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SoxFanForsyth

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Everything posted by SoxFanForsyth

  1. That's the thing. Give me Jackson for 205 over Oswalt for 175. That's my reasoning.
  2. Oh. My. God. Did you really just say that?? He's thrown 200+ IP in 2 of the last 3 years. And how many innings did he throw in the 1 year where he didn't throw 200 IP? Oh. 199.2 IP. Come on man. Over the past 3 seasons he's averaged 208 IP. That's a 200 IP machine.
  3. If I'm being honest with myself, I think I'd rather have Edwin Jackson over Roy Oswalt. Younger, and good for 200+ IP every year. His BB/9 has decreased since his last tenure in the AL East. I think he could be a huge asset.
  4. Not sure if anyone saw it, but Alex Speier wrote an intersting artile on Scutaro's trade. It actually freed up $7.67mm in LT purposes. So, using this logic, I went ahead and recalcualted Lackey's new AAV calculation, as soon as we exercise his option, as follows: Contract: 5 Years, 82.5mm. AAV: 16.5mm AAV 2010: 16.5mm AAV 2011: 16.5mm Here's where it gets trickey. If the LT is calculated at the end of the year, then Lackey will qualify for his conditional option in 2012, and the Sox can exercise it. So, assuming that, here's the remainder. 2010-2011 AAV: $33mm (from above) Contract with option exercised: 6 years, $83mm Remaining Contract Left: 4 Years, 50mm AAV from 2012-2015: $12.5mm (Savings of $4mm in LT Purposes) If the LT is calculated at the beginning of the year (which I believe it is, because that's how the Sox extended Beckett and Gonzo), then here's the calculation: 2010-2012 AAV: $49.5mm (16.5mm * 3 years) Contract with option exercised: 6 years, $83mm Remaining Contract Left: 3 Years, 33.5mm AAV of New Contract: $11.167 (Savings of 5.33mm per year in LT Purposes) So my point is this - With the AAV of Ortiz (12.6mm), Jenks (6mm), DiceK (8.67mm), Shoppach (1.375), Ross (3mm), and Lackey's reduction (5.3mm) coming off the books after the 2012 season, that's about $37mm coming off the books. So why are we trying to stay under the LT threshold this year when we have so much coming off next year?? Either way, a 1 year deal for Oswalt is not going to hurt the club. Chances are we're already over in 2012 anyway.
  5. Those numbers aren't inspiring IMO. If we decide to trade for a SP, I think we need to go after someone like Jurrjens, or someone young that we can tack on to the organization for a few years at cheaper money.
  6. Hearing it's a 1 year deal. Good deal. Gives Kalish another year to develop. Gets a ton of money off the books for next year, assuming a 1 year deal for a SP.
  7. I'd say he's probably going to start about 120-130 games. I don't think this is going to be a platoon situation. Ross has a career .727 OPS vs RHP. Sweeney has a career .754 vs RHP. Platoons are nice in theory, but the fact is that players get in grooves from consistent playing time, and platoon situations don't allow that.
  8. To be fair, there is no telling when the hell his agent actually contacted the Reds. It could have very well been last Wednesday or Thursday when the Sox still had Scutaro. I think the Sox are going to be finishing up a deal with Oswalt in the next couple days if I had to guess.
  9. Ross's numbers were smothered by AT&T and all of the NL West ballparks. A line of around .265/.330/.470/.800, 20 HR, 80 RBI is not a far fetched by any means.
  10. I think he'll get around 8-10 starts. Come back in the 2nd half. Probably take quite a few late-season starts from Bard so he's not worn out by October.
  11. Nice signing. Now go get Oswalt. Back on top if that happens.
  12. Fred, I gotta say. Patience is not your strong suit. If the Sox traded Scutaro and picked up Cody Ross (career .912 OPS vs LHP) and Roy Oswalt, it would be an outstanding move. Give the guy a couple days to make the reactionary moves.
  13. And he won't win arbitration, that's a near certainty. $16mm is entirely too much for a DH. In terms of Cody Ross, I think it's a fantastic move. A career .912 OPS vs LHP? That's exactly what we need. Makes this team much better vs LHP. And he'll come fairly cheap. Cheap enough that we can afford another SP.
  14. Or 7 or 7.5. Just because they don't have him signed right now is by no means an indication that they aren't getting him. Patience, Jung. Patience.
  15. What?!? It's a $2mm difference. So it DOES buy you Oswalt. Essentially, it's getting Oswalt for $2mm instead of $8mm. Or, in terms of LT, it's getting him for $2.8mm rather than $11.2mm. It's actually a huge swing.
  16. I'm sorry. Do you somehow think that $6mm + a 40% penalty, resulting in an $8.4mm variance is not a huge disparity?? They have to set limits. If you want to cheer for a team that doesn't set limits, you should cheer for the Yankees.
  17. It wouldn't shock me in the least if we gave away Jenks + $2mm for a bag of balls and let Alex Wilson take his spot in the bullpen.
  18. Matsui: 4.25mm Vlad: 8mm Hafner: 13mm Thome: 1.5mm Hafner is incredibly overpaid. Ortiz came in way too high. If he came in at $14mm, or even $14.5mm, he probably could have won. But at $16mm, he screwed himself.
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