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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    .500 is possible (81 wins), but it's just as likely that they'd end up with 103 wins. Just saying.
  2. mvp 78
    DUMBrowski is not going to put Wright in the rotation over Kelly. I think Wright will last through spring training and then will be DFA'd to Pawtucket unless there is an injury to a starter. I'm not saying this is the right move. I'd personally rather have Wright in the rotation than Kelly, but would put Johnson ahead of Wright.
  3. mvp 78
    Don't you mean their 82 - 102 win projection?
  4. mvp 78
    I really haven't noticed anyone saying that they'd hover around .500. Even A700 believes this team should be in the upper 80's. Now, they COULD hover around .500 as they have done so more often than not in the previous 4 years, but I think most of us believe this team will be better this year. I honestly think a lot of the quibbling has been between the difference of a WS contender and a team fighting for the playoffs. This team should be good, but would have a much better chance if they had found that second starting pitcher. Kimmi, you should create a poll and see where people project the team to wind up in the win column. I think we have done those in the past.
  5. mvp 78
    I think the vast majority of us believe there is a great chance for us to be able to watch meaningful baseball this year. Is that really gloom and doom?
  6. mvp 78
    Never too early, give or take 10 weeks.
  7. mvp 78
    Take your common core maths and shove it, buster!
  8. mvp 78
    I feel very confident that the Sox will be within a 10 win margin of error at 85 wins (as will most teams). If nobody knows nothing, I guess we all must know something!
  9. mvp 78
    pgammo: "Ryan Kalish HR, single, 2 BB for Caguas Wed., .333 in playoffs, after 2 yrs. injuries, deserves spring non-roster look"
  10. mvp 78
    Johnson and Owens start in AAA. The guy who is pitching the best will be called up first.
  11. mvp 78
    Betting odds are less about potential outcomes and more about where people are putting their money. My guess is that the Cubs and Sox have rabid fanbases that are more likely to bet on their teams...
  12. mvp 78
    Classic jung!
  13. mvp 78
    Smart financial move by Sox ownership. Trying to save on food costs!
  14. mvp 78
    Growing up watching Dewey play RF showed me that your best defensive OF has got to play RF in Fenway. Having Betts in CF and JBJ in RF is like having Lynn and Dewey again (defensively).
  15. mvp 78
    Eater of worlds... Destroyer of buffets...
  16. mvp 78
    Well, of course they have their own projections. I'm not saying all projections are useless, I'm just saying fangraphs is given too much stock for what it is.
  17. mvp 78
    The Sox catchers were calling for pitches to be lobbed right down Broadway? I find that hard to believe.
  18. mvp 78
    Instead of agreeing with the projections, he states they should be expected to lose a few more games because of his bias. I'm not saying he's wrong, I'm just saying he's tweaking the results with his own personal beliefs, i.e. bias.
  19. mvp 78
    Odds makers do hust as well with their own projections. Not sure they need fangraphs.
  20. mvp 78
    If you want to believe that myth, go for it.
  21. mvp 78
    The original fangraphs projection was 92. He is using bias to reduce the number.
  22. mvp 78
    Panda and Hanley are dogs. They should have waited until adter the season to sign Porcello. Castillo showed potential. It was basically spending money on a prospect with upside, which I'd rather do then spend on guys in the back half of their careers. Porcello is young, but I wonder if the additional mileage on his arm from getting to the majors at 20 is taking its toll.
  23. mvp 78
    A more "realistic" projection is 88 wins, not 92. After being in last place for 3 of 4 years, the 92 games may be a little bit of a stretch. It's more likely than not that they don't get to 90 wins. Projections aren't foolproof. I just haven't seen a correlation between Sox projections and performance the past 5 years or so. This team is such a mixed bag that it's really hard to say for sure where they'll end up.
  24. mvp 78
    Castillo was the best signing of the bunch.
  25. mvp 78
    The metrics say it was his worst defensive season whether he played 162 or not. Maybe he struggled only during the games I watched, but I doubt it. In years past, a ball hit towards second wasn't concerning for me. He was a defensive beast. Last year, he wasn't. He was replacement level defensive wise.
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