the manager hiring his coaches - but the Red Sox NEVER did that with Francona. And we obviously just saw a purge of Maddon's coaching staff. I don't think the Red Sox not having a manager is a huge issue here so much as the coaches decided to go somewhere else.
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We are not Tampa North either. The team has a very large payroll and will maintain one. The team is actually using its farm the way large market teams do use them - keep your stars and use other stuff to supplement. They got pretty good quality in all of their trades so far, and the guys they identified as keepers seem at worst highly defensible. No team has a farm system which produces star prospects forever. Kids graduate, and then there is some gaps in AA/AAA for a bit. Question now is whether Dombrowski can fill those gaps in. Obviously the evidence is inconclusive. Remember, at the time of the cliff, none of the Red Sox most important position players will be 30. The "cliff" as it were is entirely within the Red Sox control.
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Pedroia undergoes microfracture surgery
sk7326 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Well, this will be harder to bounce back from. But hopefully it can at least stabilize things. The reality with Pedroia is that really his deal has been all about injuries. When he has been healthy, he has been almost metronomically consistent 3-5 win player. In 2014 he had his .337 OBP, which was his career worst by a significant margin - so nagging stuff and basic fluke can explain that. The deal made trading him hard yes - but the Red Sox were never going to get fair value for him. He meant more to Boston than to anybody else that way ... plus, as noted above - he was still really good, and a serious bargain for the production. Really riding it out was the only option. He's been one of the best 15-20 players in team history ... but you do have to start thinking about the end here. -
Cora and he are very close ... I could see him up for another spin.
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That's because on average it's true
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If the Yankees did it - it is a weird move. If Girardi wanted a rest (which it sure sounded like during the playoffs) it makes more sense.
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Girardi out - could have seen it coming ...
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If he could stay in the middle of the field, the org would have kept him there.
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The extra inning record and just how much adversity the team had to fight through refutes that imo. Now - there was not a lot of joy, and I do think Farrell is somewhat responsible for that environment. But this team had a certain toughness to it. We saw it in Boston after the two routs in Houston in the ALDS.