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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    I thought notin was being facetious, but maybe not. I will say that Yoshida has been giving glimmers of becoming a steady .800 - .825 OPS guy.
  2. Bellhorn04
    I said I couldn't figure out how our WAR could be so much higher when our run differential was the same. You gave the reasons. It appears that the difference is because of random factors that can't really be controlled for. So the only way to chase more wins is to chase more of what makes up WAR.
  3. Bellhorn04
    If we say we need to add more WAR, it's pretty much the same thing. The ultimate objective of WAR is to translate positive and negative play values into wins.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Oh, I don't feel sorry for him either. He's not dumb, he could see why the Sox have developed a terrible rep for how they treat their CBOs and he took the job anyway. I'm sure he has a good salary. I hope he invests it wisely.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Yes, I think they misled Breslow, and I think he told us so in his carefully coded quote about how his understanding of the organization's objectives had shifted after further discussions.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Yes, if Kennedy has a shred of honesty (ha ha) he's going to have to admit that they failed again and in fact outdid themselves, they failed SPECTACULARLY in view of expectations for improvement.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Excellent article that doesn't sugar-coat the problem in the slightest. I've tried to support Ceddanne's approach but as the article says, this is likely to only get worse as pitchers simply stop throwing him hittable strikes. And it does make that $50 million commitment look worrisome.
  8. Bellhorn04
    I don't really blame Bloom that much. I think he did okay given the constraints. The "culture change" referenced in the article says it all. Henry took what wasn't broke and fixed it.
  9. Bellhorn04
    What do we say about Breslow and Bailey and the Driveline team's work with the 2024 bullpen? How's that revamped analytical approach paying off? Good thing Bailey has these guys throwing only their best pitches though, I guess. Just imagine what it would look like if they weren't...
  10. Bellhorn04
    Cleveland, KC and Detroit are all much improved over 2023. That's the way this stuff usually works. The Red Sox, mind you, are one of the really consistent teams the past 3 seasons. 😒
  11. Bellhorn04
    It's stunning that as bad and as costly as we and Tom Werner thought the defense was in 2023, it got even worse in 2024. 3 more errors but 32 more unearned runs. So I guess it's either: -Bad luck/randomness or -Pitchers melting down even worse than last year after errors
  12. Bellhorn04
    In this case the W-L records and run differentials are BOTH virtually identical to 2023. I'll stick with run differential as the go-to team stat.
  13. Bellhorn04
    My problem with using the 'surprising success' of the 2024 team as a defense of Bloom is that I don't consider 2024 to be a surprising success. I consider it a resounding failure. We're a horrific 21-32 in our last 53 games and we're on target to be the first Red Sox team since the 1964-1966 teams* to finish under .500 3 years in a row. We can find some isolated instances of success like Abreu and Refsnyder, but that's not much consolation in the big picture. * If you count 1994 as a season the 1992-1994 teams would be the last.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Somethin' doesn't compute. I'm off to play golf, I'll have to let you guys figure it out.
  15. Bellhorn04
    So how come our run differential is virtually the same?
  16. Bellhorn04
    Counting on a 36 year old pitcher coming off injury...hmmm...
  17. Bellhorn04
    Vazquez did have a crazy good CERA that postseason. I don't think the Astros regret the move.
  18. Bellhorn04
    JH is thinking they've made it through 3 years of this BS, one more should be cake.
  19. Bellhorn04
    They should punt even harder next year. Go full Ray Guy. 😜
  20. Bellhorn04
    There are serious flaws in the guys who assembled the team.
  21. Bellhorn04
    So explain how we're better than last year, using actual numbers.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Sounds great, but where are the numbers? Casas and Story's 2024 seasons are injury-plagued and incomplete, and right now they can't hit a baseball. Devers is clearly fighting a nagging shoulder injury and can't hit right now either. Wong, Rafaela and Yoshida are all hovering around a 1.0 fWAR. All below average. These are basically the same guys who are 21-31 in their last 52. It's natural for us fans to be optimistic, but there are a ton of issues and question marks.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Nope, we're not better off. Identical record is identical record. MLB is a zero sum game. It's just random happenstance that the AL third wild card's record will be a little worse than last year. It just postponed our elimination date by a few days. Don't drink the Henry/Kennedy kool-aid.
  24. Bellhorn04
    BTV just cranks out raw dollar values and can't allow for things like actual team needs etc.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Yes, I agree the future looks better. But the present needs a reality check. We're still just a .500 team and one that is trending down. I don't think they're in a position to go for it in 2025. I see them kicking it down the road one more time.
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