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SoxFanForsyth

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Everything posted by SoxFanForsyth

  1. SoxFanForsyth
  2. SoxFanForsyth
    That doesn't mean his mom isnt
  3. SoxFanForsyth
    Italian. I swear to God. If you even think about taking my alternate pick before he gets back to me, I will rent a hot air balloon and fly across the atlantic to oxford, england and chunder all over your mother.
  4. SoxFanForsyth
  5. SoxFanForsyth
    Yeah. I just did that.
  6. SoxFanForsyth
    Jeremy Hellickson, SP, $440,000
  7. SoxFanForsyth
    f*** Comcast. Their s*** blows. And they don't offer NESN out of market. EDIT: I have comcast and I hate them.
  8. SoxFanForsyth
    Italian - we're all set on my picks?
  9. SoxFanForsyth
    you should send your pick to Italian if you're going to be gone for a couple hours.
  10. SoxFanForsyth
    Alright Italian - I've sent my picks.
  11. SoxFanForsyth
    Damn. I'm very torn between these two. Give me a minute.
  12. SoxFanForsyth
    Italian - I'm about to send you my pick with a back up. That ok with you?
  13. SoxFanForsyth
    Alright I'm back but I see that RSFFL is still looking.
  14. SoxFanForsyth
    Bill James has him hitting 17 HR and 38 doubles in 482 AB's. Is it really that crazy that, given 70 more AB's, he could come up with 5 HR's and 4 or 5 doubles??
  15. SoxFanForsyth
    I gotta go home from work in about 5 minutes, but I'll jump back on as soon as I get back if RSFFL hasn't picked before I leave.
  16. SoxFanForsyth
    I mean what do you want me to say? Was I surprised at the results? Sure. Does this take into account a potential drop off of production? Nope. All it's doing is using statistical analysis to project a 95% confidence rate if he produced consistent with 2010. I would personally put him in the 20-25 HR, 35-40 Doubles category, and I'm not sure that's too far off at all.
  17. SoxFanForsyth
    I have kind of a out-of-the-box approach to this draft. Hopefully it will work, I've never tried it before.
  18. SoxFanForsyth
    I did make a mistake on the stats. It's a 6% acceptable margin of error. So there is a 95% confidence rate that his stats would look like this at 550 AB's: BA: .271 to .304 Doubles - 42 to 48 Homeruns - 27 to 31 RBI's - 72 to 82 SLG% - .495 to .560
  19. SoxFanForsyth
    Wow I thought Carpenter was taken already or I would have taken him over CJ Wilson
  20. SoxFanForsyth
    That's fine if you don't believe me. I'm not trying to convince anyone. You can go do the research yourself. Go see what sample size you would need to project 95% accuracy with an interval of 5 and a population of 550. If you think I'm making this up, I'm sorry but I'm not.
  21. SoxFanForsyth
    So, basically what that is saying, is that, given his 2010 stats in 171 AB's, you can be 95% confident that over the course of 550 AB's, he would hit anywhere from: BA - .277 to .296 Doubles - 40 to 50 HR - 24 to 34 RBI's - 72 to 82 SLG% - .482 to .573
  22. SoxFanForsyth
    C'mon c'mon c'mon!!! I want to pick!!!
  23. SoxFanForsyth
  24. SoxFanForsyth
    yrtb - It better not be who I am thinking of. I'm shocked that my next pick is still there right now even.
  25. SoxFanForsyth
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