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Palodios

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Everything posted by Palodios

  1. Palodios
    I don't think they will find a better 3B than WMB/Cecchini. Chase Headley and Pablo are the best 3B trade options and they have sucked this year. If they are serious about this year, they would have pushed XB to 3B, and used Drew at SS, but development is trumping wins right now. LF is a big need though, and I have mentioned it too. I don't know if they have any internal solutions, Brentz seems unlikely to perform in the bigs.
  2. Palodios
    If they start winning, great, but the offense and starting staff just don't seem World Series relevant. It isn't about pessimism, it is more optimism for the future of the team. There are so many talented young players on the farm that this team is going to do great things in the years ahead, but there are too many of them to integrate into the team seamlessly. Some--Many will fail at the major league level, and it might be better to give them all fair shots instead of letting them have a few weeks of bad play, and end their Red So careers. How many players have we seen fail at the MLB level, and then dump to another team only to see them become quality players? David Carpenter, Brandon Moss, Josh Reddick, David Murphy and to a lesser extent Jed Lowrie. The key factor is -- they are all at Portland/Pawtucket. It isn't several waves of prospects coming in, we're talking about a dozen potential major leaguers all waiting for someone to get hurt.
  3. Palodios
    It depends on whether you want the team to be competitive or win a championship. The Tigers are a championship caliber team, and we saw the difference in the two teams. If the Red Sox dump the farm, pull in Lee and Stanton, they still wouldn't be a lock for the playoffs, never mind the World Series.
  4. Palodios
    Outside of the core players, this team sucks. AJ has a .634 OPS. Ross .614 OPS. Gomes .722. Carp .633. Sizemore .645. Herrara .450 OPS. Buchholz 6.15 ERA. Mujica 7.71. Are the rookies really going to do much worse than that? Call them up!
  5. Palodios
    Lavarnway/Vasquez, it doesn't make that big of a difference. At some point, they need to pave the way for the young players, and I don't see them having an opening unless the Red Sox cut the charade. Outside of the core pieces, this team sucks. AJ, Ross, Gomes, Sizemore, Carp have been hovering around .600ish OPSes. They're not doing anything besides keeping the seats warm, so why not kick them out of their seats early?
  6. Palodios
    The more important question is: how long will it be until the Red Sox promotes all of the prospects? This year, the organization decided against building the team for the short term. They avoided the top free agents, didn't re-sign their near-ace pitcher, didn't build real depth or a safety net behind the youngster. There is a plan here, and most of us don't like how it is playing out, but this is how they wrote it up. Buchholz/Peavy/Doubront will be trade bait, DLR/Barnes/Workman all get their shots. AJ, Gomes too. Bryce, Lavs, Cecchini all see significant playing time.
  7. Palodios
    Ortiz, all I want is a police officer raising his arms in the bullpen. That's all I ask for.
  8. Palodios
    Here is an insane XB stat: 2014 with bases empty: .326/.423/.461/.884 2014 with runners on: .154/.267/.231/.497 If he can get over that hump, he'll make a lot of us very happy.
  9. Palodios
    The Tigers have been looking for revenge this series -- the Sox need to take 1 out of 3, and start winning again.
  10. Palodios
    Fred, you've been gone the better part of a month, and the first thing you do when coming back is flip out at every player on the team -- even the ones you adamantly thought we needed to stick with in the offseason. It is just a game, the Red Sox are only a few games back, and haven't hit their stride yet. Ben and Jon know what they are doing -- they wouldn't have won multiple world serieses if they didn't. Take a deep breath and enjoy the season for better or worse.
  11. Palodios
    Can we pick up Drew already?
  12. Palodios
    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/baseball/mlb/12/08/cliff.lee.winter.meetings/ http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/yankees/red-sox-made-seven-year-offer-cliff-lee-raise-price-yankees-coveted-free-agent-source-article-1.472820 http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/MLB-Winter-Meetings-Cliff-Lee-likely-to-get-7-year-deal-120610 http://nypost.com/2010/12/09/yankees-give-7-year-offer-to-lee/ So basically, you and I are both saying the same thing here. So yes, we're both mashing potatoes.
  13. Palodios
    So your argument is that Greinke is a bad comparison because of the age difference, but Cliff Lee isn't a bad comparison despite there also being a similar age difference, albeit in the other direction? You're mashing potatoes here. Statistically Greinke is much closer to Lester -- all the significant numbers are hundredths of points away from each other. Also, Cliff Lee signed the equivalent of a hometown discount -- he turned down 7 year offers. I'd put money on Lester getting either >110 from the Red Sox or 130 > someone else.
  14. Palodios
    You will not find a better contract comparison -- maybe you could argue that Lester would get one less year, but we're still looking at 27 * 5 .
  15. Palodios
    Lester's K/9( 8.2 to 8), BAA, ERA+(119 to 114) are slightly better. Greinke's BB/9(2.3 to 3.2), WHIP(1.25 to 1.3) are modestly better. There are minor differences, but really, they are as close a comparison as you will find.
  16. Palodios
    I don't see why you think 140-160 is so out of the question here. His numbers are extremely similar to Zack Greinke before his $147m contract. Both are healthy starters who pitch 200-210 ish innings every year. Greinke had a 3.70 career ERA at signing, Lester has a 3.72 ERA now. Lester will be two years older than Greinke was at his signing, and that is a significant factor. However, Lester has been pitching in the AL East, is a proven playoff stud, and doesn't have concerns pitching in a high pressure environment. Throw in a dumb owner, and you're at 160.
  17. Palodios
    All reports claim he is worth the 140 million. He struggled in 2012, but otherwise he has been extremely healthy, a 200 innings borderline 1 or top #2 guy. Pitching to David Ross instead of Salty seems to have significantly helped his numbers. The Yankees will need an arm, the Tigers will need an arm, the Jays, O's... Everyone will be after him because he is years younger than Shields, and a hundred million less than Max. I want the Red Sox to offer 100-110. It isn't a great move, but he is a borderline #1 pitcher who has proven to be successful in the AL East, and he is willing to accept slightly less than the 140 million he will receive on the open market. He will earn his keep for the first two years, stink/get hurt for 1-2 years, and be a decent innings eater veteran for the team for the rest. I understand all this, but he is exactly the kind of guy you give a long term contract deal.
  18. Palodios
    Even Rivera only received 1 year deals after 40. He shouldn't be expecting a multi-year deal, but 10-15 million is not out of the question for a guy who hasn't really gotten a big payday in his career.
  19. Palodios
    70 million was the last known number. Market value is probably 140-170. How can you debate that the Red Sox have not offered market value here? These guys do have egos. They want to come back to their city and be heroes. How will Lackey be remembered?
  20. Palodios
    The team hasn't paid market value on long term contracts since 2011. Market value may be insane, but 70 million for Lester is a joke. Lackey is a strange case. I think his public image was hurt so badly over the years that he might just want to get away from it all.
  21. Palodios
    There have been multiple reports that Lackey may retire instead of pitching for the league minimum. It is not paranoia to be concerned about losing the team's three best pitchers -- four if Koji retires-- because the team is to cheap to pay market value.
  22. Palodios
    My mind wanders sometimes. Cherrington knows better than us, but letting Lester and Lackey go because unproven prospects are cheaper seems silly.
  23. Palodios
    I understand Cherringon's decisions. They're mostly prudent, risk-free, and calculated. What worries me is that he sees Owens throwing weekly no-no's, he sees 5 AAA starters with legitimate major league potential. He sees a farm system, but all I see are bridge years. He ran with the prospects this year, but it looks like the team ended up one bat short in a season where the Red Sox could potentially make another deep playoff push.
  24. Palodios
    Andrew Miller really hurting this team in late innings.
  25. Palodios
    One run against Phil Hughes? Really? How's the Twins bullpen?
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