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User Name

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Everything posted by User Name

  1. User Name
    Even if he did sign in FA (although your point regarding an extension, which will most likely happen, is fair) it's almost impossible he'll sign a deal above 10 years and an AAV of around 40 million.
  2. User Name
    He's the 5th OF on the Red Sox, but he'd be starting (and this is not hyperbole) in around half the teams in MLB. The fact that he's both productive and willing to accept a backup role is what makes him "very valuable".
  3. User Name
    This is failthought. Scherzer would not be tearing down every salary record in the history of organized sports. Trout is probably going to get around 350 million, and he may just be worth it. However, 350 million is certainly not 400 millon, which was my argument. I don't even get when/how the comparison applies.
  4. User Name
    He'll get 10 years, but not at 40 per.
  5. User Name
    I'm willing to bet a steak dinner right now that Trout won't sniff 400 mill from the Angels or the open market. I agree with Bellhorn, the bubble will pop eventually.
  6. User Name
    I wouldn't move Carp. JBJ needs regular reps and if he can't win the CF job outright he'd be better off in AAA imo. He'll be back up soon anyway with the glass squad patrolling center and right.
  7. User Name
    Because making stuff up and not listening to what anybody says is his schtick. The hilarious thing is that he keeps quoting Nolan Ryan's no-pitch count "mantra", even though the Rangers handle their SP and BP just like anybody else.
  8. User Name
    I'd exclude Ryan from the group. For all the narrative about his "no pitch counts" philosophy, he's an advocate of incremental pitch counts for young pitchers, and to take out pitchers based on signs of inefectiveness. Otherwise your point is correct.
  9. User Name
    Because there is a mountain of statistical, empirical, and common sense related data that shows that pitchers tend to lose effectiveness quickly after reaching the 100-pitch plateau. And what's the best way to deal with a fatigued pitcher? A replacement pitcher. It's not rocket science.
  10. User Name
    I disagree, and very much so. Lucchino is on the record as saying Gonzalez was Theo's baby, but the Crawford and Lackey contracts as well as the Beckett extension were all of his mandates. It'd be very hard to find now but his mea culpa was an issue of much discussion here at TalkSox before you joined.
  11. User Name
    You mean Gonzales was a good regular, because Crawford was not very good, and Beckett was injured AND terrible.
  12. User Name
    Which is the equivalent of putting value on an entire crop based on one fruit.
  13. User Name
    Boras clients tend to make these gambles, and they end up on the winning side more often than not.
  14. User Name
    It's really this simple.
  15. User Name
    While absolutely disregarding context (Scherzer will be the best pitcher in the open marker) market inflation (which is a factor considering Tanaka signed for 155 million without throwing a pitch in the US and the Ubaldo, et al contracts), the fact that Boras is his agent and the one stupid owner rule. He will make far more money than Greinke unless something catastrophic happens during the 2014 season. You are trying to apply logic to something that is naturally illogical.
  16. User Name
    And then he'll get his money. You're seriously undervaluing the stupidity of GM's here. You're making an argument that completely ignores the way the market is working right now. Ubaldo Jimenez got 50 million for a good half-season after years of mediocrity.
  17. User Name
    30-37, and considering what the rest of the market looks like, the salary explosion, the Boras factor and the stupidity of GMs, not only will he get 200 mill (or close to it) but several teams will line up to bid for his services, including the typical Boras mystery team.
  18. User Name
    Not if he has a good year and he's the clear-cut best pitcher on the market for next year with Scott Boras as his agent. You're arguing against both market trends with the exploding salaries and the stupidity/desperation of some GMs. It's an argument you will lose. If he's healthy and the Tigers don't extend him, he'll get his money.
  19. User Name
    It's Spring Training. Spring Training stats mean nothing.
  20. User Name
    Risky, but understandable. Remember who his agent is.
  21. User Name
    As i said above, he doesn't need to replicate 2013 to match/eclipse the figure offered by the Tigers. A 2012 redux (3.79 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 231 K) assure him of a monster payday.
  22. User Name
    This is a market that's yielding 100+ million contracts to slightly above average pitchers left and right. Scherzer is coming off a good season then a great one at 28 years old, with A++ stuff and a clean bill of health. A similar year to 2013 sends him above the 200 million threshold, while one similar to 2012 still has him hovering above 120 mill. It makes all the sense in the world to wait the market out.
  23. User Name
    Over the last three years, Ross has a .712 OPS vs LHP (.804 last year), while AJ has a .724 OPS (.718 last year) against them. What do they lose when Ross hits LHP instead of AJ?
  24. User Name
    7:30 would work much better for me.
  25. User Name
    Oy vey!
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