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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    I will never slobber over Pom. But if he turns out to be good, I may call him Pom the Bomb.
  2. Bellhorn04
    In 2021 the luxury tax threshold will be 210 million. You'd think you'd be able to put together a competitive team with that.
  3. Bellhorn04
    I think Leon will be quite adequate. We're lucky to have a pool of 3 catchers like this. Give Swihart a little time, he will be the man eventually. They'll trade Vazquez or Leon at some point.
  4. Bellhorn04
    The statistical clutch researchers haven't quite figured out how to define clutch or how to find it, that's all. They will. They have been making strides in other areas. They don't quit, those guys. I have confidence in them.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Pommy got his 4 innings in.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Yes, he was...I guess Kate Hudson was really good for him. I think the concept of 'preponderance of data' applies with clutch as with any other measurement...
  7. Bellhorn04
    Players and coaches certainly don't like to talk about choking because it's a very delicate subject. But I did give the example earlier of Joe Torre talking about Clemens getting bombed in Game 3 of the 1999 ALCS and saying he thought 'the moment was too big' for Roger or words to that effect. An anecdotal suggestion of a player choking.
  8. Bellhorn04
    My definition of a clutch player would be a player whose performance in high-leverage situations is equal to or better than their overall performance. I think it's the 'high-leverage situations' part that needs better clarification. High-leverage situations within games have been defined, but I think it would be more meaningful if there was also an additional weighting factor based on the leverage of the game itself.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Why? Because you can never have enough pitching, of course.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Very positive developments with Wright.
  11. Bellhorn04
    As much as I liked Buch, he was a huge disappointment last year, blowing his last chance with us, really. And for the second time in 4 years he forced the team to make a deadline trade to get another starter.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Excellent, excellent.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Sounds like a good description to me.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Does mvp have the Craig Kimbrel look?
  15. Bellhorn04
    Even if you're clutch, you're human, and baseball is hard.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Sure it is. But we already have a number of specific injury concerns.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Pitcher health is a big concern now, that's for sure.
  18. Bellhorn04
    It matters that his velocity and stamina are both good at this point. Things like that start to matter a bit more toward the end of spring games, I think. Really it's just raw spring training numbers that don't mean that much. There's stuff that matters to the players and the coaches though.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I'm an accountant, and I have this one particular client who's kind of old-school. When I get to a certain point in our tax discussions he always says something to the effect of 'the mumbo-jumbo part'. I just laugh and agree with him, because some of the tax rules really are just mumbo-jumbo that most people should not be expected to understand.
  20. Bellhorn04
    'Scatter plots', exactly: that's statistical mumbo-jumbo to the average fan. Statistics can be a fairly esoteric discipline. I'm not criticizing it, I'm just trying to explain why the average fan doesn't accept certain points of the baseball research articles. It's too much for them like reading scientific journals.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Agreed.
  22. Bellhorn04
    All offenses are inconsistent. We were a little heavy on the blowouts last year, I agree with that part. That's a big part of why our Pythagorean W-L record was 5 wins higher than our actual record. But to do a more meaningful analysis on offensive consistency you would have to go through the game logs and see how many times we scored 5 runs or more and compare to other teams, that type of thing.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Are there any offenses that don't struggle against good pitching?
  24. Bellhorn04
    My reaction the day we signed both HanRam and Pablo was something like this: 'It's nice to pick up a couple of big bats...it's nice to see JH so willing to shell out to make the team better...but something about this doesn't feel quite right.'
  25. Bellhorn04
    I haven't read the comments yet but I will. As for the article itself, frankly I think that to the average fan it comes across as a bunch of unintelligible statistical mumbo-jumbo.
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