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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    Even if Gio isn't ready, Criswell will be. It's not like they are going with Ryan Weber as their 4th and a bullpen day on the fifth.
  2. mvp 78
    Yeah, I too would project a career LOW k rate and career HIGH bb rate. Seems normal! He had a great rookie year, but that's still skewing the sample that the calculation is running. He dropped 20 wRC+ in his second year and another 12 last year. Why would I assume he'd go back to 2022 which seems to be an outlier? Doesn't make sense to me.
  3. mvp 78
    Why obsess about something that may not even be on Crochet's mind? I just don't get it. We can come up with an idea of what an extension could look like. A poster could say "he may want an opt out." Great. Do we have to talk about that one idea for 200 posts now? Instead of just saying "well I think it might look like this," moon wanted everyone to justify how we'd all react as a GM if Crochet turned down moon's offer. Like, what are we even doing here?
  4. mvp 78
    Soto's "curse" was just a bad defensive year. He still had a 146 wRC+. The curse was really being sent to San Diego in the second half where he OPS'd 778 instead of the 893 he started with in WSH. I think interrupting his season with a trade was a bigger impact than some curse. Vlad Jr may have had a 3.7 fWAR, but he followed it up with a 1.3 fWAR season at age 24. Which was really cursed? Can't really call Tatis' season cursed if he was simply suspended for doing something dumb. Pujol put up a 9.5 fWAR at age 23. Vlad Sr had 6.7. Jose Ramirez had 5.1 in his first big year. Machado had 5.7. If you want to make excuses for Julio Rodriguez potentially being overrated, go for it.
  5. mvp 78
    You love this post.
  6. mvp 78
    Yes, they should start with a six man rotation and then see where it shakes out. Maybe someone pitches himself into the pen. Maybe the six man rotation just works really well.
  7. mvp 78
    I answered. You just don't like my answer. You hate the idea of an opt out after 2027, but you want everyone to talk about it for some reason.
  8. mvp 78
    You think he'd get much more than one of the largest contracts in MLB history? Really?
  9. mvp 78
    He's already agreed to the first ARB contract. There's only one more to go.
  10. mvp 78
    That's less than my offer. Cole got 9/324 AFTER having 31 career fWAR and three seasons above 5 fWAR. It'd be wild for him to walk away from a contract like that. Depending on how he's pitching, I'd be willing to get up there.
  11. mvp 78
    Yeah, the moon deal isn't realistic.
  12. mvp 78
    They already agreed to a 25 salary so that number is wrong. I wouldn't sign him for 18M in 26 as he'd get nowhere close to that. Ignoring what JH would allow me to spend, I'd walk away for now and see what he looks like in ST. 28M AAV could be more than what he'd get on the FA market after 26 anyway. If he looks better, increase the offer.
  13. mvp 78
    Problem being they 1st in fWAR for SP. This wasn't on your menu for the Sox success. I'd take it.
  14. mvp 78
    Fried has a 6 year track record of being a starting pitcher. Crochet has only started for one year. He hasn't earned a Fried contract and I don't think he'd expect that for an extension if I'm being honest. I'm not saying that I'd walk away, but that I believe he'd sign slightly less than what Fried signed for if you offered it to him today. He's made 7M over his whole career. Offering him 175M guaranteed is very hard to walk away from.
  15. mvp 78
    If you want to get the runs to be at the top of the leaderboard and the ERA to be towards the top, I'm game. Now look at the fielding number for those teams.
  16. mvp 78
    Teel is a LHB, Quero is a RHB. I think most clubs realize they need 2 catchers going forward. Why not have two young ones that will stick around for a while and you can platoon?
  17. mvp 78
    A 6 man rotation would come out to 27 starts for Gio. He'd just have to average 5.18 innings per start. He's exceeded that his entire career except for the 6 starts in CLE. His lowest innings per start was 5.37, which should get him to 145 innings. As long as he doesn't miss any starts, he should be good to reach FA. Depending on how he pitches, he may not be a 14M AAV going forward so a 14M option could be in his best interest.
  18. mvp 78
    Trying to look for a team that matches this description: 2022 HOU: 6th batting, 1st SP, 2nd in RP, 2nd Fielding NOPE 2021 ATL: 7th batting, 13th SP, 13th RP, 15th Fielding Counting on duplicating a team that was below .500 in August is certainly trying to do it on hard mode IMO.
  19. mvp 78
    I mean, the summary really says a lot: Platoon and chase concerns hold hit tool back, and when combined with injury question marks, has a wider range of outcomes than you would expect and a decent number of questions to answer for such a highly regarded prospect.
  20. mvp 78
    Yeah, his off year splits were one HR against a bad pitcher in a small sample skewing the OPS to make it look like he was capable of hitting lefties. In 2023 and 2024, he regressed. If you don't believe me, read the SP scouting report: Needs to improve pitch recognition, especially against breaking balls. Some questions about how his contact skills will translate against more advanced pitching. Seems to struggle to pick the ball up against left-handed pitchers and has had considerable platoon splits throughout his career.
  21. mvp 78
    It's why I was confused as well. I'd rather they just offer him a set contract at a slight discount from the Fried deal.
  22. mvp 78
    Only why you do that is if it's an opt out on a cheap contract with an escalator for a club option for a set number of years. Crochet opts out of his 17.5M contract, but the Sox choose to pick up his 27.5M contract for set number of years. This would protect them in case of injury.
  23. mvp 78
    Yes, the extension was 2020-22 which were all non-ARB years. His last ARB year was 2019. A similar Crochet deal would get him signed through 2029. Control for 5 years? I'm in.
  24. mvp 78
    I think having the back end of the contract be so large would increase the CBT hit to higher than what the Sox would ever pay as he would opt out after year 3. Probably why teams don't do it that way?
  25. mvp 78
    Seems on the higher side. Maybe closer to 16M which is where Burnes ended up in his final year. The arb raises kind of escalate at a normal rate rather than jumping crazy year to year, which is why Crochett would only get 10-12 next season even if he won a CY.
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