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SoxFanForsyth

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Everything posted by SoxFanForsyth

  1. Actually, place his BABIP from last year at his career average of .295, and it takes his batting average down to .287, which is extremely consistent with his career average of .275. Total Hits (189) less HR (28) = 161 Total AB's (589) less HR (28) less K's (82) = 479 Multiply .295 (career BABIP) * Total AB's for BABIP Purposes (479) = 141 Hits, a difference of 20. Take 20 hits off of his total hits column (189-20 = 169) and divide by the 589 and you get .287. To put this into perspective, to go from .275 to .287 in 589 AB's, it requires only 7 more hits. That's miniscule. If we are going to debate whether or not a player can affect his BABIP on command solely by motivation, then we're just going to agree to disagree. There are plenty of players who receive bonuses for achieving offensive goals, which provides them with plenty of motivation and you don't see their BABIP fluctuating significantly in bonus induced seasons.
  2. No he's expected to be ready for Spring Training.
  3. Sorry guys. It's harder to be married than it is to be a 16 year old junior in high school, RSFFL. So eat it. Joel Zumaya, RP, $915,000
  4. Well first off, I think a lot of people are excited about it. It's a good way to pass the time to P&C Report, so I can see why it's gone by so fast. Plus, the Sox just plowed this offseason, so everyone is incredibly excited about 2011 after such a disappointing 2010. No worries about the whole system of voting. It's better than the BCS, I can tell you that.
  5. That's exactly how I look at it. If he can shut down the 9th, he can shut down the 8th. The 9th is the pressure cooker.
  6. I can also understand why you would take a hit for playing a first baseman in the OF, or putting a 3B at catcher, etc. Positions which require different skill sets. But closing and set up are so similar, it would be almost like putting a SS at 2B. Or putting a CF in LF. If the SS can make the throw from SS, they can make it from 2B. If a guy can close out a game, he can pitch the 8th. Again, it's just my take on the situation, but it doesn't make a whole lot of sense.
  7. I don't see what making a closer a set up man is that big of a deal? I can see why making a closer a long relief guy, or something that is out of the nature of what they do, but a set up guy is more or less interchangeable. I think everyone would agree that they would love to see Bard close, or that they would love to see Soriano set up for Heath Bell. Or Brian Wilson set up for Rivera. I guess I don't understand why there is a negative connotation involved with a closer in a set up role, especially when the Sox just picked up Jenks to do virtually that. I don't think you should take into consideration the intangibles, i.e. decreased motivation, player happiness, etc, because it's impossible to really tell how a player is going to react to a situation.
  8. I'm not sure if Kimbrel is going to close or not this year, but I'm banking on him being my set up man for Mo in the bullpen. At 400k, I think he's worth a bit of the risk. He's wild at times, sure, but his K/9 even going back into the minors is very impressive. Hopefully he calms it down a bit, though.
  9. If it makes you feel any better, the Sox just traded for Adrian Gonzalez about a month ago. The deal was done in terms of agreement between the Red Sox and Padres about 2 days prior to any media speculation, and generally this stuff leaks quickly. Three days later, the Sox signed Carl Crawford. The only reports that mentioned the Red Sox and Carl Crawford prior to that were that the Sox were not in the running and had no interest in him. Henry likes to play his cards extremely close to his chest so as to not let it affect the day to day operations or get involved in any bidding wars. He's gotten burned quite a bit by letting things get public too quickly, so don't get too discouraged.
  10. Not sure if anyone has posted the contract on Beltre. 5 years/80mm with a $16mm option for a 6th year, so AAV of $16mm and a total contract of 6 years/96mm. I'm sure he'll be a .280-.300 hitter with about 24-26 bombs a year. I hope the best for him, loved watching him play in Boston. But how could you not?! Dude had a 1.011 OPS with RISP last year. So sick. 10mm was a steal, although for CBT purposes he was only recorded at $7mm last year, because of his option, and since he declined the option, we still have $3mm on the CBT books for him this year.
  11. italian - i'm sending you my next pick with a back up just in case.
  12. Damn. Desmond was my other option behind Dominic Brown.
  13. Alright. I need a 3rd baseman. This guy is still good for about 18-20 HR and a .390-.400 OBP clip. Chipper Jones, 3B, $13mm
  14. I'm here bitches. But I'm going to have to do some looking around for my next pick.
  15. 8 inches is pretty good.
  16. Young is definitely at $16mm, I was going to pick him up but decided against it bc of that.
  17. Yeah - Dempster is expensive, but I've gone pretty cheap on pitching so far other than Beckett.
  18. Thanks man. Hopefully he can regain his form. He's got a lot of upside at least for this deep in the draft.
  19. And I'm going to send my pick for next round with a back up to Italian bc I have to hit the sack, work comes early.
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