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Palodios

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Everything posted by Palodios

  1. In theory, you're absolutely correct. But the problem is having an entire outfield of questionmarks. Beltran is such a huge injury concern that having a very good fourth outfielder is crucial, and the Red Sox will absolutely need to address that with more money. Crawford will have to adjust to center field--a position he doesn't particularly like-- and the last time he made a big adjustment, he was one of the worst outfielders in baseball. Kalish has such a small sample size in the majors, and spent almost all of 2011 on the DL. I'm all for trading Ellsbury for an ace. But you simply can't touch the rest of the outfield.
  2. And what if Crawford doesn't bounce back? And the outfielder you hold onto either gets hurt( Kalish) or hits to his 2011 AAA numbers (Reddick's .230 average)? And Youkilis has a season like the last two where he couldn't stay on the field? I am not suggesting that all of this happens, but there are far too many questionmarks and injury concerns.
  3. This team needs to prepare for the departure/decline of David Ortiz. Even if he re-signs, he will never hit like 2011 ever again. Losing Ellsbury and Ortiz is bad enough. Replacing RF with a league average player could devastate the offense.
  4. Well, the problem with adding Reddick or Kalish to the deal is how badly that depletes the Sox outfield. Even if you move Crawford to center, filling right and left with such a mediocre OF market will be a challenge. The Sox will have to pay big money to keep Tim, and then they still need a fifth starter, and an entire bullpen to rebuild.
  5. I would not include a high level prospect in the deal, but maybe a mid-level. If they want an MVP, they have to give up a Cy Young for him. Plus, I'm concerned that Tim's munchies might lead him to a fried chicken addiction.
  6. I don't see any deal happening here unless it was Ellsbury for Jurrjens and Prado, and that seems like a tough sell from both sides, even though they're both getting what they want.
  7. My point is that big money players aren't always the solution. Short contracts mean more motivation for players to perform and earn the next contract. Giving an aging Ortiz, or Papelbon the 3/30-3/45 contracts that they want isn't going to fix this team.
  8. Beckett is going to get hurt or, be ineffective this year. He's not a guy we should be trusting at the top of the rotation, or in the clubhouse. Sell high.
  9. Do you really believe that Beckett isn't worth prospects and a guy who pitched to a 4.40 ERA last year? Perhaps we should agree to disagree.
  10. If they go for another big bat, they're likely passing on Ortiz and taking the picks. It may be in the Sox's best interest to take the 5 first rounders from Wheeler, Pap, Ortiz, and then grab a few of those borderline Type A's who get smaller contracts because of their arbitration status. Like for example, grab Willingham, and two relievers... that means 5 first/sandwhich rounders, and all picks from the 4th round on. Still not a bad haul of new talent.
  11. Beckett is very inconsistent. One year he pitches like an ace, the next year he's out of shape, unhealthy, and pitching poorly. He has done that his entire career, and he has not had a good "even year" in almost a decade. If he had applied himself, he possibly had an outside shot at the hall, but the best thing for the Sox to do is sell high on his career year, which I guarantee you... he'll never surpass.
  12. I think you're thinking too deep into this. My intention is to say... if we could trade Beckett for two lower quality, lower cost pitchers, and make it work, I think this team should do it. If they need to throw in a Lars Anderson, Michael Bowden, or some other mid level prospects I'd say go for it.
  13. I don't think this is that unlikely a scenario. If the Red Sox kicked in 5 million a year, the other team would get a guy with a 2.90 ERA in 2011 for 3/36. 25 teams in baseball can afford that. The challenge isn't his cost, its finding a team who has enough depth to make the trade, but I don't think that would be impossible.
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