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FredLynn

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Everything posted by FredLynn

  1. I think thats the best solution for now. Don't forget that Ellsbury also has a below average arm in CF for us. Part of the allure of Crawford was his speed and athleticism in the OF. The dimensions of the park the Rays played in suited his defensive style very well. At Fenway he is in LF and not called on to demonstrate his speed out there nearly as often. Essentially, in playing him in LF, we have virtually eliminated one of his most productive qualities in the OF: speed.
  2. Is this a joke? The WAR for Lackey is higher than that for Aceves? If thats true, and I am sure it is, then I can eliminate one additional alphabet soup metric from my vocabulary.
  3. We have no leverage; they have it all. If we stick to our high demands they will hire an interim GM for a year, and then, when Epstein's contract is up and a lot of money is off their books, they get him for free. Furthermore, if they don't get him this year, we do. We get a lame duck GM who doesn't want to be here. Thats why we are taking whatever they are offering.
  4. The money owed Lackey and Soriano are about the same number of dollars, about $50M according to my calculations. This could work. But the idea of swapping OF I do not like. I think an OF needs to play one position except for rare occurrences.
  5. ...the expected agreement will include Cubs minor leaguers, although not top prospects Brett Jackson, Trey McNutt and Matt Szczur, the source said. Cash will not be part of the compensation Like I said, we will be getting a few midlevel prospects for Epstein. The Cubs had all the leverage. Now I hope we can move on and get ourselves a manager with a whip.
  6. 99%? I make that deal in a heartbeat.
  7. No problem at all. The top 10 players are: Albert Pujols, Albert Pujols, Albert Pujols..................and so forth.
  8. If nothing has been resolved by the end of the WS, I agree with you. I do not prefer Cherington, but the main thing is that we cannot have a lame duck GM now. Theo has one year left on his contract. He won't be an effective GM for us this year if he stays. I am wondering why the Cubs don't hire an interim GM for this year and just wait us out for a year until a ton of money comes off their books and Epstein can be had for free.
  9. As with iOrtiz of course it isn't my place to tell you what you should like, so if you like ERA then go for it! Fair enough. And I will. Baseball is a simple game, really. Its just not that complicated. Some of the metrics I have seen are really stretches and seems to have been invented because someone out there thinks the world needs more numbers. If and when my friend Orwell makes it over here he can explain the deficiencies in Bill James's stuff far better than I can as he is a mathmatician by trade and well versed in this area.
  10. Your English is far better than my Spanish. But I am working on that problem.
  11. Felix Hernandez has a career ERA of 3.24. He gets good hitters out and he gets bad hitters out better than other pitchers on average. Of course good hitters will be more challenging for him. The good hitters are not limited to the Red Sox and the Yankees. The Rangers have a few good hitters too, and the Mariners played them what-18 times? I am not saying that there are no other important metrics to measure the effectiveness of a pitcher; just that ERA is the single best way to do so.
  12. Thats pretty hard to deny since such a high percentage of team runs are driven in. There are only a few ways a run can score without an RBI being issued to someone. And Ortiz was right there this year to complain about one such case, interrupting a Francona press conference. No offense to your namesake...........
  13. I understand what you are saying. But if you look at how the teams shaked out in runs scored in the AL, for example, the best teams were from all over the place. Yes, the Red Sox and Yankees were 1 and 2, but the Rays and Orioles were just 7 and 8. Better than other divisions, but not markedly so. Besides, if a pitcher is really good, he should be able to get outs no matter who he is facing or where he is facing them. I agree with you that other measurements give a more complete picture of performance, but if I had to choose one metric for pitchers, its ERA, and Lackey was SO far behind there that he could not possibly make it up no matter what other measurements you use. BTW: did you represent OJ Simpson too?
  14. RBI's don't correlate strongly with player value Maybe not, but I like a player who can drive in runs nonetheless. In that regard, Drew was an abject failure with the Red Sox. There is something to be said for a guy who can come up with a base hit with a runner in scoring position vs a guy who cannot do it.
  15. When you are allowing nearly 3/4 of a run per nine innings more than #144, thats a lot of ground to make up. ERA is very basic: earned runs allowed per nine innings. If the function of a pitcher is to NOT allow runs, which it is, then ERA condemns Lackey to last place. Even Wakefield was better. Although 40% of his runners scored, he allowed fewer runners to reach base, and in the end, allowed fewer runs per nine innings. The more runs a pitcher allows, the less the chance of a "W" showing up.
  16. Name one SP with over 100 IP who you can honestly say was worse than Lackey this year. Yes, I am biased, but looking at the ESPN stat charts, and seeing what he didn't do for our team, I cannot find a single guy that was really worse, and there were a lot of losers in his category. Having an ERA that much higher than his nearest competition was damning.
  17. Conversely, Lackey, I believe someone wrote here, did not have the worst WAR for a SP with over 100IP, yet in my mind he was BY FAR the worst pitcher in that category. His ERA was 0.7 RPG higher than his closest "competitor". And Vin Scully is a most sagacious man................great comment.
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