Emmz
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Everything posted by Emmz
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Everyone thought you were nuts on the Doubront prediction, so I think everyone will give you your props. -
I could definitely see Salty struggling for 2 months and dropping it 100 points, and being okay, to drop it 20-30 at some point. Same goes for Felix, but hey, I'll give you props if either prediction becomes true.
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That really doesn't hold any water. Mark Prior was a former #2 pick and Cy Young candidate. It doesn't mean if he pitches good for 2 months he's back.
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Difference is you feel as though you "know" he'll hit for .820 OPS. I never said he couldn't, I just want to get a full season in before everyone thinks Salty's an elite catcher. It's reactionary, and you have a tendency to do this. You thought Bard was a sure bet for a sub 4 ERA. You even thought Prince Felix would have a sub-4 ERA. You're overly optimistic. I am an optimist as well. Well more of a realist, but I think proven hitters will bounce back, because they've proven themselves worthy. Salty isn't there yet, maybe he hits for .850 OPS, and I will admit he's proven, and maybe his falling off at the end of 2011 is what was the real fluke. I just can't expect Salty to be that good all year, because it's setting up for disappointment.
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Sustainable does not equate to proof that he's not going to fall off. Try again.
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I asked you a page ago why they weren't going to revert. Still waiting.
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Yeah, which is like his career average. LOL, why does none of this register in your skull?
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You're assuming he doesn't return to norms for a certain amount of time though. How does it not compute that Salty's norms are .220/.250/.420?
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that's the thing, he still hits only .279 this year even when he's hit .320 for over a month.
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It's not BS, it's factual. Both streaks are identical. Why do you seem to think that he's going to figure out how to get hits? It's a tired and delusional argument.
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So since he's peaking at a different time, and slightly better I'm supposed to think what exactly? What do you think he's going to have as an OPS to finish 2012? Is this going tp be his new norm? Not being snide, I'm actually asking.
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Give me one reason to believe he's going to be a .275 hitter all year and I'll admit he's turning a corner. He just hasn't done it yet, so I don't give him props yet. I give him props for what he's doing now, not what he might do.
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He struggles to even hit .250 when he's hot. What makes you think he can make contact consistently?
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Look at June/July of 2011, compare it to this year. Same thing. When his SLG% goes, he struggles. His only offensive positive is his pop, and he hasn't proven it can be consistent. His OBPs are consistently atrocious, even when he's hot.
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What were we talking about? This whole time, I'm comparing this year to his hot streak. Forget April May, just look at June/July. Then the rest. It's a massive drop. It's actually over 100 pts.
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SLG dropped off by almost 100 points... Wtf are you smoking.
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Oh snap! I got to check my stats! Hmmmmm.... You know I was talking about his hot streak. Check your stats again. SLG% during hot streak and after. .538 in June, .550 in July, mediocre the rest of the year collectively.
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I really feel that Salty's going to hit .300 next year, and his OBP will still be under .320. /notbeingserious
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Oh my God. Stop. Just stop yourself. Your rationale on this issue is so twisted. Your knee-jerk boners for players who are on hot streaks is the exact same thing as what fair weather fans do. They ride a team's dick when they're good and freak out when they s*** the bed. No one here is abandoning Scrotalamacchia's ship, it's just that you're the only person on it who thinks he's "turned the corner". Maybe not the only one, there's plenty other reactionary fans here. This is how you get under people's skin so much, your abuse of the straw man. You know what that is? Creating an argument that's easy to defeat instead of making valid points to defend your own POV. You're a good poster, and it's great to have optimists, I'm not going to censor your POV, but stop trying to create an argument that doesn't exist.
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Why so nice? You get your blue pills today?
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I could see it near .770 or something, good for a catcher, but I seriously don't think he's going to have a .850-.900 OPS year. I hope he does and he deserves credit where it's due, he's one of the few positives right now.
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And no one said he hasn't been a good hitter this year, but it's all in his SLG%, which dropped off a cliff in the second half last year.
