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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    That's what I was hoping even before Tek was hired.
  2. Bellhorn04
    I definitely feel Salty is a negative. His CERA was a run higher than Varitek's in 2011, and a run higher than Shoppach's last year. When he catches we usually lose. These factors make me feel very negative about him.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Well jung, one area I think I'm in agreement with you on is that I don't have a good feeling about the catching situation. I think D. Ross was a good pickup, but I'll be sick if Salty is the opening day starter. Unfortunately Lavarnway didn't show enough to inspire great confidence. But Salty scares the crap out of me. He's got losses written all over him. I was hoping he'd be traded.
  4. Bellhorn04
    I'm not expecting them to match their best, but their best was pretty good and for both it was 2010. Lester was 4th in the Cy Young and Buch was 6th.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Personally I think there's too much uncertainty in baseball for the Red Sox to 'punt the season' as Jacko would say. Do any of us really know how Lester, Buchholz or Lackey will pitch this year? What if they pitch well but we have a bunch of rookies and scrubs playing because we assumed the team was going nowhere. Talk about a wasted season.
  6. Bellhorn04
    If they don't spend up to the limit this year, it's not like the unspent money would be of much future benefit. We already know it's highly unlikely they'll be exceeding the 189 million threshold in 2014 or future years, with the new penalties.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Maybe so. But there is a big difference in spending a ton on 1-2-3 year deals and spending a ton on 4-5-6 year deals. Let's keep it in perspective.
  8. Bellhorn04
    If the season started today Nava would be #5 on the depth chart for outfielders, right? Ellsbury in centre, Victorino in right, platoon of Kalish & Gomes in left.
  9. Bellhorn04
    I'm going with unbridled optimism. Why not. It's January.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Is Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals a good comp for Lackey? Carpenter had TJS in 2007.
  11. Bellhorn04
    I don't see which prospects are truly blocked.
  12. Bellhorn04
    That's what I'm hoping too. I really like the fact they haven't traded any prospects or forfeited any draft picks this offseason. I'm looking forward to seeing some of these kids play.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Oh I know he's a great hitter. But on the other hand he's one player, one piece of the puzzle. Our puzzle has a lot of holes in it. I'm in favor of holding the prospects this time. An ace pitcher like you mentioned I would feel differently about.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Surely to God they're not going to let this drag on much longer.
  15. Bellhorn04
    I can't see the Red Sox emptying the farm for anybody right now. Everything they've been doing this offseason is about hanging onto the prospects.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Tommy John surgery has done wonders for many pitchers.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Weirdest thing yet...I can't open Page 35 of the Napoli thread. It's the only one like that.
  18. Bellhorn04
    It's just a guess on my part and an optimistic one at that. But it's certainly not inconceivable that Lackey's numbers were directly impacted by his injury. It's not like he's been a bum his whole career. He's only been a bum with us. :dunno:
  19. Bellhorn04
    Gomez is not going to happen. That would be a total embarrassment and a nullification of the offseason efforts to patch together a competitive team.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Lackey is going to surprise everybody and have a good season.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Quality is a pretty vague term here. They signed 6 of Keith Law's 'Top 50 Free Agents'.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Also one of the split statistics that gets overlooked is the numbers vs. 'RH starters'. Gomes's OPS in starts against RH pitchers is 754. This split takes in all the PA's in games where the starting pitcher was RH. So it accounts for the fact that in a typical game you're going to be facing multiple pitchers including relievers who throw from the other side, and you're not always going to have the luxury of matching up LH vs. RH etc.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Gomes's numbers against RH pitching are not nearly as bad as the splits of many platoon types. Gomes's career line against RH pitching is 223/307/425/732. An OPS of 732 is approximately a major league average OPS. Also Gomes's home run power against RH and LH pitching is virtually equal. 1 HR per 18.7 AB vs. LH, 1 per 19.9 AB vs. RH. He should be able to do some damage in Fenway even against RH pitchers.
  24. Bellhorn04
    As this article suggests, Schilling will get in the Hall, and deservedly so, but will probably have to wait a few years.
  25. Bellhorn04
    OK, let me clearly state my premise. Maybe our two premises don't conflict at all. My premise is that in the years 2003-2009, the Red Sox objective was to win 95 games. This objective assumed that 95 wins would make the playoffs. There was also an implicit belief that if the team did make the playoffs they would have a good chance at going deep in the playoffs. I think this objective was an intelligent approach and I think they succeeded at meeting it.
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